Sunday, May19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Excursion Inlet, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 4:19AMSunset 9:28PM Sunday May 19, 2019 3:20 AM AKDT (11:20 UTC) Moonrise 10:37PMMoonset 5:25AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ013 Southern Lynn Canal- 249 Pm Akdt Sat May 18 2019
Tonight..N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sun..N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sun night..SE wind 10 kt becoming N late. Seas building to 3 ft late.
Mon..Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less.
Mon night..N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Tue..S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Wed..S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Thu..S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Excursion Inlet, AK
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location: 58.42, -134.88     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 182223
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
223 pm akdt Sat may 18 2019

Short term through Sunday night ... Low impact short range
forecast period. A low over the central gulf will continue to move
off to the northwest while slowly weakening. Precipitation
associated with a weak frontal feature will continue to rotate
around the low and remain mostly offshore tonight or on the
immediate outer coast this evening. By Sunday morning, a
developing surface trough will then rotate around the same low.

Heaviest precipitation associated with this trough will also
remain mostly offshore, but lighter amounts are expected along the
outer coast north of CAPE decision from tomorrow afternoon and
lasting through Sunday night.

Small craft conditions on the outside for winds and or seas. 15 kt
winds or less on the inside. Partial clearing of the skies is
expected mostly during the overnight hours with mostly cloudy
conditions during the day. Thus, daytimes highs will be a little
subdued while radiational cooling at night will be aided.

However, daytime highs will be warm enough that freezing temps at
the surface not expected.

Updated pressure with GFS to move the developing surface trough
around the low a little faster. Pop a blend of gfs, nam, and sref.

Qpf from NAM and gfs. Overnight lows for Saturday night adjusted
per the national blend. Remaining temps unchanged. Overall
forecast confidence is average.

Long term Monday to Saturday as of Friday evening the early
part of the mid range forecast are in fair agreement. An area of
low pressure southwest of kodiak island a much stronger nearly
vertically stacked low is moving slowly east across the pacific
towards the oregon coast from Sunday to Monday evening. Over
northwestern canada a high aloft will hold in place, and will keep
the flow pattern from becoming progressive and most of the flow
moving more north rather than east. The jet stream is quite zonal
across the pacific with a 170+ kt core that is headed to towards
north central california by Tuesday. The jet core will start to
deepen a trough along the west coast of the CONUS and as a result
build a ridge northward into the central and eastern gulf.

The building ridge aloft through mid week will force the remains
of the through aloft that had been over the eastern gulf through
the panhandle and should result in the potential for light rain
around Wednesday to Thursday.

On the west side of the building ridge a stronger southwest flow
for the Thursday to Friday and early next weekend potentially.

This will lead to a wetter pattern over the northern panhandle
for the end of the week.

Long range details are still a little chaotic looking from one
model solution to the next, however, they are starting to align as
they move a little closer to the mid range. Edits at the long
range leaned towards the ensemble method of the wpc solution. Only
needed to make some minor wind directional edits, and the
temperature forecast from Thursday onward got a minor reduction
with more clouds under what looks like a good southwest flow
pattern of clouds and likely rain.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for pkz042-043-051-052.

Small craft advisory due to seas for pkz041.

Fritsch bezenek
visit us at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PRTA2 - Point Retreat, AK 4 mi70 min Calm G 1 49°F 1007.9 hPa43°F
PTLA2 8 mi38 min WSW 2.9 G 4.1 50°F 1008.1 hPa47°F
NKXA2 12 mi38 min NE 8 G 9.9 47°F 1007.4 hPa40°F
LIXA2 12 mi38 min N 4.1 G 5.1 47°F 1009.4 hPa37°F
MVXA2 15 mi38 min SE 1.9 G 2.9 47°F 1009.7 hPa38°F
SCXA2 19 mi38 min SSW 1.9 G 2.9 49°F 1006.7 hPa46°F
RIXA2 19 mi38 min E 1.9 G 2.9 44°F 1009.6 hPa
MXXA2 25 mi38 min W 2.9 G 4.1 48°F 1009.1 hPa40°F
SISA2 - Sisters Island, AK 26 mi58 min NNW 8 G 9.9 48°F
JNEA2 - 9452210 - Juneau, AK 26 mi50 min SW 1 G 1.9 49°F 43°F1009.6 hPa
AJXA2 27 mi38 min WNW 5.1 G 6 48°F 1008.8 hPa37°F
JLXA2 27 mi37 min SSW 1 G 1.9 47°F 1008.3 hPa38°F
JMLA2 28 mi38 min SW 2.9 G 4.1 49°F 1009 hPa42°F
SDIA2 - South Douglas, AK 28 mi52 min W 2.9 G 2.9 49°F 1008.9 hPa44°F
MRNA2 36 mi38 min WNW 1 G 2.9 47°F 1009.5 hPa39°F
PAXA2 41 mi37 min SSE 1 G 4.1 50°F 1006.9 hPa
EROA2 - Eldred Rock, AK 42 mi56 min N 13 G 15 52°F 1007.9 hPa42°F
PBPA2 - Point Bishop, AK 42 mi70 min N 2.9 G 5.1 49°F 1008.5 hPa41°F
ERXA2 42 mi38 min N 7 G 8.9 52°F 1006.6 hPa43°F
GUXA2 45 mi38 min SW 1 G 1.9 47°F 1007.6 hPa43°F
TKEA2 - Tenakee Springs, AK 48 mi38 min N 2.9 G 5.1 46°F 1008.1 hPa40°F

Wind History for Juneau, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Juneau, Juneau International Airport, AK16 mi27 minN 010.00 miOvercast48°F44°F86%1009.5 hPa

Wind History from AJN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9E6E4E5SE4E65W6S3SE11
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1 day agoSW3CalmE4NW4CalmSE12SE13SE15SE17
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmSW3SW6W6SW4SW11SW9SW6W14NW8W9NW7NW7NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Barlow Cove, Mansfield Peninsula, Lynn Canal, Alaska
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Barlow Cove
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:35 AM AKDT     17.77 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:25 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 05:25 AM AKDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:09 AM AKDT     -3.74 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:28 PM AKDT     15.42 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:15 PM AKDT     0.96 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:28 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:36 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1517.417.615.611.76.71.7-2.1-3.7-2.80.34.89.413.115.215.113.29.85.92.611.64.48.4

Tide / Current Tables for Lincoln Island, Lynn Canal, Alaska
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Lincoln Island
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:45 AM AKDT     18.50 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:24 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 05:24 AM AKDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:16 AM AKDT     -3.44 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:38 PM AKDT     16.19 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:22 PM AKDT     1.26 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:29 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:38 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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15.117.818.416.81382.7-1.4-3.3-2.70.24.69.313.315.716.114.310.96.93.31.41.84.38.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.