Warm Beach, WA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Warm Beach, WA

May 18, 2024 6:02 AM PDT (13:02 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:23 AM   Sunset 8:47 PM
Moonrise 2:53 PM   Moonset 2:30 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 210 Am Pdt Sat May 18 2024

Today - SW wind to 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 ft or less.

Tonight - NW wind 5 to 15 kt becoming sw to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less.

Sun - Light wind. Wind waves less than 1 ft.

Sun night - NW wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.

Mon - Light wind. Wind waves less than 1 ft.

Mon night - NW wind to 10 kt becoming W after midnight. Wind waves 1 ft or less.

Tue - S wind to 10 kt becoming w. Wind waves 1 ft or less.

Wed - NW wind to 10 kt becoming light. Wind waves 1 ft or less.

PZZ100 210 Am Pdt Sat May 18 2024

Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters - Broad surface ridging will remain centered well offshore with low pressure inland and will result in onshore flow for much of the forecast period. High pressure well offshore looks to remain into early next week. Another frontal system looks to traverse the area waters on Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Warm Beach, WA
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Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 180928 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 228 AM PDT Sat May 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
An upper level trough will produce cool and occasionally showery conditions across Western Washington today into early Sunday. The trough will move east of the region by Sunday afternoon and a weak upper level ridge will give drier and somewhat warmer conditions on Monday. Another trough will arrive on Tuesday for a return to cool and unsettled conditions for much of next week.

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Early morning satellite imagery shows the next in a series of upper level troughs slipping down the British Columbia coast toward the region. Onshore flow will increase through the day as this system digs southward through the area. Shower coverage will increase later this morning...especially across the northern half of the CWA A convergence zone is likely to form by late morning then gradually drag southward across Puget Sound through the afternoon before dissipating in the Cascades late this evening. High temperatures will be a good 5 to 10 degrees below normal.

The upper trough axis will shift east of the Cascades tonight and only a few remnant showers in the Cascades are expected by Sunday morning. Drier northerly flow aloft takes over Sunday afternoon and most lowland locations should see some afternoon sunshine...allowing high temperatures to nudge upward a few degrees. Weak upper ridging will move across the area on Monday and low level onshore flow will weaken. That spells drier and marginally warmer conditions...if only briefly.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
By early Tuesday, the ridge gives way to yet another upper trough digging southward over British Columbia. We'll see a return to cool and wetter conditions on Tuesday. The QPF totals with this system look fairly robust by late May standards. Cool and showery conditions look to continue into Wednesday as the upper trough continues to progress southeastward across the Pacific Northwest. The forecast details become more uncertain late next week. In general, ensembles maintain negative height anomalies over the western third of the lower 48 with strong ridging centered over the Gulf of Alaska.
But there are considerable differences amongst ensemble members with the placement and depth of the trough over the Western US.
Current forecast from the NBM have mostly chance PoPs and temps a little below average late next week. This seems like a reasonable forecast until the overall picture becomes clearer. 27

AVIATION
A weak upper level trough will cross western WA today for a chance of showers. The flow aloft is westerly. The low level air mass remains moist with MVFR ceilings likely in the central sound (where convergence zone showers are also expected).
Showers will decrease in coverage tonight as the trough exits east. With onshore flow, MVFR cigs will likely reform during the overnight hours tonight. 33

KSEA...MVFR conditions this morning with light showers in the vicinity. Winds shifting to N around 21z then back to S by 06z tonight. 33

MARINE
High pressure over the NE Pacific will maintain onshore flow across western WA through the weekend. Strongest winds will be over the Strait of Juan de Fuca with Small Craft Advisory winds extending through late tonight. The next frontal system will reach the region early next week. 33



HYDROLOGY
The daily hydrology discussion has ended until the start of the next rainy season; it will only be updated as needed.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Sunday for Central U.S.
Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 21 mi44 min WSW 7G11 50°F 50°F30.12
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 23 mi92 min S 2.9 50°F 30.0940°F
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 27 mi32 min W 20G25 49°F 30.0947°F
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 33 mi62 min ENE 5.1G6 50°F 30.1145°F
BMTW1 42 mi44 min NNW 2.9G6 49°F 30.12
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 44 mi86 min WSW 8.9G14 48°F 50°F30.09
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 45 mi32 min WSW 18G21 49°F 50°F30.1044°F


Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KAWO ARLINGTON MUNI,WA 11 sm66 mincalm10 smOvercast48°F43°F81%30.11
KPAE SNOHOMISH COUNTY (PAINE FLD),WA 17 sm69 minNNE 0410 smOvercast50°F41°F71%30.10
KNUW WHIDBEY ISLAND NAS /AULT FIELD/,WA 21 sm69 minW 1510 smMostly Cloudy48°F43°F81%30.09
KBVS SKAGIT RGNL,WA 23 sm27 mincalm10 smOvercast48°F46°F93%30.10
Link to 5 minute data for KAWO


Wind History from AWO
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Kayak Point, Washington
   
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Kayak Point
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Sat -- 02:19 AM PDT     10.65 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:30 AM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:25 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:06 AM PDT     2.96 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:13 PM PDT     7.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:53 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:23 PM PDT     4.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:46 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Kayak Point, Washington, Tide feet
12
am
8.8
1
am
10
2
am
10.6
3
am
10.5
4
am
9.6
5
am
8.1
6
am
6.3
7
am
4.6
8
am
3.4
9
am
3
10
am
3.2
11
am
4.1
12
pm
5.4
1
pm
6.6
2
pm
7.5
3
pm
7.9
4
pm
7.7
5
pm
7.1
6
pm
6
7
pm
5
8
pm
4.4
9
pm
4.5
10
pm
5.2
11
pm
6.5


Tide / Current for Mutiny Bay, 3.3 miles SE of, Washington Current
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Mutiny Bay
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Sat -- 02:05 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:31 AM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:41 AM PDT     -1.05 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:26 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:15 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:23 AM PDT     0.61 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 03:03 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:54 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:54 PM PDT     -0.61 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:47 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:31 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 09:58 PM PDT     0.71 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Mutiny Bay, 3.3 miles SE of, Washington Current, knots
12
am
0.5
1
am
0.3
2
am
0
3
am
-0.8
4
am
-1
5
am
-1
6
am
-0.9
7
am
-0.7
8
am
-0.5
9
am
-0.3
10
am
-0
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.5
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
0
4
pm
-0.6
5
pm
-0.6
6
pm
-0.5
7
pm
-0.4
8
pm
-0.2
9
pm
-0.1
10
pm
0.7
11
pm
0.7


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Pacific Northwest   
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Seattle/Tacoma, WA,




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