Friday, March24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pelican, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 7:25PM Friday March 24, 2017 6:08 AM AKDT (14:08 UTC) Moonrise 4:54AMMoonset 2:13PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ022 Cross Sound- 406 Am Akdt Fri Mar 24 2017
Today..NE wind 15 kt becoming nw in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Tonight..NW wind 10 kt becoming light late. Seas 3 ft.
Sat..E wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow showers in the afternoon.
Sat night..E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
Sun..E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
Mon..E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
Tue..E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelican, AK
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location: 57.85, -136.42     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 241407
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
607 am akdt Fri mar 24 2017

Short term A low pressure system moving northward toward hecate
strait will be the main weather maker over the next 24hrs. Rain
began in ketchikan just after midnight and is slowly spreading
north this morning. Expect the rain to reach port alexander and
petersburg in the next couple hours but not quite get to juneau
by late afternoon. Some mixing is possible this morning, but no
accumulation is expected as this system is bringing in warmer air
from the south.

The low is progged to move NE across the southern panhandle and
into canada late tonight. Meanwhile an upper level trough will
move west across the gulf. This looks to take over as the main
driving force and will also keep most of the energy south of
juneau tonight. As the surface low moves ne, the area of clouds
and precip will shift to be more along the coastal mountains,
leaving the NE gulf coast out of precip chances. Think that
offshore flow at the lower levels from juneau north to
haines/skagway will limit rain/snow amounts with this system.

Therefore, have lowered pop and QPF for those areas.

Preferred the NAM for updates to this forecast package. Forecaster
confidence is above average.

Long term Models continue to indicate active upper level
pattern persisting through mid next week before a brief break late
next week.

This period begins with one shortwave moving inland resulting in
diminishing precip chances Sat night into sun. Persistent upper
low over the N gulf will maintain deep swly flow across the
region.

Precip chances will increase heading into Mon as another, near
gale, low moves into the SE gulf. This low will also bring
advisory level winds to the coastal waters and inner channels.

Ptype remains a challenge but maintained current forecast of
mainly ra for southern panhandle, sn/rasn over the central
panhandle in the overnight/morning before becoming all ra in the
afternoon and sn over the northern panhandle.

Model solutions and ensembles begin to diverge early next week but
maintain the active pattern through at least mid week as temps
moderate to near normal. This means continued mixed precip
overnight/liquid precip during afternoons for most of the panhandle.

Despite the divergent model/ensemble solutions, a period of dry
weather expected late next week as a short wave ridge amplifies
ahead of a low moving into the western gulf. Drier weather will be
brief as this low will result in deeper and longer SW flow to se
ak heading into next weekend.

Ajk watches/warnings/advisories
Public... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for pkz012-041.

Small craft advisory due to seas for pkz042.

Ferrin/bc
visit us at http://

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ELFA2 - 9452634 - Elfin Cove, AK 24 mi50 min 36°F 45°F1003.7 hPa
CSPA2 - Cape Spencer, AK 27 mi58 min E 19 G 25 37°F 33°F
BLTA2 - Bartlet Cove AK 50 mi42 min NNW 9.9 G 13 35°F 1004.7 hPa

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Wind History from AEL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--N12
G28
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--N10------------------------------4
1 day ago--E9--E10
G20
--E15--Calm------------------------------N12
G22
2 days ago--E8--N12--NE12--E12------------------------------Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Canoe Cove, North Pass, Lisianski Strait and Inlet, Alaska
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Canoe Cove
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:06 AM AKDT     3.50 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:54 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:55 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:59 AM AKDT     8.96 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:13 PM AKDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:38 PM AKDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:29 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
7.97.36.14.93.93.53.84.76.17.58.698.57.35.53.51.80.70.61.434.96.88.2

Tide / Current Tables for Dry Pass, Hill Island, Chichagof Island, Alaska
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Dry Pass
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:07 AM AKDT     3.60 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:53 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:54 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:56 AM AKDT     9.06 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:13 PM AKDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:39 PM AKDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:29 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
87.36.2543.63.94.86.27.68.79.18.67.35.53.61.90.80.71.53.15.178.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.