Wednesday, December12, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Togiak, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 10:03AMSunset 3:44PM Wednesday December 12, 2018 7:30 AM AKST (16:30 UTC) Moonrise 12:53PMMoonset 9:31PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ160 Bristol Bay- 400 Am Akst Wed Dec 12 2018
.small craft advisory through Thursday...
Today..W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
Tonight..W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
Thu..W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
Thu night..SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
Fri..NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
Sat..N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
Sun..N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Togiak, AK
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location: 58.7, -160.18     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak69 pafg 121443
afdafg
northern alaska forecast discussion
national weather service fairbanks ak
543 am akst Wed dec 12 2018

Discussion
A relatively quiet pattern is expected for most of northern
alaksa over the next few days with the main issue being continued
strong northerly winds from the bering strait south to st.

Lawrence island.

Aloft, at 500 mb, a 492 dam low is currently just west of nunivak
island and will be the main feature of note over the next few
days. This low will push to the east today, moving over the lower
yukon valley tonight. The low will make a northward turn on
Thursday, moving into the central interior by Thursday night,
after Thursday night, the models begin to diverge on the exact
track of the low; however, generally, the models have the low
tracking northward over the brooks range on Friday and reaching
the arctic coast Friday night.

Central and eastern interior: a front that brought snow to the
fairbanks area Tuesday evening will continue to move to the
northwest today. The front will fall apart today; however, it
could bring up to an inch of snowfall today to areas northwest of
fairbanks. A shortwave will move north across the interior on
Thursday. This will bring some snowfall; however, at this point we
expect accumulations to be relatively light, mainly under one
inch. Snowfall will taper off from south Thursday evening. Right
now we aren't expecting any precipitation for Friday. The biggest
issue for Friday will be the low temperatures. Current guidance
suggests that Friday will be the coldest day so far this season
for fairbanks with some models suggesting a temperatures as cold
as -20. The temperature forecast will be a bit tricky. The cold
temperatures will only be realized if the skies clear out behind
the shortwave. Currently it looks like the clearing will be
somewhat brief so we won't go with the coldest of guidance right
now for Friday morning. There is potential another shortwave to
pass from southeast to northwest across the interior on Saturday
bringing additional snowfall; however at this point the models
don't agree on this.

North slope and brooks range: I opted to cancel the inherited
wind chill advisories for zones 201 and 206. While the temperatures
in these areas are still quite cold, the winds have dropped off
enough to be below advisory criteria. Temperatures across much of
the arctic plain away from the coast will reach -25 to -35
tonight. Temperatures along the beaufort sea coast (especially
around deadhorse will reach near -25 tonight with similar
temperatures expected for Thursday and Friday nights.

West coast and western interior: northerly winds with gusts as
high as 50 mph will continue today from the bering strait south to
st lawrence island. This will cause high surf for the the north
side of st. Lawrence island as well as little diomede. The ongoing
high surf advisory for zone 213 is in good shape. A band of
heavier snowfall will pass over st. Lawrence island this morning.

This snowfall, when combined with the strong winds, will produce
blowing snow that will reduce the visibility to one half mile or
less at times. The ongoing winter weather advisory looks to be in
good shape. As the surface low moves to the south tonight, winds
through the bering strait will diminish some; however, gusty
northerly winds will persist through the end of the week.

Coastal hazard potential days 3 and 4... See west coast section
above.

Coastal hazard potential days 3 and 4... None.

Afg watches warnings advisories
High surf advisory for akz213.

Winter weather advisory for akz213.

Heavy freezing spray warning for pkz210-pkz220-pkz225.

Small craft advisory for pkz220-pkz225.

Gale warning for pkz210.

Dec 18


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Togiac Village, Togiak Airport, AK27 mi34 minN 510.00 miFair-1°F-4°F87%1002 hPa

Wind History from ATG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW13
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2 days agoN8N9N10N10N11N15N11N14N10N11N11N12N11N10--N7N8N8N9N12N17N18N16N15

Tide / Current Tables for Black Rock, Walrus Islands, Nushagak Bay, Alaska
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Black Rock
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Wed -- 01:12 AM AKST     4.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:39 AM AKST     5.50 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:23 AM AKST     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:36 PM AKST     1.30 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:52 PM AKST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:45 PM AKST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:39 PM AKST     8.59 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:31 PM AKST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.54.14.24.54.95.25.45.554.23.22.21.41.42.13.44.96.57.78.58.68.17.26.1

Tide / Current Tables for Hagemeister Island (north end), Alaska
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Hagemeister Island (north end)
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Wed -- 03:31 AM AKST     2.80 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:43 AM AKST     3.61 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:26 AM AKST     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:40 PM AKST     1.40 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:55 PM AKST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:47 PM AKST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:22 PM AKST     10.26 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:33 PM AKST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.44.93.62.92.93.23.53.63.32.82.21.71.51.41.72.74.36.38.29.610.210.19.48.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Alaska    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station King Salmon
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.