Saturday, September23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Thorne Bay, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 6:53PM Saturday September 23, 2017 1:54 PM AKDT (21:54 UTC) Moonrise 10:33AMMoonset 8:29PM Illumination 11% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
PKZ036 Clarence Strait- 130 Pm Akdt Sat Sep 23 2017
.small craft advisory this evening through late tonight...
Today..SE wind increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Showers early in the morning, then rain in the afternoon.
Tonight..S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
Sun..SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain in the afternoon.
Sun night..SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
Mon..NW wind 10 kt becoming se. Seas 3 ft.
Tue..SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Wed..SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Thorne Bay, AK
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 55.92, -132.37     debug


Area Discussion for -
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxak67 pajk 231337
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
537 am akdt Sat sep 23 2017

Synopsis A weak low pressure system is currently passing over
the southern panhandle with shower activity ongoing across most
of the panhandle. Shower activity continues but diminishes across
the panhandle through Saturday afternoon. Then another weather
front will track northeast across the gulf and panhandle through
Saturday bringing another round of rain to SE alaska. Between
Sunday night and Monday a low pressure system will pass south of
southern panhandle. A brief dry period is expected Monday as a
ridge builds over the panhandle before another front arrives on
Tuesday.

Short term Saturday through Sunday as of 500am Saturday an
active, wet weather pattern continues through the short term.

Currently, a weak low pressure passing over the southern
panhandle, has increased shower activity within its vicinity.

Satellite derived rain rates are between 0.10" to 0.20" per hour
within the heavier showers. As this system passes shower activity
will diminish through the afternoon. Largest decreases in shower
activity are likely over the far northern and western portions of
the panhandle. This afternoon another front will track northeast
over the gulf and panhandle bringing rain back to the panhandle.

It is expected to reach the southern panhandle during the
afternoon hours spread into the northern panhandle through this
evening. Rain associated with this front is expected to be heavy
at times.

Sunday will follow a decreasing shower trend once again across the
panhandle. The northern panhandle is expected to have more
numerous shower activity especially early in the day compared with
the southern panhandle. However, late Sunday afternoon a low
pressure system will pass over haida gwaii, which will keep the
southern panhandle wet into early Monday.

Fog is possible and or present in many this morning associated
with the very moist surface conditions. Late Sunday night into
early Monday it will be possible once again as conditions clear
and the surface remains saturated.

A few changes were made to the short term forecast. Fog was added
near yakutat this morning as well as some marine areas. In addition,
fog was added between Sunday night and early Monday due to the
very moist surface conditions. Pop values were increased along
the front today and around the low pressure system that passes
just south of the southern panhandle Sunday night. Models are
still carrying discrepancies with how much the shower activity
diminishes ahead of the front that arrives later today. Primary
model guidance was a blend of the nam, namnest, and canadian
regional.

Long term Monday through Saturday... An upper level shortwave,
developing from a parent circulation with its center positioned
near the aleutians, will propagate across the northeastern gulf
and lift across the panhandle Sunday night into early Monday
morning. A subtropical jet feature will assist with advecting
additional moisture with this system, but most of the
precipitation increases will primarily be confined to the more
southern portions of the panhandle. A ridge of high pressure will
then begin to build over the eastern gulf Monday. We should start
to see most locations across the panhandle dry out for the day.

Fog development may be a possibility, especially during the
morning commute on Monday, so we'll continue to monitor this
trend for subsequent forecasts. The ridge should then begin to
weaken and retreat east before another shortwave develops and
progresses northeast across the gulf, impacting the panhandle on
Tuesday. Models continue to show additional subtropical jet setups
to assist with pushing additional moisture over the panhandle.

This type of pattern appears poised to continue through the
remainder of next week, with additional shortwaves that develop
out of the parent trough over the gulf. Due to this tropical
moisture push over the area, we expect chances of precipitation to
remain high through the week and temperatures to maybe be
slightly above average, especially in southern areas.

For adjustments to the forecast, we updated pops with a blend of
the ECMWF and canadian, relying more on the ec, to continue to
show the increasing precipitation trend through the week. We also
increased winds throughout the eastern gulf waters to account for
the tighter pressure gradient that develops with the subsequent
shortwaves that progress out of the parent circulation. A lot of
uncertainty will then remain regarding the synoptic pattern after
about day 8.

Aviation Conditions that begin between ifr and MVFR this
morning are expected to improve during the day. Fog that is
currently present will diminish during the morning hours, while
ceilings are expected to lift through the afternoon hours. The
improvement that is seen will vary from location to location;
however, the best conditions are likely over the northwestern
panhandle. Whether or not conditions are able to increase toVFR
conditions today remains a difficult portion of forecast. These
improved conditions will diminish once again between this
afternoon and evening from south to north as a front tracks
northeast across the panhandle. Low level wind shear is another
concern over the southern panhandle later this morning into the
afternoon hours as the front approaches.

Marine Small craft level winds are expected over much of
eastern gulf Saturday along the front. Clarence strait is
expected to reach small craft levels this evening as the front
passes. While not in the current forecast, winds near cape
decision and cross sound may also reach small craft levels today.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for pkz036-041-043-052.

Small craft advisory due to seas for pkz042-051.

Byrd voveris
visit us at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK 19 mi44 min SE 13 G 21 55°F 1009.2 hPa53°F
KECA2 - 9450460 - Ketchikan, AK 57 mi54 min SSE 8.9 G 13 53°F1013.6 hPa (+0.0)
CDEA2 - Cape Decision, AK 94 mi92 min S 13 G 18

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last
24hr
SE11
G15
SE10
G13
SE10
SE9
SE7
E2
--
--
W1
SE2
G5
--
N1
E2
G5
SE6
G10
SE5
G9
SE11
G16
SE13
G16
SE15
SE14
G20
SE15
G19
SE13
G17
SE11
G16
SE11
G14
SE9
G13
1 day
ago
--
NW4
SE3
NW1
SE5
G8
SE1
E1
--
--
W2
W1
SE6
SE6
G9
E3
E4
G7
E6
G9
SE8
SE5
S6
S9
G13
SE12
SE11
G15
SE11
SE11
G14
2 days
ago
NW17
G22
NW15
G21
NW15
G20
NW14
G17
NW10
G16
N2
G7
N2
G8
N1
G4
N3
NE1
SE1
--
SE1
--
--
E1
--
--
--
SE2
--
SE4
NW6
W4
G8

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wrangell, AK39 mi58 minENE 67.00 miLight Rain55°F53°F94%1011.5 hPa

Wind History from AWG (wind in knots)
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last 24hrS6CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalm4CalmE3----CalmE3E3CalmE8E8E8E6E7E7E5E6
1 day agoNW6NW4W4CalmSE3CalmS4CalmCalm------Calm----CalmSW3W3CalmCalmN4CalmCalmW4
2 days agoNW6NW4NW4NW5W4W5CalmW3CalmCalm----E4E5Calm--E3SE3E3SE6SE6----NW4

Tide / Current Tables for Dewey Anchorage, Etolin Island, Alaska
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Dewey Anchorage
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:27 AM AKDT     16.11 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:37 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:22 AM AKDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:33 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:32 PM AKDT     16.70 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:44 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:29 PM AKDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:48 PM AKDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
6.410.51415.915.813.710.162.50.713.36.910.914.416.416.514.5116.82.90.4-0.31.1

Tide / Current Tables for Olive Cove, Zimovia Strait, Alaska
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Olive Cove
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:26 AM AKDT     16.71 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:37 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:22 AM AKDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:33 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:31 PM AKDT     17.30 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:44 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:28 PM AKDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:48 PM AKDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
6.71114.616.516.414.110.46.22.70.81.13.47.211.414.91717.11511.47.13.10.5-0.21.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (17,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.