Sunrise 5:28 AM   Sunset 8:44 PM Moonrise 10:24 AM   Moonset 1:27 AM

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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 206 Pm Pdt Tue May 14 2024
Tonight - NW wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Wed - NW wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less. Wed night - NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. Thu - SW wind to 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Thu night - W wind 20 to 30 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. Fri - W wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. Fri night - NW wind 15 to 25 kt becoming W 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft or less after midnight. Sat - S wind to 10 kt becoming W 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Sun - S wind to 10 kt becoming nw. Wind waves 1 ft or less.

PZZ100 206 Pm Pdt Tue May 14 2024
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters - Broad surface ridging will remain centered well offshore with low pressure inland throughout the week ahead for varying degrees of onshore flow.

FXUS66 KSEW 142058 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 158 PM PDT Tue May 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dry northwest flow aloft will continue through early Thursday as high pressure builds offshore. An upper trough will dip southward on Thursday from British Columbia, bringing cooler temperatures and periods of precipitation mainly over the mountains. Unsettled conditions are favored to persist into early next week with cooler temperatures and chances for light showers over higher terrain.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
High pressure aloft will continue to build off the Pacific coast through Wednesday, allowing for dry northwest flow over western Washington. Onshore flow will bring in passing high clouds with temperatures today peaking near the 70 degree mark for much of the lowlands. High pressure will build towards the Pacific Northwest on Wednesday, allowing for the drying and warming trend to continue. Most areas will see a few more degrees in warming with most Puget Sound lowlands peaking in the mid 70s.

The pattern will shift on Thursday as an upper level trough drops southward from British Columbia on Thursday. A cold front will cross the region throughout the day, bringing in breezy winds, a round of precipitation, and cooler temperatures. The bulk of the moisture with this system will be focused over the Northern Cascades with minimal accumulations elsewhere. Snow levels will drop to 4000 ft by early Friday morning, though any snow accumulations will be light and will be limited to the highest peaks. The upper trough axis will swing across the Pacific Northwest on Friday, maintaining breezy conditions and light shower activity over the mountains. Temperatures will dip slightly below normal on Thursday and Friday with most areas seeing highs in the low to mid 60s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Forecast confidence decreases heading into the weekend with ensembles continuing to show a wide range of solutions. Forecast models highlight the potential for troughing through the extended, favoring slightly below normal temperatures and periods of cloudy skies and light precipitation over higher terrain.

Lindeman

AVIATION
High pressure/riding over the Pacific will continue to build off coast, with flow as a result remaining northwesterly through the forecast. Pushes through the Strait of Juan de Fuca has resulted in diffluence with winds splitting to the southwest (north of the east entrance), and north/northwest (south of the east entrance). Winds this afternoon will max out at 5 to 10 kt (gusting to 15 kt). Tonight, expect more northeasterlies at or under 5 kt with a few terminals having variable winds.

Ceilings are expected to remain VFR through tonight (with a few cumulus and high cirrus). A marine push tomorrow morning may result in low-end VFR/high-end MVFR cloud decks reaching as far as west Puget Sound Wednesday morning. Confidence remains low east of stratus reaching east of Kitsap at this time.

KSEA...VFR conditions through tonight with high cirrus/few cumulus clouds in the area. There is around a 30% chance of MVFR ceilings Wednesday morning (15% chance of IFR) but due to disagreements in models, confidence at this time is low in how far the marine push will reach inland. Northwest winds 5-10 kt becoming northeast at 5 kt overnight.

HPR

MARINE
High pressure/upper-level ridging will continue to build over the Pacific through the week, resulting in northwest flow translating to north/northwest surface winds. This afternoon's push is expected to bring gusty winds to the coastal waters, and then the Strait of Juan de Fuca (will continue the small craft advisories).
Another push is expected in the strait late Wednesday afternoon into Thursday, with a much stronger push (potentially resulting in gales)
arriving over the coastal waters/strait Friday into Saturday (as a result of a trough pushing through). Winds die down for most areas (except the outer coastal waters) this weekend into early next week.

Seas will hold around 4 to 6 ft through Friday before increasing 8 to 12 ft from Friday into the weekend, reducing to 6 to 8 ft next week.

HPR

HYDROLOGY
The daily hydrology discussion has ended until the start of the next rainy season; it will only be updated as needed.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening for West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Wednesday for Central U.S.
Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 5 AM PDT Wednesday for East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Wednesday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm.

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Mystery Bay
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:27 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:32 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:04 AM PDT     5.72 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:54 AM PDT     5.66 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:23 AM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:21 PM PDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:42 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Mystery Bay, Washington, Tide feet

Port Townsend Canal
Click for MapFlood direction 150° true
Ebb direction 330° true

Tue -- 02:27 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:13 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:16 AM PDT     1.38 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:32 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:25 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:09 AM PDT     -2.19 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 11:24 AM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:49 PM PDT     0.03 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:44 PM PDT     2.61 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 08:42 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:32 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Port Townsend Canal, Washington Current, knots

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