Sunday, March18, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 6:54PM Sunday March 18, 2018 6:41 AM AZOT (07:41 UTC) Moonrise 6:55AMMoonset 7:17PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug

Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 180402
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1202 am edt Sun mar 18 2018

Cold high pressure will build down from canada overnight and
Sunday then crest south of the region Sunday night into Monday.

Low pressure will track well south of the area on Tuesday.

Near term through Sunday
12:02 am update: it feels more like the middle of january
across the CWA early morning with temperatures mostly in the
single digits and lower teens. A gusty wind is producing wind
chills in the zero to 10 below range. Mainly clear the remainder
of the night with a local streamer or two off the saint
lawrence river that could produce a few patches of clouds in the
far north and west. Also, some high clouds may try to back into
northeast portions of the CWA around low pressure over
labrador. All in all, the forecast is in fine shape with only
minor tweaks to the forecast elements based on the midnight
observations and satellite pictures.

Previous discussion...

low pressure well to our northeast combined with high pressure
building down from canada will bring a very cold night tonight.

Sunday will be another very cold day as the high continues to
build in from the northwest. A weak upper level shortwave
sliding south across the region around midday combined with
heating from the mid march sunshine may produce some low level
convection. This could bring some light snow showers across
central and northern areas again. Otherwise, the day will be
mainly dry and cold. The cold weather will persist into Monday
as high pressure builds to our south although highs Monday will
not be as low as the weekend highs. Another weak upper level
shortwave sliding down from eastern canada will again bring a
chance for scattered flurries over the north during the midday
and afternoon Monday.

Short term Sunday night through Tuesday
Continued cold.

An upper trof will continue to influence the region this term
and beyond. This trof will continue to provide some cold temps
along W some clouds for Tuesday, mainly across the northern 1 2
of the cwa. The st. Lawrence remains open and W the flow coming
off the st. Lawrence, streamers or light snow could be a
nuisance especially over the st. John valley. Attm, decided to
keep slight chance for snow(20%) across the crown. The upside to
this is that the flow does not look to be strong, so activity
will be limited. Afternoon temps for Tuesday were bumped up a
few degrees W the help of the march sun.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
Closed upper low will drift across the state right into Thursday
w some more snow showers light snow possible. Low pres moving
is forecast to move off the mid atlc coast and looks like it
will remain well to the S of the region. This is supported by
the 12z ECMWF gfs and canadian global. Decided on a blend apch
and brought 20-30% chance for snow mainly along downeast given
that a track back to the W is possible. Some of the ensemble
members of the GFS and ECMWF show a track further W still
possible. Still time to assess this situation. It looks like
temps could moderate some both Thursday into Friday W daytime
temps running well into the 30s. This would allow for snowmelt.

At any rate, temps during this term are expected to continue
below normal.

Aviation 04z Sunday through Thursday
Near term: generally expectVFR conditions across the region
overnight through Monday. The exception will be in snow showers
across the north Sunday afternoon and again Monday afternoon
that may briefly lower conditions to MVFR at some sites.

Short term:VFR for the most part W the exception for the
northern terminals as there could be periods of MVFR during the
daytime hrs.

Near term: a small craft advisory remains in effect across the
waters overnight into Monday. Light freezing spray is also
expected overnight into Monday.

Short term: no headlines into Tuesday night W winds averaging 15
kts and seas around 3 ft. There is a chance that winds could
surge up to 25 kt by Wednesday W seas apchg 5-6 ft. Depending on
the track of the low to the s, winds could hit close to gale
force especially across the outer zones by Wednesday night.

The high temperature of 15f at caribou yesterday was just one
degree shy of the record low high temperature of 14f, set in

The 500 mb height on the 12z sounding at caribou on 3 17 was
500 dam. This was very close to a record low for the date.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Monday for anz050>052.

Near term... Bloomer cb
short term... Hewitt
long term... Hewitt
aviation... Bloomer CB hewitt
marine... Bloomer CB hewitt
climate... Cb

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62150 41 mi41 min ENE 27 32°F 14 ft1015.1 hPa (+1.3)22°F
62144 - North Sea 95 mi41 min E 29 34°F 13 ft1013.9 hPa (+1.3)22°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.