Saturday, November18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Loring, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 8:10AMSunset 4:29PM Saturday November 18, 2017 11:22 AM PST (19:22 UTC) Moonrise 8:19AMMoonset 5:20PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ036 Clarence Strait- 351 Am Akst Sat Nov 18 2017
Today..SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers early in the morning.
Tonight..N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Sun..NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sun night..SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
Mon..SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
Tue..SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
Wed..SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Loring, AK
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location: 55.97, -131.52     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 181400
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
500 am akst Sat nov 18 2017

Short term Saturday through Sunday night... Satellite imagery
and surface analysis indicate gale force low dissipating as it
slides SE across the SE gulf. This will result in diminishing
showers and increasing nly outflow winds today. Winds will rise to
gales over lynn canal, cross sound and yakutat bay today as
gradient tightens, with SCA over the N inner channels and outer
coast. Outflow also resulting in strong winds along the klondike
hwy today. Lowered winds slightly over downtown juneau and douglas
because the only taku ingredient to mention is cross barrier
flow, while a critical layer and inversion are lacking. Clearing
skies overnight into Sun will allow temps to fall sharply after
sunset resulting in cooler temps Sun am across SE ak. Models
remain in fairly good agreement with another low developing over
the W gulf before sliding sse across the gulf heading into mon
although the NAM remains an easterly outlier with the associated
front. This front will begin to impact the N gulf coast late sun
night before pushing precip into the panhandle heading into mon.

Inherited forecast represented this thinking well with only minor
adjustments for local effects. Forecast confidence remains good
through the period.

Long term Monday through Saturday it is the time of year where
only short reprieves between low pressure systems are common,
this week will be just that way. By Monday, a low center will be
in the south-central gulf north pacific, then by early Wednesday
morning the low will cover much of the eastern gulf. Confidence is
good through this time and then starts to falter a bit with more
differences between the models. Used the ec to do a small blend to
the current forecast, an ensemble approach would continue to be
prudent.

By this time temperatures will have warmed over most of the
southern half of the panhandle to bring in rain for the south and
a mix of rain and snow in the central during the day. Temperatures
will still be cold enough to change to all snow in the
overnight early morning hours for these areas. The warmer air
should advance up to the elfin cove gustavus hoonah juneau
corridor on Thursday. This is where some confidence slips as to
whether the precipitation in the central panhandle, as far north
as elfin cove juneau will be snow, rain or a mix of both. Outer
coastal areas will be a more certain rain for the precipitation
type. By the weekend skagway and haines will be waffling between
rain and snow for precipitation type, for the near sea level
locations and remaining snow for the highways.

There are reasonably healthy QPF amounts for the southern
panhandle which could give several inches of rain and or snow
Tuesday night Wednesday. Then spread into the central panhandle
Wednesday. With temperatures rising above freezing during the day
for most locations and then falling below at night amounts will be
tricky. Downsloping winds will likely keep some local areas in
the north relatively drier.

Brisk winds continue around the northern panhandle with the
northerly wind. In the south the winds will be getting the
influence of the low in the gulf leading to a southeasterly wind.

Wind speeds for much of the panhandle will range from 15 to 25
mph with higher gusts. A lot of sca, with some gales on Monday.

Winds will be on a slow diminishing trend through the week, but
stay mindful for the strong outflow winds in the north through mid
week. These outflow winds will linger between yakutat and dry bay
through Thursday.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... Strong wind through Sunday morning for akz018.

Marine... Gale warning for pkz012-013-022-053.

Small craft advisory for pkz011-021-031-032-043-051-052.

Small craft advisory due to seas for pkz041-042.

Bc kv
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK 62 mi73 min SE 12 G 16 41°F 1003.4 hPa37°F

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ketchikan, Ketchikan International Airport, AK44 mi30 minN 010.00 miOvercast40°F37°F93%1005.6 hPa

Wind History from AKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE25
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SE9SE13SE11--SE8SE9SE4SE7SE5SE5SE4S4SE6S5SE6S4S3Calm
1 day agoNW8W7NW7W7W6NW5W4W4CalmSW3CalmCalmS3SE3Calm3SE11S9SE11SE14SE13SE13
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2 days agoNW8NW7NW8NW6W7NW8NW8NW7NW8NW8NW6NW8NW7NW9W9NW9NW9W7NW10NW8NW8NW7NW8NW7

Tide / Current Tables for Bell Arm, Bell Island, Alaska
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Bell Arm
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:25 AM AKST     15.73 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:42 AM AKST     New Moon
Sat -- 06:07 AM AKST     2.40 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:19 AM AKST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:29 AM AKST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:12 PM AKST     17.60 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:32 PM AKST     Sunset
Sat -- 04:20 PM AKST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:39 PM AKST     -1.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
15.515.413.410.16.53.62.43.25.79.313.116.117.61714.410.35.81.8-0.6-0.90.84.18.111.9

Tide / Current Tables for Convenient Cove, Hassler Island, Alaska
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Convenient Cove
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:25 AM AKST     15.60 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:42 AM AKST     New Moon
Sat -- 06:07 AM AKST     2.45 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:19 AM AKST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:29 AM AKST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:11 PM AKST     17.51 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:33 PM AKST     Sunset
Sat -- 04:21 PM AKST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:40 PM AKST     -1.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
15.415.313.310.16.53.72.53.25.89.413.216.117.516.814.310.35.81.8-0.6-10.74811.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.