Wednesday, January23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pelican, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 8:17AMSunset 4:01PM Wednesday January 23, 2019 12:52 PM AKST (21:52 UTC) Moonrise 8:09PMMoonset 9:58AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ022 Cross Sound- 325 Am Akst Wed Jan 23 2019
.small craft advisory through late tonight...
Today..E wind increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Rain in the afternoon.
Tonight..E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain late.
Thu..E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
Thu night..E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain.
Fri..E wind 25 kt becoming w. Seas 12 ft.
Sat..W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
Sun..W wind 15 kt becoming e. Seas 8 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelican, AK
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location: 57.85, -136.42     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 231427
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
527 am akst Wed jan 23 2019

Short term through Thu night more fog is the main story of
the day, mainly for the southern panhandle, as a ridge builds over
the area. A lack of high level clouds overnight has lead to the
thickening and lowering of low clouds over the southern 2 3rds of
the panhandle with visibilities dropping to a quarter of a mile at
one point. Farther north, a greater concentration of high clouds
have limited fog formation with little to no fog observed north of
icy strait. Fog should dissipate through the day as southerly
flow increases and higher level clouds move in.

For the rest of the short range, a series of fronts will be
moving through the area. The first of which comes Wed afternoon
and night but will mainly affect the northern gulf coast and
northern panhandle as it fights through the surface ridge over the
rest of the area. Front itself is rather weak with mainly light
precip expected and MAX winds only reaching min gale force near
cape suckling with 25 to 30 kt winds elsewhere in the gulf. Main
question with this front is how far north the rain snow line will
be. Many places will be switching to a southerly wind through the
day and even lynn canal is expected to become southerly 25 kt by
this evening. That should be enough to shift the line up lynn
canal so that gustavus, juneau will likely be rain by the time
precip starts. Haines and skagway should warm up as well but may
start out as snow before turning over to rain in the evening. The
higher elevations of the highways will likely stay mostly snow.

Accumulation expected to be light as there is not much moisture
associated with this front.

Two stronger fronts follow the first, one on Thu and the other for
late Thu night. Both will be spreading gale force winds across the
gulf and bringing more precip (this time to most of the panhandle
rather then just the north). By this point most areas will have
been in southerly flow long enough that the precip will be in the
form of rain even up to skagway and haines as snow levels range
around 4000 feet in the south to 1300 feet in the north by thu.

The only areas that may see snow are the higher elevations of the
haines and klondike highways, however snow amounts may be limited
by terrain shadowing with only light accumulations expected at
this time.

Few changes made to the forecast overall, mainly addition of more
fog for the south and refining the timing of the fronts. Main
guidance used was the GFS and nam.

Long term Friday through Tuesday as of 10 pm Monday, the
weekend forecast remains wet with an atmospheric river impacting
the panhandle between Friday and Saturday. While it will be wet
across the panhandle, ensembles continue to point the bulk of the
precipitation at the southern half of the panhandle. Storm total
precipitation ranges between Friday and Saturday afternoon fall
between 2 and 4 inches for the southern panhandle. Strong warm air
advection will accompany this event brining lows well above
freezing for the panhandle this weekend, as high temperatures
push into 40s even over the northern panhandle Friday. Saturday
the system will shift southeast with a north to south drying trend
expected through the day (precipitation will still be heavy
Saturday morning over the southern panhandle).

Seasonable strong high pressure will build behind this system
through Sunday allowing the panhandle to dry. This will also
introduce a chance for foggy conditions over the northern
panhandle Saturday night into Sunday. Then early next week the
next system will push into the gulf, but timing remains
uncertain.

Overall the biggest changes to the forecast were an upward trend
in pop values with 100% values now introduced for portions of
Friday and Saturday. Additionally, temperatures have been trended
upward once again to account for the strong warm air advection on
Friday. Forecast confidence is above average through Sunday and
below average Monday and beyond.

Jb jb

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... None.

Marine... Gale warning for pkz052.

Small craft advisory for pkz012-013-022-041>043-051.

Small craft advisory due to seas for pkz053.

Eal jb
visit us at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ELFA2 - 9452634 - Elfin Cove, AK 24 mi52 min 37°F 45°F1024.1 hPa (+0.0)
CSPA2 - Cape Spencer, AK 27 mi102 min E 18 G 27 37°F 1025.1 hPa35°F
BLTA2 - Bartlet Cove AK 50 mi146 min ENE 2.9 G 5.1 33°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Wind History from AEL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--E12
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1 day ago--E10--E10
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2 days ago------E9--E8--E9------------------------------E15
G25

Tide / Current Tables for Canoe Cove, North Pass, Alaska
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Canoe Cove
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:31 AM AKST     10.85 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:11 AM AKST     2.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:25 AM AKST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:57 AM AKST     Moonset
Wed -- 02:07 PM AKST     12.09 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:09 PM AKST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:09 PM AKST     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:46 PM AKST     -2.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.69.210.610.79.47.34.932.12.54.16.69.111.212.111.59.66.63.30.3-1.6-2-0.91.5

Tide / Current Tables for Takanis Bay, Alaska
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Takanis Bay
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:25 AM AKST     10.75 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:11 AM AKST     2.27 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:26 AM AKST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:58 AM AKST     Moonset
Wed -- 02:01 PM AKST     11.99 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:09 PM AKST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:09 PM AKST     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:46 PM AKST     -1.83 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.89.310.610.59.27.24.93.12.32.74.36.89.311.21211.39.36.43.20.4-1.4-1.8-0.71.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.