Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Birch Bay, WA
May 13, 2024 9:17 PM PDT (04:17 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:28 AM Sunset 8:46 PM Moonrise 9:10 AM Moonset 1:04 AM |
PZZ133 Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands- 215 Pm Pdt Mon May 13 2024
Tonight - SW wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Tue - W wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night - SW wind 5 to 15 kt becoming S to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Wed - SW wind to 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night - SW wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Thu - SW wind 5 to 15 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less building to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon.
Thu night - W wind 20 to 30 kt easing to 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 1 to 3 ft after midnight.
Fri - W wind 5 to 15 kt becoming sw to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Sat - SW wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 215 Pm Pdt Mon May 13 2024
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters - Broad surface ridging will remain centered well offshore with low pressure inland throughout the week ahead for varying degrees of onshore flow.
Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 140305 AFDSEW
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 805 PM PDT Mon May 13 2024
UPDATE
A convergence zone lacked enough moisture to form showers this evening, ending the last chance for precipitation for the next few days. Low stratus will develop across portions of the Puget Sound and along the coast early this morning, though likely not as extensively as last night. Conditions will improve as the sun comes up, leading to a mostly sunny and mild afternoon across western Washington. No updates this evening.
SYNOPSIS
Building high pressure will allow for temperatures to rebound upward Tuesday and Wednesday. Weak systems will bring temperatures back down by Friday into the weekend and may bring with them chances for precipitation across the region.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Upper level ridging will nose into the region Tuesday and build through Wednesday allowing for temperatures to rebound up both days. Slight cooling is expected Thursday as a wave flattens the ridge. HeatRisk levels will remain in the green and yellow categories through the period.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Forecast confidence wanes somewhat Friday through the weekend as ensemble guidance continues to struggle with the synoptic flow. The general consensus is for additional waves to move through the area keeping temperatures mild and precipitation chances in the forecast. That said, even at the extremes of the ensemble envelope there doesn't currently appear to be a signal for any significant weather hazards during the extended period. -Wolcott-
AVIATION
Mostly low end VFR with areas of MVFR behind the passage of a cold front. Mid level ceilings are anticipated to lower during the early morning hours of Tuesday with a low probability of ceilings getting below MVFR for most inland areas.
Ceilings will improve throughout the late morning Tuesday as high pressure builds into the region. Onshore flow will continue with north/northwest flow with breezy winds at KHQM/KCLM/KBLI generally lessening this evening to 8 kt or less overnight.
KSEA...Low end VFR with northeast surface winds 10-13 kt decreasing into the evening to 8 kt or less. Ceilings hold a low chance (20% to 30%) of lowering to MVFR 2000-2500 ft between 08z-15z Tues, so left as SCT for now. Ceilings will scatter out by the late morning with dry conditions and north/northeast surface winds 10 kt or less Tuesday.
AL
MARINE
Gusty SCA winds behind the passing of an upper level trough in the Central/East Strait of Juan de Fuca and the Admiralty Inlet will continue through the late evening. High pressure will build off the coast during the week, with troughing to the east. Strong northwesterlies will translate downward towards the surface, so a couple periods of gusty winds are possible in the outer coastal waters Tuesday evening into Wednesday, as well as the central Strait of Juan de Fuca. A stronger push looks probable Wednesday into Thursday for these areas, and again Friday for the coast.
Seas will hold around 6 to 8 ft through Friday before increasing 8 to 12 ft from Friday into the weekend.
HPR/AL
HYDROLOGY
The daily hydrology discussion has ended until the start of the next rainy season; it will only be updated as needed.
SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for Central U.S.
Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.
Small Craft Advisory until midnight PDT tonight for Admiralty Inlet.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 805 PM PDT Mon May 13 2024
UPDATE
A convergence zone lacked enough moisture to form showers this evening, ending the last chance for precipitation for the next few days. Low stratus will develop across portions of the Puget Sound and along the coast early this morning, though likely not as extensively as last night. Conditions will improve as the sun comes up, leading to a mostly sunny and mild afternoon across western Washington. No updates this evening.
SYNOPSIS
Building high pressure will allow for temperatures to rebound upward Tuesday and Wednesday. Weak systems will bring temperatures back down by Friday into the weekend and may bring with them chances for precipitation across the region.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Upper level ridging will nose into the region Tuesday and build through Wednesday allowing for temperatures to rebound up both days. Slight cooling is expected Thursday as a wave flattens the ridge. HeatRisk levels will remain in the green and yellow categories through the period.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Forecast confidence wanes somewhat Friday through the weekend as ensemble guidance continues to struggle with the synoptic flow. The general consensus is for additional waves to move through the area keeping temperatures mild and precipitation chances in the forecast. That said, even at the extremes of the ensemble envelope there doesn't currently appear to be a signal for any significant weather hazards during the extended period. -Wolcott-
AVIATION
Mostly low end VFR with areas of MVFR behind the passage of a cold front. Mid level ceilings are anticipated to lower during the early morning hours of Tuesday with a low probability of ceilings getting below MVFR for most inland areas.
Ceilings will improve throughout the late morning Tuesday as high pressure builds into the region. Onshore flow will continue with north/northwest flow with breezy winds at KHQM/KCLM/KBLI generally lessening this evening to 8 kt or less overnight.
KSEA...Low end VFR with northeast surface winds 10-13 kt decreasing into the evening to 8 kt or less. Ceilings hold a low chance (20% to 30%) of lowering to MVFR 2000-2500 ft between 08z-15z Tues, so left as SCT for now. Ceilings will scatter out by the late morning with dry conditions and north/northeast surface winds 10 kt or less Tuesday.
AL
MARINE
Gusty SCA winds behind the passing of an upper level trough in the Central/East Strait of Juan de Fuca and the Admiralty Inlet will continue through the late evening. High pressure will build off the coast during the week, with troughing to the east. Strong northwesterlies will translate downward towards the surface, so a couple periods of gusty winds are possible in the outer coastal waters Tuesday evening into Wednesday, as well as the central Strait of Juan de Fuca. A stronger push looks probable Wednesday into Thursday for these areas, and again Friday for the coast.
Seas will hold around 6 to 8 ft through Friday before increasing 8 to 12 ft from Friday into the weekend.
HPR/AL
HYDROLOGY
The daily hydrology discussion has ended until the start of the next rainy season; it will only be updated as needed.
SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for Central U.S.
Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.
Small Craft Advisory until midnight PDT tonight for Admiralty Inlet.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA | 11 mi | 48 min | 30.09 | |||||
CPMW1 | 11 mi | 48 min | S 8.9G | 56°F | ||||
CPNW1 | 11 mi | 48 min | SSE 6G | 55°F | ||||
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA | 15 mi | 42 min | 0G | 56°F | 49°F | 30.11 | ||
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA | 30 mi | 48 min | WSW 5.1 | 56°F | 30.09 | 44°F | ||
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA | 30 mi | 28 min | W 20G | 53°F | 30.11 | 49°F | ||
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) | 32 mi | 38 min | W 21G | 52°F | 49°F | 30.12 | 45°F | |
46303 | 34 mi | 18 min | SE 3.9G | 58°F | 59°F | 1 ft | 30.09 | |
46304 | 45 mi | 18 min | SSW 3.9G | 57°F | 58°F | 1 ft | 30.09 | |
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA | 45 mi | 48 min | WSW 11G | 54°F | 50°F | 30.13 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT HIDE  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KORS ORCAS ISLAND,WA | 3 sm | 22 min | S 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 57°F | 46°F | 67% | 30.09 | |
KFHR FRIDAY HARBOR,WA | 17 sm | 24 min | WSW 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 55°F | 43°F | 62% | 30.10 | |
KBLI BELLINGHAM INTL,WA | 19 sm | 24 min | SSW 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 55°F | 46°F | 72% | 30.09 |
Tide / Current for Echo Bay, Sucia Islands, Strait of Georgia, Washington
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Echo Bay, Sucia Islands, Strait of Georgia, Washington, Tide feet
Parker Reef Light
Click for MapFlood direction 65° true
Ebb direction 265° true
Mon -- 01:20 AM PDT -0.41 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:04 AM PDT Moonset
Mon -- 05:31 AM PDT Sunrise
Mon -- 06:21 AM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:06 AM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:21 AM PDT 0.03 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:09 AM PDT Moonrise
Mon -- 12:03 PM PDT -0.92 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:06 PM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:44 PM PDT Sunset
Mon -- 09:31 PM PDT 1.67 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for MapFlood direction 65° true
Ebb direction 265° true
Mon -- 01:20 AM PDT -0.41 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:04 AM PDT Moonset
Mon -- 05:31 AM PDT Sunrise
Mon -- 06:21 AM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:06 AM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:21 AM PDT 0.03 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:09 AM PDT Moonrise
Mon -- 12:03 PM PDT -0.92 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:06 PM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:44 PM PDT Sunset
Mon -- 09:31 PM PDT 1.67 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Parker Reef Light, 1 mile North of, Washington Current, knots
12 am |
-0.2 |
1 am |
-0.4 |
2 am |
-0.4 |
3 am |
-0.3 |
4 am |
-0.3 |
5 am |
-0.2 |
6 am |
-0 |
7 am |
0 |
8 am |
0 |
9 am |
-0.1 |
10 am |
-0.4 |
11 am |
-0.8 |
12 pm |
-0.9 |
1 pm |
-0.9 |
2 pm |
-0.8 |
3 pm |
-0.6 |
4 pm |
-0.3 |
5 pm |
-0 |
6 pm |
0.5 |
7 pm |
1 |
8 pm |
1.4 |
9 pm |
1.6 |
10 pm |
1.6 |
11 pm |
1 |
Seattle/Tacoma, WA,
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