Sunday, September23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Saxman, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 7:30PM Sunday September 23, 2018 4:53 AM PDT (11:53 UTC) Moonrise 6:46PMMoonset 4:37AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ036 Clarence Strait- 303 Pm Akdt Sat Sep 22 2018
Tonight..NW wind 10 kt becoming se 15 kt late. Seas building to 3 ft late. Rain late.
Sun..S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
Sun night..SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Mon..S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Mon night..S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Tue..S wind 15 kt becoming w. Seas 3 ft.
Wed..NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Thu..Light winds becoming nw 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saxman, AK
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location: 55.33, -131.63     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 222253
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
253 pm akdt Sat sep 22 2018

Short term Saturday to Monday the rains have finally
arrived in southeast alaska. Though it looks as if southeast is
just being teased with the rain for the next few days. The
expected amounts are not going to going to exceed the climate
average for most days. As of Saturday afternoon it the rain is as
far east a CAPE fairweather. The rains will spread into the
northern panhandle Saturday evening and then south to the southern
panhandle. Rainfall should be totaling 1 to 2 inches based on the
forecasts. The rains are expected to diminish slightly on Sunday,
followed by another frontal band through that will move east-
southeast through the panhandle by Tuesday morning. This and the
one more system is discussed in the long term section below.

As the weather front gets closer there is an increase in wind, 20
to 25 kt winds for some of the inner channels as the pressure
gradient increases. The southern coastal waters will see the
westerly following winds post frontal moving in to the western
half of the coastal zones. The prolonged post frontal winds will
be building up following seas so will see seas build through the
early part of the week.

Overall forecast confidence is good. Pops were adjusted today and
tonight with NAM to try and adjust to the delayed timing of rain
onset through out the panhandle. Winds were refreshed as well for
details in the panhandle for tonight.

Long term Monday through Friday ... High pressure SE of the
gulf will continue to remain nearly stationary as the closed low
within the upper trough over the bering sea dissipates as it moves
over the ak interior. Deep layered ridge will then build in over
the gulf mid-to-late next week with a probable return to dry
conditions again by Friday.

The main concern in the mid-range forecast is the frontal feature
that will move E across the gulf and impact SE alaska Monday into
Tuesday. A triple point low may develop over the N gulf early
Monday with light rain spread across the panhandle ahead of the
warm sector. The front is forecast to slide south from yakutat
Monday afternoon to the southern panhandle by Tuesday morning. The
front may stall there before either lifting back north or ejecting
east, depending on model guidance. There is good model agreement
with the front early next week to coincide with a considerable
plume of moisture. Favored a blend of GFS nam to make slight
adjustments to pop and pressure field through Tuesday morning.

Afterwards operational models continue to struggle handling the
individual systems so nudged toward the wpc solution through the
rest of the week. Still expecting surface high pressure to build
in over the gulf by Friday, possibly finishing out september with
dry weather and above normal temperatures. Forecast confidence is
above average in the mid-range and average to below average in
the extended.

Aviation Marginal to ifr flight conditions for the northeast
gulf coast and starting to spread into the northern panhandle
through the evening hours. Expect the lowering ceilings and
visibilities over night and should continue into the morning.

Should be a brief periods of some llws from gustavus-juneau-sitka
area late tonight to early Sunday as the frontal does pass
through.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for pkz012-013-021-022-031-032-034-041>043-
052.

Small craft advisory due to seas for pkz051.

Bezenek ddh
visit us at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KECA2 - 9450460 - Ketchikan, AK 0 mi35 min 52°F 54°F1016.1 hPa
SLXA2 1 mi21 min NE 1.9 G 4.1 51°F 1016.2 hPa44°F
KEXA2 3 mi21 min ENE 4.1 G 5.1 52°F 1015.9 hPa46°F
MRYA2 29 mi21 min S 2.9 G 8
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK 75 mi43 min ESE 6 G 9.9 52°F 1013.4 hPa51°F
46145 - Central Dixon Entrance Buoy 79 mi53 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 54°F 53°F2 ft1016.5 hPa (+0.4)

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ketchikan, Ketchikan International Airport, AK4 mi60 minS 410.00 miOvercast52°F48°F89%1016.2 hPa
Annette Island Airport, AK20 mi2 hrsN 010.00 miOvercast51°F50°F96%1016.3 hPa
Metlakatla, Metlakatla Seaplane Base, AK23 mi57 minS 310.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F48°F80%1015.6 hPa

Wind History from AKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7NW6NW7W6NW5NW6NW8NW7NW7NW7NW4NW5NW3NW4NW5NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5S3S4
1 day agoNW8NW7NW7----N11N13N13N11NW10N13NW12
G19
NW13NW7NW5NW5NW6NW7NW7NW6NW6NW7NW7NW7
2 days agoSE4SE4CalmSE3S3N4NE3N3N5NW6N6NW5NW3CalmNW3W3CalmCalmCalmW3NW7NW6NW6NW8

Tide / Current Tables for Ketchikan, Tongass Narrows, Alaska
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Coon Island, George Inlet, Revillagigedo Channel, Alaska
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.