Friday, September21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Thorne Bay, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 6:59PM Friday September 21, 2018 2:41 AM AKDT (10:41 UTC) Moonrise 6:10PMMoonset 2:20AM Illumination 87% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ036 Clarence Strait- 241 Pm Akdt Thu Sep 20 2018
Tonight..Light winds becoming N 10 kt late. Seas 2 ft or less.
Fri..N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Fri night..N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sat..NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sat night..SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sun..SE wind 20 kt becoming w. Seas 4 ft.
Mon..NW wind 10 kt becoming s. Seas 2 ft or less.
Tue..NW wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Thorne Bay, AK
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location: 55.92, -132.37     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 202205
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
205 pm akdt Thu sep 20 2018

Short term Satellite and surface analysis indicate high
pressure over the gulf with a weak trough along the outer coast.

This is the same pattern that's persisted over the region for the
past week. Expect similar conditions through Fri with afternoon
highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Expect another round of below
normal low temps. Do not anticipate the need for frost advisory
again as airmass has moderated with morning lows expected to only
fall into the upper 30s, but will need to monitor temp trends
through the evening. Pressure gradient remains light with winds
generally 15kts or less. Given the light winds and mostly clear
skies expect some patchy fog to form overnight early Fri morning.

Conditions will begin to change late Fri as a front moving across
the gulf pushes precip into the N gulf coast late Fri night.

Overall forecast confidence remains above average.

Long term Saturday through Wednesday ... Rain returning to
southeast ak is the essence of the extended forecast. A broad
upper ridge over the gulf with troughing over the bering sea will
set up a prolonged period of clouds and rain across the panhandle,
especially the northern portions. Models are in good agreement
that a weather front will move E across the gulf Saturday ahead of
an upper jet streak. Expect rain to arrive along the NE gulf
coast Saturday morning and move into the n'rn panhandle Saturday
night through Sunday. High pressure south of the gulf will remain
fairly stationary through early next week while multiple shortwave
features within the upper level sw'ly flow are progged to stream
across the n'rn gulf. This pattern is likely to bring moisture
back to our area.

While model agreement of the overall pattern has improved, they
continue to be inconsistent with timing and specifics. Relied on a
blended solution through the weekend. W'ly winds were increased
across the gulf in the wake of the initial front, and inner
channel winds were also nudged upwards as the s'ly gradient
strengthens late Saturday into early Sunday. Continued to boost
pop with rain now likely over most areas at some time during the
weekend. Blended to wpc guidance afterwards through mid-week
next, which appears to be more seasonable weather than the past
few weeks. Forecaster confidence is above average for rain to
return later this weekend, but remains below average on the
details after Sunday.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... None.

Marine... None.

Bc ddh
visit us at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK 19 mi31 min W 8 G 9.9 51°F 1014.5 hPa47°F
KECA2 - 9450460 - Ketchikan, AK 57 mi41 min 46°F 55°F1015.4 hPa (-1.2)
CDEA2 - Cape Decision, AK 94 mi79 min E 2.9 G 6

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wrangell, AK39 mi45 minSE 310.00 miFair42°F39°F89%1017.2 hPa

Wind History from AWG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--E4SE4SE3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3NW3NW4W4W4CalmW3W4CalmW3CalmSE4E4--SE3
1 day agoSE3--E43E3E5E3CalmW8W4W43SW5W5W4NW33CalmCalmE5E5E4E5E4
2 days agoSE7E4E4E4SE3E3CalmNE3NW3W3W5W7W5W8W64SW3CalmCalmCalmE5SE3E4E4

Tide / Current Tables for Dewey Anchorage, Etolin Island, Alaska
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Olive Cove, Zimovia Strait, Alaska
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.