Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Togiak, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 4:21AMSunset 11:44PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 4:15 AM AKDT (12:15 UTC) Moonrise 10:06AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 20% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ160 Bristol Bay- 335 Am Akdt Wed Jun 28 2017
Today..SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Tonight..E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Thu..NE wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Thu night..N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Fri..NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Sat..W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Sun..W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Togiak, AK
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location: 58.7, -160.18     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak69 pafg 272051
afdafg
northern alaska forecast discussion
national weather service fairbanks ak
1251 pm akdt Tue jun 27 2017

Discussion
The 12z model suite initialized well against the 12z surface
analysis and verified well against the 18z surface analysis. Model
spread from run to run as well as from different model families
remains minimal in the short range and is very reasonable through
the end of the week with good agreement on longwave pattern and
only minor differences in timing with a series of shortwaves
moving north into the eastern bering sea, the west coast as well
as the western interior through the rest of the week.

Arctic coast will continue to be under the influence of high
pressure centered near banks island with easterly flow bringing
rounds of low clouds and fog with some diurnal influence with some
mild improvement in ceilings and visibility during the afternoons
over much of the coastal areas especially to the east of barrow
today through Friday. A weak low moving north out of the western
interior late Friday and Saturday will bring increased chances for
rain and rain showers over the north slope especially to the west
of barrow through Saturday.

Over the west coast and western interior a weak low moving north
out of the north pacific will move over bristol bay tonight and
will continue to move north along the coast and weaken to a
trough. As the trough continues to move north rain showers will
increase today with periods of rain developing this evening in the
lower yk delta and late tonight over the seward peninsula. A
series of weak waves will continue to move north over the west
coast bringing wetting rains and limiting fire weather concerns
through the end of the week.

Over the central and eastern interior weak ridging aloft combined
with weak down slope flow over the alaska range will continue to
dry out the interior. Minimum relative humidities will drop from
the 30s today to the 20s Wednesday and Thursday before increasing
again on Friday into the 30s as moisture moving around a low in
the gulf alaska pushes in from the southeast Friday. Temperatures
will meet red flag criteria over a few locations in the central
and eastern interior this evening and again on Thursday. Minimum
relative humidity levels will likely meet red flag criteria over
much of the central and eastern interior tomorrow however wind
criteria for red flag conditions are not expected to be met either
today or Wednesday. Thunderstorm activity will be along and north
of the thermal trough from near chicken to fairbanks to bettles
and ambler today with a shift north along the brooks range
tomorrow. The thermal trough will form again along a chicken to
bettles to ambler line on Friday.

Coastal hazard potential days 3 and 4... None.

Fire weather Gap winds through alaska range passes this evening
and over night will meet wind advisory criteria in zone 226
however wind advisory criteria is not expected to be met in zones
225 or 223. Wind criteria for red flag conditions will likely be
met this evening and over night in zone 226 however relative
humidity criteria is not expected to be reached in zone 226 this
evening and over night. Tomorrow minimum relative humidity values
will drop into the low 30s over much of the interior and
temperature criteria may be reached at a few locations however
wind criteria is not expected to be reached. Min relative
humidities will continue to drop over the central and eastern
interior into the low to mid 20s this week while relative
humidities are expected to remain above 40 percent over the west
coast and western interior with several periods of rain and
showers moving over the area. Thunderstorm activity will be along
and north of a line from chicken to fairbanks to bettles and
ambler today with a slight shift north to along the brooks range
tomorrow.

Hydrology The fortymile and tanana rivers will continue to run
high today and Wednesday with heavy rain event last weekend.

River crests are expected to remain at or below bankfull stage.

Continue to monitor.

Afg watches warnings advisories
Wind advisory for akz226.

Small craft advisory for pkz230.

Brisk wind advisory for pkz235-pkz240-pkz245.

Ccc jun 17


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Togiac Village, Togiak Airport, AK27 mi20 minSE 710.00 miOvercast49°F45°F86%1014.5 hPa

Wind History from ATG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----E13SE19E15--SE15SE11--------S9S10S10SE8S10--S9S7--SE8--SE7
1 day ago--SE16--SE18------SE12SE15SE14SE11--SE10SE7----E12E14--E19E12SE20SE22SE20
2 days agoN5--N6N7--CalmE3S6--S16S19----SE12SE13SE18----SE15E12E11E16--SE21

Tide / Current Tables for Black Rock, Walrus Islands, Nushagak Bay, Alaska
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Black Rock
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Wed -- 01:52 AM AKDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:51 AM AKDT     -1.92 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:34 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:48 AM AKDT     10.06 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:06 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:57 PM AKDT     1.48 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:52 PM AKDT     7.14 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:53 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.50.3-1.4-1.9-1.10.93.468.39.7109.37.75.73.621.523.14.65.96.97.16.5

Tide / Current Tables for Hagemeister Island (north end), Alaska
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Hagemeister Island (north end)
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:55 AM AKDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:57 AM AKDT     -1.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:35 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:13 AM AKDT     11.31 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:08 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:25 PM AKDT     1.97 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:53 PM AKDT     5.30 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:56 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.60.1-0.8-1.1-0.70.735.98.610.511.3119.886.14.32.92.12.134.155.34.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Alaska    EDIT
Geos

Ground Weather Radar Station King Salmon
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.