Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Freeland, WA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 4:31PM Friday November 16, 2018 7:51 AM PST (15:51 UTC) Moonrise 2:05PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 235 Am Pst Fri Nov 16 2018
Today..NW wind 5 to 15 kt becoming 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. Patchy fog after midnight.
Sat..N wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. Areas of fog in the morning.
Sat night..NW wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..Light wind becoming nw to 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..Light wind. Wind waves less than 1 ft.
Mon..Light wind becoming variable to 10 kt. Wind waves less than 1 ft.
Tue..SE wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft.
PZZ100 235 Am Pst Fri Nov 16 2018
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A weak frontal system will continue to push across the area today. As flow transitions to offshore today and tonight, several strong pushes of flow from the ne will warrant small craft advisory winds across the northern inland waters, the strait, and the north and central coastal waters.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Freeland, WA
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location: 48.03, -122.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 161049
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
300 am pst Fri nov 16 2018

Synopsis A weak weather system will dissipate and exit to the
southeast today, and clearing from the north will begin. Saturday
through Tuesday will be dry, with patchy night and morning fog. A
weather system will bring wet weather back by mid to late next week.

Short term Light rain showers continue to be confined mainly to
the north and the mountains. Rainfall totals so far have been less
than a tenth of an inch over the lowlands, and about a half inch
around mt. Baker. Forecast seems on track for today, with high pops
shifting to the southeast this morning, and conditions drying in the
afternoon. Clearing from the north will begin this afternoon and
continue tonight. Highs today will be in the low to mid 50s.

Low temperatures tonight will depend on how much clearing takes
place, but in general lows will be in the 30s, with near freezing
temperatures in the far north where the clearing should be complete.

Saturday will be sunny, after patchy morning fog and freezing fog. A
cool northerly breeze will keep highs in the low 50s. Sunday will be
similar to Saturday, though winds will be lighter. Highs Sunday will
be in the low 50s, with somewhat warmer conditions near the cascades
in downslope flow. Both Saturday night and Sunday night will have
lows in the 30s near marine and urban areas, with 20s in outlying
areas. Burke

Long term A sharp upper level ridge will continue to influence
our weather Monday and Tuesday, keeping conditions dry. Monday will
be mostly sunny while a weak weather system tries and fails to make
much headway against the ridge. There is a chance of rain in the
offshore waters. On Tuesday, clouds will increase across washington,
and the chance of rain will spread to the coast. Highs both days
will remain in the low to mid 50s.

The GFS and euro are now in rough agreement that a weather system
will impact the area on Wednesday, and conditions will remain
relatively wet on Thursday. Have increased pops to likely or better
both Wednesday and Thursday. Highs will be in the low 50s. Burke

Aviation Abundant low cloud cover across the area is leading to
widespread ifr MVFR CIGS at this hour with localized lifr along the
coast. Expect MVFR CIGS to continue through the early afternoon (19z-
22z) as a weak system pushes through. Localized ifr will exist as
well. Some light rain will linger in the puget sound area till 15z-
17z before dissipating. There will be gradual clearing in the
afternoon as offshore flow increases, though confidence is not high
in regards to exact timing of the clearing. Clear skies tomorrow
night into Saturday will likely lead to localized areas of fog.

Winds will remain southerly ahead of the front, with a northerly
component to the winds in its wake. Wind speeds will generally be 5-
10 knots.

Ksea... Above discussion applies. MVFR CIGS will likely continue
through the early afternoon (20z-21z). A period of ifr CIGS cannot
be ruled out during the morning hours. Intermittent light rain will
likely continue through the morning before ending by 16-17z. Skies
will be clear by tomorrow evening following the frontal passage. S
wind ahead of the front will become more N once the front passes. Jd

Marine A weak cold front is currently pushing across the area as
a shortwave trough traverses SE thru bc towards montana. Only marine
headline currently in effect is a small craft advisory across the
central and eastern strait of juan de fuca given a quick push of
westerly flow ahead of the front. Observations at race rocks over
the last few hours confirm winds between ~20-25kts. Winds across
these portions of the strait should subside around 12z as gradients
relax and front pushes south.

As a post frontal, strong area of sfc high pressure across canada
builds south this morning, hi-res guidance particularly the 4km
wrf suggest a noticeable push of air out of the NE from around
bellingham into the northern inland waters. This looks to be a
strong enough push to warrant a small craft advisory for this area.

These winds should have no issue pushing south and west thru the
strait and even into puget sound. Confidence is not high enough
across the strait or into the sound to issue small craft but winds
will be close. Day shift will need to closely monitor. A brief
decrease in winds can be expected this afternoon before another,
stronger push of air from the NE again runs down the same waters
this evening and overnight tonight. This push looks to be strong
enough to warrant a small craft advisory across the northern inland
waters, the entire strait and into the northern and central coastal
waters. Admiralty and puget sound still need to be monitored. Winds
should calm back down Saturday.

Kovacik
hydrology... River floor flooding is unlikely for the next seven days.

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... None.

Pz... Small craft advisory from 7 pm this evening to 4 am pst Saturday
for central u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca-coastal
waters from CAPE flattery to james island 10 to 60 nm-
coastal waters from CAPE flattery to james island out 10 nm-
coastal waters from james island to point grenville 10 to
60 nm-coastal waters from james island to point grenville
out 10 nm-east entrance u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca-
west entrance u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca.

Small craft advisory until 4 am pst early this morning for
central u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca-east entrance
u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca.

Small craft advisory from 7 am this morning to 4 am pst Saturday
for northern inland waters including the san juan islands.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 10 mi39 min W 4.1 G 6 50°F 50°F1024.3 hPa
46120 21 mi40 min NE 5.8 51°F 1022.5 hPa50°F
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 24 mi61 min NNW 8.9 G 9.9 50°F 1023.8 hPa (+0.8)47°F
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 27 mi51 min N 12 G 13 51°F 1023.5 hPa (+0.7)51°F
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 31 mi81 min N 1 49°F 1023 hPa49°F
EBSW1 - 9447130 - Seattle, WA 33 mi33 min NW 2.9 G 8.9 52°F 53°F1023.2 hPa
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 37 mi31 min NNE 5.8 G 7.8 50°F 49°F1 ft1023.6 hPa48°F
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 42 mi75 min Calm G 1.9 49°F 50°F1023.7 hPa
PTAW1 - 9444090 - Port Angeles, WA 45 mi75 min SSE 2.9 G 4.1 50°F 49°F1024.1 hPa
46118 48 mi56 min 48°F 1023.3 hPa48°F

Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Everett Snohomish County, WA19 mi58 minNW 40.25 miFog49°F48°F100%1023.4 hPa
Whidbey Island Naval Air Station - Ault Field, WA23 mi55 minN 52.00 miOvercast52°F46°F83%1025 hPa

Wind History from PAE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4SE5SE6SE8SE12S4SE6SE7SE7SE7SE8SE6SE11SE10SE6SE7SE6SE6SE9S3CalmCalmW3NW4
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Tide / Current Tables for Bush Point, Washington
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Bush Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:23 AM PST     1.92 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:18 AM PST     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:49 AM PST     9.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:04 PM PST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:31 PM PST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:25 PM PST     4.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:51 PM PST     5.56 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.63.832.3222.73.95.478.39.19.398.37.36.25.34.74.44.44.95.45.6

Tide / Current Tables for Bush Point Light, 0.5 mile NW of, Washington Current
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Bush Point Light
Click for MapFlood direction 141 true
Ebb direction 309 true

Fri -- 01:36 AM PST     -1.87 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 05:12 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:18 AM PST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:35 AM PST     1.69 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:51 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:04 PM PST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:15 PM PST     -2.34 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 04:31 PM PST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:01 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:30 PM PST     0.28 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:03 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.4-1.8-1.8-1.5-1-0.20.61.21.61.71.30.7-0.1-1.2-2-2.3-2.2-1.8-1.2-0.5-00.20.30

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.