Thursday, November22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Brinnon, WA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:26AMSunset 4:28PM Thursday November 22, 2018 3:13 AM PST (11:13 UTC) Moonrise 4:41PMMoonset 6:30AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ135 Puget Sound And Hood Canal- 222 Am Pst Thu Nov 22 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from this afternoon through this evening...
Today..S wind 5 to 15 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 or 2 ft building to 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain in the morning then rain in the afternoon.
Tonight..S wind 20 to 30 kt easing to 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. Rain in the evening then rain likely after midnight.
Fri..S wind 5 to 15 kt becoming sw to 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Rain likely.
Fri night..SW wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..S wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..SE wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..SE wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Mon..S wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
PZZ100 222 Am Pst Thu Nov 22 2018
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A front will move through the waters today with gale force winds expected for the coastal waters and small craft advisory conditions for the inland waters. An active weather pattern will persist through the middle of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brinnon, WA
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location: 47.67, -122.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 220419 cca
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
818 pm pst Wed nov 21 2018

Synopsis Broad troughing across the eastern pacific will bring
several systems into the area over the next several days. A stronger
system will affect the area Thursday and Thursday night, bringing
accumulating snowfall to the mountains. Another system moves thru
Friday with another round of lowland rain and mountain snow
expected. Weak ridging looks to keep the weekend fairly dry before
another unsettled period begins next week.

Short term now through Saturday Radars show areas of rain over
mainly southwest washington this evening that will spread through
the area overnight, and then a stronger shortwave will arrive thu.

No updates this evening.

This next wave will have more impressive dynamics than today's
system as well as considerably colder air aloft. This is likely to
result in higher precipitation rates with the initial band of
precipitation followed by rain and snow showers through Friday. Weak
instability (100-200 j kg cape) could result in some locally
intense rain or mountain snow showers Thursday night through Friday.

Snow levels will hover between 3000-4000 feet through Friday before
dropping to around 2500 feet by Friday evening. Due to the showery
nature of the post-frontal showers, confidence in exact rain snow
totals is moderate at best. However, with the combination of locally
intense snowfall, holiday travel, and the relative lack of snow thus
far this season, we opted to issue a winter storm watch for the
cascades & olympics for late Thursday morning through Friday
evening. Travelers should be prepared for winter travel and
recreation conditions. This means considering alternate travel
plans, having an emergency supply kit, and monitoring the forecast
and conditions for the latest information. Call 5-1-1 for the latest
road conditions.

A brief break in the action is expected Friday night Saturday before
the next, relatively weak, wave moves through Saturday night and
Sunday. This will be a quick-hitting system with snow levels
generally between 2500-3500 feet at the mountain passes. -wolcott-

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
Saturday night's frontal system starts to lose steam quickly as
it moves inland... Due in part by another shortwave ridge building
overhead. Aside from some scattered light rain showers... Sunday
may not turn out to be all that bad.

An interesting pattern could be setting up for next week as model
guidance is showing some decent cyclone activity across the
eastern pacific. Deep moisture looks to push into the region
sometime on Monday into early Tuesday. Rain and mountain snow seem
probable at this point. Discrepancy exists thereafter... With the
gfs creating a very strong cyclone off the bc and washington coast
whereas the ECMWF keeps a more open wave progressive trough
pattern in place. Although neither solution is dry have preferred
to follow the ECMWF with this forecast package... As its pattern
seems to be fairly consistent with the current. As just mentioned
tho... The weather will remain unsettled and the more classic pacnw
weather looks to be here to stay finally.

Kovacik

Aviation A batch of rain over southwest washington will shift
through the areas overnight and then another front will arrive
Thursday afternoon and evening. The air is moist and will
become more unstable behind the front Thursday afternoon as the air
aloft cools. The mountains will be obscured Thursday.

Ksea... There are just some areas of showers on the radar this
evening but steady rain will likely start up overnight ad the area
of precip moving into southwest washington shifts north. There will
probably be a break in the precip midday, and then another batch of
rain will arrive by evening. Light winds this evening will
give way to stronger southerly breezes Thursday.

Marine A front will move through the waters Thursday. Gales are
expected over the coastal waters and small craft advisory conditions
are expected elsewhere on Thursday as the front moves through the
area. A series of fronts will give active weather to the waters from
later Saturday into the middle of next week.

Hydrology No flooding is indicated at this time but several
opportunities will need to be monitored. Wet pattern returns today
and continues through Friday as several weather systems move across
the area. Still looks like generally between 2-4 inches across the
higher terrain of both the cascades and olympics... With locally
higher amounts possible. These amounts could push the skokomish
river close to or above flood stage Thursday and Friday. Lowering
snow levels during the period could reduce storm runoff into the
streams as well. Will see a brief break in rainfall this weekend.

Models continue to advertise a fairly wet and unsettled pattern next
week. This would cause additional river rises with increasing
hydro river concerns. Will continue to monitor.

Ceo

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... Winter storm watch from Thursday morning through Friday evening
for cascades of pierce and lewis counties-cascades of
snohomish and king counties-cascades of whatcom and skagit
counties-olympics.

Pz... Gale warning from 4 am to 4 pm pst Thursday for coastal waters
from CAPE flattery to james island 10 to 60 nm-coastal
waters from CAPE flattery to james island out 10 nm-coastal
waters from james island to point grenville 10 to 60 nm-
coastal waters from james island to point grenville out 10
nm-coastal waters from point grenville to CAPE shoalwater
10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from point grenville to cape
shoalwater out 10 nm.

Small craft advisory for rough bar until 2 am pst Friday for
grays harbor bar.

Small craft advisory from 6 am Thursday to midnight pst Thursday
night for central u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca-east
entrance u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca-northern inland
waters including the san juan islands-west entrance u.S.

Waters strait of juan de fuca.

Small craft advisory until midnight pst Thursday night for
admiralty inlet.

Small craft advisory from 3 pm Thursday to midnight pst Thursday
night for puget sound and hood canal.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46123 21 mi177 min 53°F
46125 22 mi168 min 51°F
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 25 mi73 min S 8.9 G 9.9 47°F 1003.8 hPa (-1.4)45°F
46120 28 mi52 min NE 5.8 50°F 1002.4 hPa46°F
46121 29 mi41 min 50°F 1004.2 hPa49°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 31 mi43 min ESE 1.9 G 6 48°F 49°F1003.1 hPa
EBSW1 - 9447130 - Seattle, WA 31 mi43 min SE 5.1 G 7 49°F 52°F1004 hPa
TCNW1 - 9446484 - Tacoma, WA 38 mi43 min 51°F 53°F1004.8 hPa
TCMW1 - 9446482 - Tacoma Met, WA 38 mi43 min SSW 15 G 18
PTAW1 - 9444090 - Port Angeles, WA 42 mi97 min Calm G 1.9 48°F 49°F1002.6 hPa
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 45 mi83 min SSE 17 G 19 49°F 1002.4 hPa (-1.2)45°F
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 48 mi53 min SSW 1.9 G 1.9 48°F 49°F1002.2 hPa48°F

Wind History for Seattle, Puget Sound, WA, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bremerton, Bremerton National Airport, WA15 mi17 minSSW 12 G 1810.00 miLight Rain47°F46°F97%1005.6 hPa

Wind History from PWT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3CalmCalmNE4CalmS3W3SW3SW3S3S6S5SW3SW6CalmSW3SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS9
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3W5SW5SW5SW4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SW3SW4CalmSW6Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE5NE3CalmW3Calm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Pleasant Harbor, Washington
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Pleasant Harbor
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:24 AM PST     11.09 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:30 AM PST     Moonset
Thu -- 07:27 AM PST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:56 AM PST     5.85 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:04 PM PST     11.48 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:27 PM PST     Sunset
Thu -- 04:41 PM PST     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:41 PM PST     Full Moon
Thu -- 10:18 PM PST     -1.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.95.68.210.1111110.28.97.46.35.86.47.89.410.911.5119.67.44.82.1-0-1.2-0.9

Tide / Current Tables for The Great Bend, Washington Current
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The Great Bend
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:35 AM PST     0.75 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 04:52 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:29 AM PST     Moonset
Thu -- 07:01 AM PST     -0.43 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:26 AM PST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:08 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:15 PM PST     0.35 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:25 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:27 PM PST     Sunset
Thu -- 04:40 PM PST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:44 PM PST     -0.75 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 09:41 PM PST     Full Moon
Thu -- 11:15 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.70.60.50.2-0-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.2-00.30.30.20.1-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.7-0.7-0.5-0.3-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.