Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Northwest Stanwood, WA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:09AMSunset 9:17PM Monday June 26, 2017 8:47 PM PDT (03:47 UTC) Moonrise 7:25AMMoonset 10:20PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 256 Pm Pdt Mon Jun 26 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 pm this evening to midnight pdt tonight...
Tonight..NW wind 15 to 25 kt, easing after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft, subsiding.
Tue..Variable wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Tue night..NW wind 10 to 20 kt, easing late. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft, subsiding.
Wed..NW wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Wed night..NW wind 10 to 20 kt easing late. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft, subsiding.
Thu and Thu night..NW wind 10 kt or less. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Sat..Variable wind 10 kt or less. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 256 Pm Pdt Mon Jun 26 2017
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..High pres offshore with lower pres E of the cascades will result in onshore flow of varying strength this week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Northwest Stanwood, WA
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location: 48.25, -122.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 270332
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
832 pm pdt Mon jun 26 2017

Synopsis A surface ridge offshore will maintain an onshore flow
pattern over western washington through this weekend with morning
low clouds and afternoon sunshine and temperatures near or a little
above normal. An upper level ridge will move over the area Thursday
and Friday for a brief warmer period. A weak front may brush the
area with more clouds and possibly a few showers later this weekend.

Short term A weak upper level trough moving across the region
this evening is still bringing some mid and high level clouds to the
south half of W wa. There was still a little bit of stratus along
the central wa coast. Quite benign compared to the hammering the
upper level trough has been giving SE wa from severe thunderstorms.

This benign pattern will continue for W wa this week, dominated by
the surface ridge presently centered about 750 nm offshore near
140w. This ridge will maintain a typical mild onshore flow pattern
across W wa through this weekend, modulated by the upper level
pattern. A low amplitude somewhat broad upper level trough will be
over the region through Wednesday. This will allow the onshore flow
to be a little stronger Tuesday and Wednesday which will produce
more morning low clouds and cap high temperatures in the lower to
mid 70s. The marine layer will remain moist enough to allow low
stratus clouds to reform late tonight and again Tuesday night, with
more complete coverage across the W wa lowlands than this morning.

Burn-off should be about the same each day, 18z-19z 11 am-noon,
leaving mostly sunny skies in the afternoon. The stratus will take a
little longer to clear from the coast and some spots along the
coastline may only get some brief afternoon clearing.

An offshore upper level ridge will be slowly approaching the region
through Wednesday, finally reaching about 250 nm offshore near 130w
Thursday morning. The ridge will weaken the onshore flow and provide
a little more warming, allowing high temperatures to reach the mid
to upper 70s Thursday followed by highs in the lower 80s on Friday.

Continuing but weaker onshore flow should produce less morning
stratus Thursday and Friday mornings, but burn-off will likely still
occur later in the morning. Kam

Long term Previous discussion from the 348 pm afd... Medium range
models models remain in good agreement through Friday, showing the
upper ridge axis overhead around midday Friday. This will make it
the warmest day of the week, however low level onshore flow and
morning clouds will continue to limit the warming. Temperatures will
rise into the low to mid 80s through parts of the interior, and
remain in the mid to upper 60s along the coast and strait. Models
still begin to differ on the details Saturday onward. The ECMWF and
canadian models continue to be a little more aggressive with a
system moving from the gulf of alaska into british columbia
Saturday, while the GFS continues to be much weaker with this
system. The GFS continues to keep the area dry through Sunday while
the ECMWF and canadian bring a chance of showers to western
washington late Saturday night into Sunday. For now the forecast
leans towards the majority forecast, with a slight chance of showers
Saturday night through Monday - mainly for the northern portion of
the forecast area. Highs will cool back down to near normal, as the
Fridays upper level ridge shifts to the east and low level onshore
flow stays in place into early next week.

Aviation A very typical pattern of morning clouds and afternoon
sun is expected for the interior of western washington over the next
few days. The coast from about hoquiam south had marine layer
stratus for most of the day today, and it has already started to
push back in. The air mass is stable. Southwest flow aloft will
become northwest on Tuesday.

Ksea... Morning clouds and afternoon Sun are on tap for Tuesday--the
southerly breeze will probably turn around to the northwest for the
late afternoon and evening hours.

Marine High pres offshore with lower pres E of the cascades will
result in onshore flow of varying strength this week. The flow is
strong enough for a gale warning in the central and eastern strait
or juan de fuca again this evening.

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... None.

Pz... Gale warning until midnight pdt tonight for central strait of
juan de fuca-east entrance strait of juan de fuca.

Small craft advisories are in effect for parts of the coastal
waters, west entrance to the strait of juan de fuca, and
admiralty inlet.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 15 mi77 min W 8.9 61°F 1014 hPa49°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 17 mi47 min WSW 8.9 G 13 62°F 53°F1014.6 hPa (+0.0)
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 19 mi47 min S 22 G 24 53°F 1013.6 hPa (+0.3)
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 34 mi71 min Calm G 1.9 59°F 51°F1012.9 hPa
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 36 mi57 min W 23 G 27 58°F 51°F3 ft1011.5 hPa (-0.8)47°F
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 41 mi47 min SSE 9.9 G 11 62°F 1014.3 hPa (+0.3)54°F
CPMW1 44 mi47 min S 12 G 14 58°F
EBSW1 - 9447130 - Seattle, WA 45 mi47 min SW 6 G 8 66°F 53°F1014.2 hPa (-0.0)
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA 45 mi47 min SE 2.9 G 8 1012.7 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Whidbey Island Naval Air Station - Ault Field, WA11 mi51 minSW 19 G 2910.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy59°F46°F64%1014.7 hPa
Burlington/Mount Vernon, Skagit Regional Airport, WA16 mi52 minSW 6 G 128.00 miFair61°F48°F63%1013.9 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, WA18 mi51 minN 810.00 miFair67°F50°F55%1014.6 hPa

Wind History from NUW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8SW74SW7S7SW10
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmW4NW4NW6W5W5W9W7W6W5SW3W6SW6
2 days agoW5CalmSW3CalmCalmSE3SE4CalmCalmNW3CalmW4NW3NW3NW5W6W7W9W8W6W6W5W4W3

Tide / Current Tables for Stanwood, Washington
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Stanwood
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Mon -- 03:29 AM PDT     1.79 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:10 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:34 AM PDT     6.70 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:24 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:30 PM PDT     -0.82 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:01 PM PDT     7.90 feet High Tide
Mon -- 09:14 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:19 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.73.42.41.92.14.16.36.76.35.64.63.42.10.8-0.2-0.8-0.60.83.25.67.37.97.66.9

Tide / Current Tables for Mutiny Bay, 3.3 miles SE of, Washington Current
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Mutiny Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:20 AM PDT     0.62 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 02:34 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:12 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:23 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:10 AM PDT     -1.58 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:25 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:11 PM PDT     0.01 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:14 PM PDT     2.05 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 08:52 PM PDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Mon -- 09:14 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:31 PM PDT     -1.07 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 11:20 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
00.40.60.40.910.4-0.7-1.6-1.5-1.4-1.2-0.8-0.5-0.11.921.81.410.5-0.3-1-0.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.