Sunrise 4:59 AM   Sunset 10:53 PM Moonrise 3:47 PM   Moonset 3:12 AM

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PKZ763 Kuskokwim Delta And Etolin Strait Out To 15 Nm- 333 Am Akdt Sat May 18 2024
.small craft advisory today - .
Today - E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.Tonight - N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.Sun - W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.Sun night - S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.Mon - SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.Tue through Wed - S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

PKZ700
No data

FXAK69 PAFG 181136 AFDAFG

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 336 AM AKDT Sat May 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
Scattered afternoon showers and Isolated thunderstorms possible this afternoon across the Interior along the thermal trough.
Showers become more numerous southeast of Fairbanks on Sunday.
Still a slight threat of isolated thunderstorms for the Interior on Sunday. A front will impact the west coast late Monday night into Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Upper Levels and Analysis...
Broad troughing will persist over the southern Bering with a closed 525 dam low. Weak southerly flow aloft over the Interior on Saturday. The upper low over the Bering will track quickly east into the Gulf of Alaska and swing moisture across the southeast portion of the Interior. High pressure will rebuild over the Interior on Monday and troughing will persist over the west coast through mid week. Models begin to diverge in the extended.

Central and Eastern Interior...
Scattered afternoon showers and Isolated thunderstorms possible this afternoon across the Interior along the thermal trough.
Showers become more numerous southeast of Fairbanks on Sunday.
Still a slight threat of isolated thunderstorms for the Interior on Sunday. Weak gap flow will develop on Saturday and persist into early Sunday morning. South winds will pick up near Delta Junction around 20 to 30 mph. Not quite red flag conditions, expecting low RH values to stay above 25 percent when the strongest winds will occur. High temps in the mid to upper 60s this afternon and low to mid 60s on Sunday. A developing low Sunday will bring increased chances for heavy showers over the SE Interior on Sunday.

West Coast and Western Interior...
Drying trend continues as a low dives into Bristol Bay and then the Gulf of AK, which will switch winds from southerly to easterly then northerly Sat into Sun. Spotty showers will be possible Sat and Sun with a slight chance for afternoon thunderstorms over the Interior on Sunday.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
East-northeast winds increase Sat and Sun as an arctic high strengthens. This will likely bring in periods of stratus and fog.

Extended Forecast Days 4-7...
The extended forecast by Monday looks fairly messy with several upper level lows rotating around the Mainland. There will likely be continued chances for Interior showers and isolated thunderstorms before a deep upper low and surface low develop Tuesday and move into the West Coast and shift inland Wednesday.
The E Interior will likely see some degree of chinook warming Tue and maybe into Wednesday, but the details are just too far out to hash out at this juncture.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

FIRE WEATHER
Some scattered showers with a slight chance for isolated thunder today develop mainly over the higher elevations of the Interior over the Fortymile Uplands to the White Mtns. Min RH values continue to rise slowly into the 20 percent range. Temps rise Sat and Sun and there will be south gap winds to 25 mph sustained, but critical fire weather conditions are not expected to occur.
Isolated thunderstorm chances expand to the W Interior Sun as the thermal trough shifts west. Moderate chances for wetting rains develop Sun over the SE Interior and E Alaska Range.

HYDROLOGY
The Yukon remains ice covered toward the Delta and may see concerns in the future. However, upstream rivers are not running high with mostly ice chunks and rotting ice, so significant ice jam threats do not look high at this juncture.

AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AK...None.
PK...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ801-850-851.

Apokak Creek entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:58 AM AKDT     0.98 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:12 AM AKDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:01 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:33 AM AKDT     9.77 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:43 PM AKDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:46 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:28 PM AKDT     8.62 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:30 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Apokak Creek entrance, Alaska, Tide feet

Kuskokwak Creek entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:28 AM AKDT     0.98 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:12 AM AKDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:02 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:13 AM AKDT     9.94 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:13 PM AKDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:45 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:08 PM AKDT     8.78 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:29 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Kuskokwak Creek entrance, Alaska, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

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