Sunrise 5:44 AM   Sunset 8:29 PM Moonrise 3:03 AM   Moonset 1:59 PM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall

PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 244 Pm Pdt Fri May 3 2024
Tonight - S wind to 10 kt becoming E after midnight. Wind waves 1 ft. Sat - W wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft. Sat night - S wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft. Sun - S wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. Sun night - S wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. Mon - S wind 5 to 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. Mon night - W wind 10 to 20 kt becoming sw to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. Tue - SW wind to 10 kt becoming nw 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. Wed - S wind to 10 kt becoming nw. Wind waves 1 ft.

PZZ100 244 Pm Pdt Fri May 3 2024
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters - A frontal system will continue to move across the area waters into Saturday followed by another system Sunday night into Monday. High pressure will then build back into the coastal waters on Tuesday.

FXUS66 KSEW 032138 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 238 PM PDT Fri May 3 2024

SYNOPSIS
A shift back to cool, wet unsettled conditions will prevail across Western Washington through early next week. A significant change in the weather pattern is expected for the second half of next week as high pressure aloft leads to warmer and drier conditions.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Rain had yet to reach coastal areas as of 130 PDT (2030Z) as an occluded front ahead of a broad upper trough offshore gradually advances toward the region. Rain will spread across the Olympic Peninsula by early evening, but will be slow to get into Puget Sound eastward initially. As the upper trough axis shifts into the Oregon coastal waters early Saturday, a weakening frontal boundary will slowly lift northeastward across Western Washington. Low level easterly flow will shift onshore and increase behind it. This will allow the air mass to moisten up for increasing precip coverage by Saturday afternoon. Overall QPF will be heavily focused on the southwest half of the CWA

The upper trough is expected to shift into the Great Basin by early Sunday with wrap-around precip continuing to fall across parts of Western Washington. Onshore flow will ramp up through the day on Sunday as another upper trough moves toward the area.
Increasing orographic lift will lead to a fairly wet Sunday afternoon and evening in the mountains, but much of the Puget Sound area looks to be rain shadowed.

An upper trough axis will swing onshore on Monday. With colder air aloft, this will destabilize things enough to warrant the mention of a slight chance of thunderstorms. Snow levels will dip to some of the higher passes, but amounts look to be light. A convergence zone looks likely to form on Monday as well.
Temperatures throughout the short term forecast period will be several degrees below normal, but changes are afoot.


LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Cool, showery conditions will persist into Tuesday as the upper trough axis slowly shifts east of the Cascades. For Wednesday and beyond, ensembles are nearly unanimous that upper ridging will build over the northeast Pacific as downstream a broad upper trough takes up residence over the eastern two thirds of the lower 48. There is still considerable uncertainty with regards to how warm it will get.
Current forecasts reflect the NBM 50th percentile forecast...which brings mid 70s to Seattle by next Friday. A noteworthy number of ensemble members (particularly the GFS) have temperatures teasing 80 degrees by late next week for some areas. Rough winds do shake the darling buds of May, but we might compare thee to a summers day by next weekend. 27

AVIATION
An upper level trough will move through western Washington this evening with south to southwesterly flow aloft.
Mid to high level clouds have spread throughout most of the interior ahead of an approaching frontal system. VFR conditions this afternoon will likely continue throughout the majority of the evening. Winds at the surface will remain south to southeasterly and be gusty at times as the frontal system moves through the area. Winds will turn more north/northeasterly into the overnight period.

Rain will start along coastal terminals this afternoon around 21-23z, with rain slowly making its way into the interior, likely around 03-07z. Ceilings will stay VFR into the evening before gradually falling to MVFR/IFR, starting with coastal locations around 05z, and interior terminals around 10-12z. A mixed bag of MVFR/IFR conditions will persist through Saturday morning as showers continue over the region.

KSEA...VFR this afternoon with high clouds already over the area ahead of a front moving onshore. S/SE winds this afternoon around 8 to 12 knots will transition to more of a SW component this evening as rain showers moves towards the terminal. Rain showers will start to impact the terminal around 04z but VFR conditions should continue. Winds will then turn N/NE around 08z and increase to around 10 to 12 kts by Saturday morning. Ceilings will gradually lower into Saturday morning, with MVFR conditions likely around after 12z

Maz

MARINE
A frontal system will continue to move through the coastal waters into afternoon with increased southerly winds over the outer coastal waters. A small craft advisory for the outer waters will continue through the evening, with southerly winds will subside into the overnight hours. Heading into the weekend, guidance suggests several westerly pushes through the Strait of Juan De Fuca, likely yielding additional headlines.

Another system looks to track into the area waters through the first half of next week.

Combined seas this afternoon around 3 to 5 feet will gradually increase to around 6 to 8 feet by Sunday. Confidence is increasing that seas look to hover around 9 to 11 feet Monday night into tuesday, with the higher heights mostly in the outer water zones.

Maz

HYDROLOGY
No river flooding is expected over the next 7 days.



SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM PDT this evening for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Oak Bay
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:55 AM PDT     9.43 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:02 AM PDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:48 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:14 AM PDT     4.60 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:34 PM PDT     6.75 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:58 PM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:11 PM PDT     1.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:27 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Oak Bay, Washington, Tide feet

Port Townsend Canal
Click for MapFlood direction 150° true
Ebb direction 330° true

Fri -- 02:42 AM PDT     -2.52 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 04:02 AM PDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:48 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:16 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:53 AM PDT     2.09 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:54 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:50 PM PDT     -2.33 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 02:58 PM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:40 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:27 PM PDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:05 PM PDT     2.77 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Port Townsend Canal, Washington Current, knots

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Seattle/Tacoma, WA,