Friday, February22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Madawaska, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 4:56PM Friday February 22, 2019 12:10 PM EST (17:10 UTC) Moonrise 10:42PMMoonset 9:41AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Madawaska, ME
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location: 59.51, -74.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 221512
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1012 am est Fri feb 22 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will build toward the region through tonight then
cross the region Saturday. Low pressure will cross the region
later Sunday into Monday.

Near term through tonight
Update...

no big changes to previous forecast as elements remain on track
through this afternoon. The SCA was cancelled for the coastal
waters.

Previous discussion... High pressure will build toward the
region today through tonight. Across the north and mountains
expect a mostly sunny morning, then partly cloudy this afternoon
with scattered flurries. Wind gusts up to around 25 mph could
also cause patchy blowing snow across mostly northern areas.

Mostly sunny skies are expected downeast today. Skies will
remain partly cloudy across the north and mountains tonight,
with mostly clear skies downeast. High temperatures today will
range from the mid 20s north, to the mid 30s interior downeast
with mid to upper 30s along the downeast coast. Low temperatures
tonight will generally range through the single digits above
and below zero north, to 10 to 15 interior downeast with mid
teens along the downeast coast. Locally colder readings are
possible across the entire region.

Short term Saturday through Sunday night
Strong high pressure is expected to be over the region Saturday
morning. This system will then move eastward into the atlantic
during the day Saturday as intense low pressure moves northeast
into the great lakes. Clouds will increase during the day
Saturday and snow is expected to develop across the region
Saturday night as warm air advection ahead of the great lakes
low develops. A secondary low is expected to develop south of
new england early Sunday as the primary low continues to move
northeast into canada. The secondary low will move northeastward
along the maine coast late Sunday and Sunday evening. This will
result in continued snow in the north and snow changing to
sleet and rain in the coastal areas and south central portions
of the region. Will use the surface temperatures for
precipitation type and snow ratios for snow amounts. Snow is
expected to transition to snow showers early Monday.

Long term Monday through Thursday
Expect gusty winds, snow showers, and cold temperatures Monday
into early Tuesday as intense low pressure remains to the north
of the state. High pressure is expected to build in from the
west later Tuesday and crest over the region Wednesday morning.

Another low is expected to approach from the west Wednesday
night.

Aviation 15z Friday through Tuesday
Near term: local MVFR conditions are possible across the north
and mountains today. Otherwise,VFR conditions are expected
across the region today through tonight. Northwest winds will
gust up to around 25 mph today.

Short term:VFR conditions are expected Saturday. Ifr lifr
conditions are expected Sunday and Monday. MVFR conditions are
expected Tuesday.

Marine
Near term: there may be a few gusts up to 25 kt this afternoon
otherwise winds seas will remain below SCA levels through this
afternoon. Conditions could then approach small craft advisory
levels again tonight. Light freezing spray is expected later
tonight.

Short term: will use the NAM to initialize winds then transition
to the super blend winds early Monday. For waves: the primary
wave system is expected to be long period southeasterly swell
(1-2 feet 8 seconds) Saturday into early Sunday. A significant
southeasterly fetch is expected to develop across the gulf of
maine on Sunday and continue into Sunday evening until broken
up by a wind shift later Sunday evening. Off-shore wind wave is
then expected to become the primary wave system Sunday night
into Monday with a secondary subsiding southeasterly swell. The
off-shore wind wave is expected to persist into Tuesday. Total
water level: a post surge is persisting along the maine coast
and is expected to subside during the next 48 hours. Will adjust
for this in the base tide anomaly as surge guidance is not
handling this. Another significant surge is expected on Sunday
as southeasterly winds increase. Surge guidance looks reasonable
with a maximum surge of 1.50 feet late Sunday so will keep the
base tide anomaly close to zero. Maximum surge occurs closer to
low tide so threat at this time appears minimal. In bangor a
large positive anomaly continues to persist at low tide due to
ice. Will stay close to RFC guidance with some minor adjustments
a low tide.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Duda norcross
short term... Mignone
long term... Mignone
aviation... Duda norcross mignone
marine... Duda norcross mignone


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.