Tuesday, October17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wrangell and, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:39AMSunset 5:46PM Tuesday October 17, 2017 12:10 PM AKDT (20:10 UTC) Moonrise 4:36AMMoonset 5:29PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ036 Clarence Strait- 353 Am Akdt Tue Oct 17 2017
.small craft advisory this evening through late tonight...
Today..S wind increasing to 15 kt late in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft, except 5 ft near ocean entrances. Patchy fog in the morning. Showers.
Tonight..SE wind increasing to 25 kt in the evening. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
Wed..SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
Wed night..SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
Thu..SE wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
Fri..SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
Sat..SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wrangell and , AK
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location: 56.22, -131.92     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 171401
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
601 am akdt Tue oct 17 2017

Short term The persistent low south of icy bay will finally
fill today. Weak ridging briefly forms over the panhandle this
afternoon but is quickly pushed aside as the next low and
associated front moves in from the west. The low will just skirt
the southern marine areas, but the wind affects of the front will
impact much of the panhandle and eastern gulf. The good news is
this system is quick, the bad news is that the system is strong.

Gale force winds will develop in the southern area of marine zone
310 early this evening and spread quickly over the outer coastal
zones from south to north. By late tonight the southern outer
coastal area off of prince of wales will already have diminished
to SCA criteria. The strongest winds will define the front as it
approaches the panhandle and then a smaller area will rotate
counter clockwise around the low late tonight and Wednesday, as
the front becomes occluded. Strong wind headline for the western
side of prince of wales late tonight early morning Wednesday with
gusts increasing to around 40 mph after midnight. With the speed
of this system the strong gusts will only last a few hours and
will be 35 mph or less before sunrise.

Cold air aloft and warm gulf waters have continued to produce
unstable air, resulting in a few lightning strikes near biorka
island overnight. As I write this, an area on chichagof island had
three strikes in a line from lake anna to whitestripe mt. To the
north. Slight chance of thunderstorms will continue this morning
near the coastal areas from around cross sound down to prince of
wales.

Widespread rain showers will change over the rain with this strong
front during the overnight hours. Snow levels are around
1000-1500 feet for skagway and haines areas, giving the highways
some minor snow accumulations.

Model agreement between the GFS nam and canadian nh for today was
good and then the GFS and NAM were used where needed. Made some
updates to wind seas, also lowered temperatures a degree or so for
the next couple of days. Overall, the forecast needed little work
to the big picture and minor updates on a local scale.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday little change made to
longer range forecast. Models in generally good agreement on the
large scale features but have important differences on smaller
scale features. Main system of concern in long range is a complex
low expected to move into the gulf by the weekend. Models hint at
a deeper system than current forecast shows but have important
detail differences that make it impractical to change much right
now. Still plenty of time to make adjustments on this system since
we are talking 4-5 days out.

Otherwise, pattern will remain on the cool and wet side for much
of the time. Still looks like any airmass cold enough for snow
near sea level will stay W of the area through at least early
next week. Later next week, will need to monitor a system that
could have the remnants of tropical cyclone lan embedded with it.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... Strong wind from late tonight through Wednesday morning for
akz027.

Marine... Gale warning for pkz041>043-051-052.

Small craft advisory for pkz021-022-033>036.

Kv rwt
visit us at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK 42 mi61 min S 5.1 G 6 46°F 1005.5 hPa37°F
KECA2 - 9450460 - Ketchikan, AK 63 mi41 min SE 5.1 G 7 46°F 50°F1008.7 hPa

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wrangell, AK31 mi15 minE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy45°F39°F80%1007.7 hPa

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Last 24hrE5CalmE5E7SE6E6E6E4NE3E3Calm------------E5E5E6E8E7E5E6
1 day agoSE6E11SE6SE6CalmS7S5S4SE4SE4--E6--------E12E11E11E9E9E7E6E5
2 days agoSE6E6--E8E8E11
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Tide / Current Tables for Blake Island, Bradfield Canal, Alaska
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Blake Island
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:35 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:45 AM AKDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:24 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:08 PM AKDT     17.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:29 PM AKDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:40 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tue -- 06:13 PM AKDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
16.314.711.47.23.30.70.11.64.88.912.91617.316.513.79.65.320.413.47.111.114.6

Tide / Current Tables for Olive Cove, Zimovia Strait, Alaska
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Olive Cove
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:37 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:53 AM AKDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:26 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:10 PM AKDT     17.49 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:31 PM AKDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:41 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tue -- 06:22 PM AKDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
16.51511.87.73.70.901.44.58.712.81617.516.814.110.15.82.20.40.636.710.914.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.