Sunrise 4:46 AM   Sunset 9:01 PM Moonrise 4:22 AM   Moonset 7:26 PM

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PKZ034 Frederick Sound- 307 Pm Akdt Sun May 5 2024
Tonight - SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt late. Seas 3 ft subsiding to 2 ft late. Periods of rain early in the evening. Mon - SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Periods of rain. Mon night - SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt late. Seas 3 ft. Tue - SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain.Tue night - S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.Wed - SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Thu - SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fri - S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

PKZ005
No data

FXAK67 PAJK 052351 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 351 PM AKDT Sun May 5 2024

SHORT TERM
A pattern of unsettled, rainy weather has set up and will remain in place over Southeast Alaska for this entire short range forecast period. Rainfall totals will result in small creek & stream rises but will be nonetheless not impactful. Breezy southerly conditions with gusts to 35 mph in Skagway as the front pushes through this evening will ease overnight and return to the 10 to 15 mph winds that SEAK has been experiencing for several days now. Similar situation for marine winds over the inner channels - 10 to 15 kts with seas 3 ft or less. On the outside, winds 15 to 20 kts with combined seas building to 9 ft (SW long period swell) overnight, then subsiding north to south through Monday.

LONG TERM
An active weather pattern continues as system after system moves into the panhandle, with each one bringing concurrent chances of rain and wind across the area.

Aloft, a strong jet streak along the E flank of a trough over the Bering Sea will keep the the primary area of upper level support over the panhandle.

Closer to the surface, this will contribute to wave development, bringing frontal bands into the panhandle. Lingering chances of precipitation associated with onshore flow in the wake of a system from Sunday and Monday will remain through Tuesday before another, stronger system arrives late on Tuesday, lasting through Wednesday. This second system will move up from the SW, moving around the broader area of upper level troughing. Expect a surge of more widespread precipitation to be possible with this system alongside the potential for small craft winds for many locations and gale force winds potentially in the gulf. Beyond this point another system arrives late on Wednesday though this one will be likely focused more on the northern half of the panhandle and the gulf coast, bringing with it another round of rain and wind to SE AK. Both of these systems will deliver fairly respectable rainfall totals to the area, relative to the 'dry season' which is currently underway, though no major flooding concerns are expected. A break in the weather is possible for Saturday, though it is likely to prove short-lived as another system may arrive for the second half of the weekend.

Aviation...Weather front continues to march through the panhandle today. As it does, the showers behind the front will slowly slide into the area. Generally expect improving weather conditions from south to north through the night. Mostly MVFR is being reported but as the front clears the area, low end VFR is expected.



AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-641>644-651-652-661>664-671-672.

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