Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Goodnews Bay, AK
May 14, 2024 10:29 PM AKDT (06:29 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:08 AM Sunset 10:42 PM Moonrise 10:11 AM Moonset 3:08 AM |
PKZ763 Kuskokwim Delta And Etolin Strait Out To 15 Nm- 359 Pm Akdt Tue May 14 2024
.gale warning tonight - .
Tonight - S wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow.
Wed - S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
Wed night - S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
Thu - SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Thu night - SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Fri - SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Sat through Sun - SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
PKZ700
No data
No data
FXAK69 PAFG 142308 AFDAFG
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 308 PM AKDT Tue May 14 2024
SYNOPSIS
Numerous showers and isolated storms move to the Eastern Interior today. Any shower or storm can come with briefly heavy rain and some pea sized hail. High pressure will dry things out for the Interior Wednesday and Thursday along with warmer temperatures. A strong front will impact the west coast this afternoon into Wednesday with snow and blowing snow and gusty southerly winds along the Bering Strait. Snow mixed with rain from Nome east Tuesday night into Wednesday. Unsettled weather will continue for the west coast Wednesday and Thursday.
DISCUSSION
Upper Level Analysis...
Ridging will build over the Interior Wed and Thursday. Ridging slides to the east over the mainland and a strong upper trough will push into the west coast Tuesday into Thursday. A closed low over the Bering will track northeast towards Wrangel Island on Wednesday. Ridging will elongate over the eastern Interior on Thursday and broad troughing will remain over the Bering through Friday. Models in-line in the short-term then begin to diverge over the weekend.
West Coast and Western Interior...
A strong front will begin to impact the west coast this afternoon and evening with strong southerly winds and snow and blowing snow for Saint Lawrence Island and the Bering Strait. Southerly winds could gust near 60 mph for Saint Lawrence Island and the Bering Strait. Winter Storm Warnings are still in effect for these areas through Wednesday afternoon.
Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for the Seward Penn. Snow and gusty southerly winds will develop over the Seward Penninsula, Yukon Delta coast and Northwest Alaska Tuesday evening into Wednesday. 2 to 4 inches possible for Nome with higher amounts in the mountains north of Nome. Snow may mix with rain at times on Wed. Chances of precip continue into Thursday.
Strong south to southwest winds will also cause water levels to increase 3-5 feet along the Bering and Chukchi Sea coasts.
Shorefast ice is still in place along much of the coast and may lift the ice and locally push it ashore, especially on south and southwest facing coastlines. Additionally, water may flood the ice surface and could impact any equipment/huts remaining on the ice. High surf is possible in some locations wher there is little or no shorefast ice. From the Bering Strait north, the sea ice is more extensive and the risk of coastal impacts will be lower than the south of the Bering Strait.
Central and Eastern Interior...
Scattered showers and Isolated thunderstorms will be confined to the Eastern Interior as high pressure builds over the Interior.
Any shower or storm will likely come with briefly moderate to heavy rain and erratic wind gusts up to 20-30 mph. Any storm has the potential to come with pea sized hail. No precip expected on Wednesday and Thursday. Highs in the upper 50s Tuesday and in the lower 60s on Wednesday and Thursday.
North Slope and Brooks Range.. A Bering Sea Low will bring a strong front to the West Coast this evening into Wed. Snow is expected to begin in Point Hope around 10 PM with southerly winds increasing to 30-40 mph with gusts to 55 mph. The snow may mix with rain at times Wednesday afternoon, but the winds will remain strong through Thursday morning. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for blowing snow in Point Hope. Northeast of Point Hope, there won't be much in the way of snow, but it will be breezy from Deadhorse west to Barrow with peak gusts around 30-35 mph Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning. Temperatures will be warming up Wednesday and Thursday as well. Expect high temperatures in the mid 30s along the coast and mid 40s to low 50s in the Brooks Range.
Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...A Bering Sea low with strong southerly winds looks to bring water levels 3 to 5 feet above the normal high tide line Wednesday morning through Thursday. With shorefast ice still remaining, it may not be enough to bump it out of place, but water on top of the ice is a possibility. Ice pans in the Bering Sea may try to push ashore as well. These impacts will be monitored early this week.
Extended Forecast for Days 4-7...
Models are in slightly better agreement than yesterday for day 4 and beyond but there is still plenty of uncertainty. We will be monitoring a chance for another low to move into the West Coast Friday into Saturday as troughing persists. At this time, this low looks to be much weaker than what we are currently going through.
Expect a few showers and maybe an isolated storm in the Interior on Saturday with cooling temps on Sunday.
FIRE WEATHER
Scattered showers and Isolated thunderstorms will be confined to the Eastern Interior as high pressure builds over the Interior. No precip expected on Wednesday and Thursday. Highs in the upper 50s Tueday and in the lower 60s on Wednesday and Thursday. Minimum RH's will be around 25-35% Wed and Thursday. Winds remain relatively light, though any shower or storm may cause some erratic winds with gusts as high as 25 mph possible. Gusty winds aroud 20 to 30 mph are possible from Delta Junction south Wed evening and in the Alaska Range.
HYDROLOGY
A mild breakup on the Yukon River will continue. No impacts have been reported in Tanana, but there has been ice running for the last 24 hours and the water has come up. Ice running past Ruby made its way to Galena today. The water level in Galena rose 2 feet today and has been fluctuating around 114.0 feet since this afternoon. A heavy run of bank-to-bank ice ran through Galena during the afternoon. A large channel formed this afternoon around Bishop Rock and allowed for a heavy run of ice to flow down river.
This run was about 40-45 miles long and extended down river past Koyukuk near Last Chance. Water levels held steady near Koyukuk.
From Last Chance to Nulato, the river was mostly open with some chunk ice but there was a series of jams down river of Nulato with some improvement during the afternoon. Most of the ice has released at the south bank of the Ninemile Island Jam, and the jam at river mile 470 appeared weak and degraded. A small jam near Halfway Island (river mile 460) started to move as well. Water levels in Nulato were slowly rising but we have not heard of, or seen any impacts. At Russian Mission, the river is mostly open upstream but just below, there is a small ice jam. There is some in place ice in Marshall with chunk ice packed in front of Marshall. The main break up front is located 7 miles below Marshall with water levels remaining low. Towards Pilot Station, the river ice was intact but showed signs of movement and the ice below Pilot Station appears stronger and more intact. A resident in Pilot Station reported that the water levels have risen about 5 feet since Sunday.
AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AK...Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ801.
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ814.
Winter Storm Warning for AKZ820-821-827.
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ822-823.
PK...Gale Warning for PKZ801.
Gale Warning for PKZ802.
Gale Warning for PKZ803.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ804.
Gale Warning for PKZ805.
Gale Warning for PKZ806-807-854.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ808-858.
Gale Warning for PKZ809.
Gale Warning for PKZ810-811.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ812.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ813-859.
Gale Warning for PKZ816-817-850-853.
Gale Warning for PKZ851.
Gale Warning for PKZ852.
Gale Warning for PKZ855.
Gale Warning for PKZ856.
Gale Warning for PKZ857.
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 308 PM AKDT Tue May 14 2024
SYNOPSIS
Numerous showers and isolated storms move to the Eastern Interior today. Any shower or storm can come with briefly heavy rain and some pea sized hail. High pressure will dry things out for the Interior Wednesday and Thursday along with warmer temperatures. A strong front will impact the west coast this afternoon into Wednesday with snow and blowing snow and gusty southerly winds along the Bering Strait. Snow mixed with rain from Nome east Tuesday night into Wednesday. Unsettled weather will continue for the west coast Wednesday and Thursday.
DISCUSSION
Upper Level Analysis...
Ridging will build over the Interior Wed and Thursday. Ridging slides to the east over the mainland and a strong upper trough will push into the west coast Tuesday into Thursday. A closed low over the Bering will track northeast towards Wrangel Island on Wednesday. Ridging will elongate over the eastern Interior on Thursday and broad troughing will remain over the Bering through Friday. Models in-line in the short-term then begin to diverge over the weekend.
West Coast and Western Interior...
A strong front will begin to impact the west coast this afternoon and evening with strong southerly winds and snow and blowing snow for Saint Lawrence Island and the Bering Strait. Southerly winds could gust near 60 mph for Saint Lawrence Island and the Bering Strait. Winter Storm Warnings are still in effect for these areas through Wednesday afternoon.
Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for the Seward Penn. Snow and gusty southerly winds will develop over the Seward Penninsula, Yukon Delta coast and Northwest Alaska Tuesday evening into Wednesday. 2 to 4 inches possible for Nome with higher amounts in the mountains north of Nome. Snow may mix with rain at times on Wed. Chances of precip continue into Thursday.
Strong south to southwest winds will also cause water levels to increase 3-5 feet along the Bering and Chukchi Sea coasts.
Shorefast ice is still in place along much of the coast and may lift the ice and locally push it ashore, especially on south and southwest facing coastlines. Additionally, water may flood the ice surface and could impact any equipment/huts remaining on the ice. High surf is possible in some locations wher there is little or no shorefast ice. From the Bering Strait north, the sea ice is more extensive and the risk of coastal impacts will be lower than the south of the Bering Strait.
Central and Eastern Interior...
Scattered showers and Isolated thunderstorms will be confined to the Eastern Interior as high pressure builds over the Interior.
Any shower or storm will likely come with briefly moderate to heavy rain and erratic wind gusts up to 20-30 mph. Any storm has the potential to come with pea sized hail. No precip expected on Wednesday and Thursday. Highs in the upper 50s Tuesday and in the lower 60s on Wednesday and Thursday.
North Slope and Brooks Range.. A Bering Sea Low will bring a strong front to the West Coast this evening into Wed. Snow is expected to begin in Point Hope around 10 PM with southerly winds increasing to 30-40 mph with gusts to 55 mph. The snow may mix with rain at times Wednesday afternoon, but the winds will remain strong through Thursday morning. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for blowing snow in Point Hope. Northeast of Point Hope, there won't be much in the way of snow, but it will be breezy from Deadhorse west to Barrow with peak gusts around 30-35 mph Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning. Temperatures will be warming up Wednesday and Thursday as well. Expect high temperatures in the mid 30s along the coast and mid 40s to low 50s in the Brooks Range.
Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...A Bering Sea low with strong southerly winds looks to bring water levels 3 to 5 feet above the normal high tide line Wednesday morning through Thursday. With shorefast ice still remaining, it may not be enough to bump it out of place, but water on top of the ice is a possibility. Ice pans in the Bering Sea may try to push ashore as well. These impacts will be monitored early this week.
Extended Forecast for Days 4-7...
Models are in slightly better agreement than yesterday for day 4 and beyond but there is still plenty of uncertainty. We will be monitoring a chance for another low to move into the West Coast Friday into Saturday as troughing persists. At this time, this low looks to be much weaker than what we are currently going through.
Expect a few showers and maybe an isolated storm in the Interior on Saturday with cooling temps on Sunday.
FIRE WEATHER
Scattered showers and Isolated thunderstorms will be confined to the Eastern Interior as high pressure builds over the Interior. No precip expected on Wednesday and Thursday. Highs in the upper 50s Tueday and in the lower 60s on Wednesday and Thursday. Minimum RH's will be around 25-35% Wed and Thursday. Winds remain relatively light, though any shower or storm may cause some erratic winds with gusts as high as 25 mph possible. Gusty winds aroud 20 to 30 mph are possible from Delta Junction south Wed evening and in the Alaska Range.
HYDROLOGY
A mild breakup on the Yukon River will continue. No impacts have been reported in Tanana, but there has been ice running for the last 24 hours and the water has come up. Ice running past Ruby made its way to Galena today. The water level in Galena rose 2 feet today and has been fluctuating around 114.0 feet since this afternoon. A heavy run of bank-to-bank ice ran through Galena during the afternoon. A large channel formed this afternoon around Bishop Rock and allowed for a heavy run of ice to flow down river.
This run was about 40-45 miles long and extended down river past Koyukuk near Last Chance. Water levels held steady near Koyukuk.
From Last Chance to Nulato, the river was mostly open with some chunk ice but there was a series of jams down river of Nulato with some improvement during the afternoon. Most of the ice has released at the south bank of the Ninemile Island Jam, and the jam at river mile 470 appeared weak and degraded. A small jam near Halfway Island (river mile 460) started to move as well. Water levels in Nulato were slowly rising but we have not heard of, or seen any impacts. At Russian Mission, the river is mostly open upstream but just below, there is a small ice jam. There is some in place ice in Marshall with chunk ice packed in front of Marshall. The main break up front is located 7 miles below Marshall with water levels remaining low. Towards Pilot Station, the river ice was intact but showed signs of movement and the ice below Pilot Station appears stronger and more intact. A resident in Pilot Station reported that the water levels have risen about 5 feet since Sunday.
AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AK...Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ801.
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ814.
Winter Storm Warning for AKZ820-821-827.
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ822-823.
PK...Gale Warning for PKZ801.
Gale Warning for PKZ802.
Gale Warning for PKZ803.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ804.
Gale Warning for PKZ805.
Gale Warning for PKZ806-807-854.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ808-858.
Gale Warning for PKZ809.
Gale Warning for PKZ810-811.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ812.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ813-859.
Gale Warning for PKZ816-817-850-853.
Gale Warning for PKZ851.
Gale Warning for PKZ852.
Gale Warning for PKZ855.
Gale Warning for PKZ856.
Gale Warning for PKZ857.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| PAPM PLATINUM,AK | 22 sm | 33 min | SE 16G23 | 10 sm | Overcast | 34°F | 28°F | 80% | 29.85 |
Carter Spit
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:52 AM AKDT 10.49 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:07 AM AKDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:15 AM AKDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:59 AM AKDT 1.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:11 PM AKDT Moonrise
Tue -- 03:42 PM AKDT 6.92 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:35 PM AKDT 0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:14 PM AKDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:52 AM AKDT 10.49 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:07 AM AKDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:15 AM AKDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:59 AM AKDT 1.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:11 PM AKDT Moonrise
Tue -- 03:42 PM AKDT 6.92 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:35 PM AKDT 0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:14 PM AKDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Carter Spit, Alaska, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 4.8 |
| 1 am |
| 7 |
| 2 am |
| 8.9 |
| 3 am |
| 10.1 |
| 4 am |
| 10.5 |
| 5 am |
| 9.8 |
| 6 am |
| 8.1 |
| 7 am |
| 5.9 |
| 8 am |
| 3.6 |
| 9 am |
| 1.9 |
| 10 am |
| 1.3 |
| 11 am |
| 1.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 3 |
| 1 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 5.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 6.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 6.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 6.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 4.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.3 |
Goodnews Bay entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:32 AM AKDT 8.14 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:05 AM AKDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:16 AM AKDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:26 AM AKDT 1.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:12 PM AKDT Moonrise
Tue -- 03:22 PM AKDT 5.37 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:02 PM AKDT 0.23 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:12 PM AKDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:32 AM AKDT 8.14 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:05 AM AKDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:16 AM AKDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:26 AM AKDT 1.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:12 PM AKDT Moonrise
Tue -- 03:22 PM AKDT 5.37 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:02 PM AKDT 0.23 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:12 PM AKDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Goodnews Bay entrance, Alaska, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 4.5 |
| 1 am |
| 6.1 |
| 2 am |
| 7.3 |
| 3 am |
| 8 |
| 4 am |
| 8 |
| 5 am |
| 7.2 |
| 6 am |
| 5.7 |
| 7 am |
| 3.8 |
| 8 am |
| 2.1 |
| 9 am |
| 1.2 |
| 10 am |
| 1.2 |
| 11 am |
| 1.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 4 |
| 2 pm |
| 4.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 5.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 5.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.6 |
Bethel/Anchorage,AK
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