Thursday, January24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Stebbins, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 9:35AMSunset 4:47PM Thursday January 24, 2019 2:49 AM AKST (11:49 UTC) Moonrise 10:23PMMoonset 11:13AM Illumination 87% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ200 Norton Sound- 359 Pm Akst Wed Jan 23 2019
.brisk wind advisory in effect through early Thursday morning...
Tonight..E winds 25 kt becoming s. Blowing snow.
Thu..E winds 15 kt.
Thu night..E winds 15 kt.
Fri..E winds 15 kt.
Fri night..S winds 15 kt.
Sat..SE winds 30 kt.
Sat night..SE winds 30 kt. Snow.
Sun..S winds 40 kt.
Mon..NW winds 10 kt.
PKZ200 Norton Sound- 359 Pm Akst Wed Jan 23 2019
.brisk wind advisory in effect through early Thursday morning...
Tonight..E winds 25 kt becoming s. Blowing snow.
Thu..E winds 15 kt.
Thu night..E winds 15 kt.
Fri..E winds 15 kt.
Fri night..S winds 15 kt.
Sat..SE winds 30 kt.
Sat night..SE winds 30 kt. Snow.
Sun..S winds 40 kt.
Mon..NW winds 10 kt.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stebbins, AK
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location: 63.62, -162.5     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak69 pafg 240100
afdafg
northern alaska forecast discussion
national weather service fairbanks ak
400 pm akst Wed jan 23 2019

Discussion
The progressive series of lows and weather fronts moving north
along the west coat will continue through the end of the week,
bringing periods of gusty winds, snow, and blowing snow to the
west coast and western interior, with a chance of freezing rain in
the southwest interior. Southerly flow aloft will bring periods
of chinook winds through the alaska range. Temperatures will trend
upwards for much of northern alaska.

Aloft, at 500 mb, a long wave trough over the bering will persist
through the week, with various lows and shortwaves rotating
through the flow. Upper level ridge axis extends from the
northeast pacific to southeast alaska and northwest across the
interior. A progression of shortwaves across the west coast will
push the ridge axis to the east through the weekend.

Surface... A lee side trough north of the brooks range will deepen
through Friday, with a closed low developing east of demarcation
point tonight, and sliding east through Thursday. Broad inverted
trough remains along the west coast through the week.

A 982 mb low located near hooper bay this afternoon will lift
north overnight to be a 992 mb low between st lawrence island and
port clarence Thursday morning, weakening through the day and
becoming part of the inverted trough that spans the west coast and
eastern bering.

A 979 mb low 150 nm southwest of dutch harbor will move north
overnight to be a 979 mb low 175 nm northwest of dutch harbor
Thursday morning becoming part of a broad area of low pressure
over the bering.

A 976 mb low 200 nm southeast of cold bay Thursday morning will
lift north and weaken to be 980 mb over bristol bay Thursday
afternoon, continuing to weaken and dissipate as it moves north
Thursday night.

Models... 12z models initialized well against the 12z raobs and
fair against the 12z and 15z surface obs. Mesoscale differences
become apparent by Thursday 15z with the lows and shortwaves near
the aleutians and in the bering sea. 12z and 15z surface obs were
2 to 3 mb higher than models near the highs over the yukon flats
and near northway. Models are in fair agreement at the surface
through 12z Thursday, when model solutions begin to diverge with
the placement, movement, and timing of the various lows moving
northward in the flow, leading to a lower confidence forecast.

North slope and brooks range: general warming trend through the
next several days. Southerly winds continue through the eastern
brooks range passes, through this evening, diminishing overnight.

Easterly winds along the arctic coast will increase tonight into
Friday as the lee side low pressure trough north of the brooks
range deepens. A front move north across the brooks range tonight
and Thursday will bring a round of snow and blowing snow, as will
another front that approaches the region Friday night.

West coast and western interior: a front will continue to move
north along the west coast this evening and Thursday bringing
gusty winds, snow, and blowing snow. A wintry mix is possible
across the southwest interior. Another front will trek north
across the region Thursday and Friday, bringing more gusty winds,
snow, blowing snow, and possibly a wintry mix. Snowfall totals
through Thursday will range from to inches, with isolated higher
amounts in the favored upslope areas. Highest snowfall totals in
the nulato hills. The ongoing southerly flow will maintain above
normal temperatures.

Central and eastern interior: chinook ongoing in the alaska range
this afternoon with southerly wind gusts to 60 mph being observed.

Wind advisories are in place for zones 225 and 226. Expect winds
to diminish overnight to below advisory levels for zone 225,
allowing for the advisory to be expire at midnight. Winds will
increase again Thursday morning, but will remain below wind
advisory criteria. For zone 225, winds will briefly diminish late
tonight, but will quickly return to advisory level Thursday
morning, so have opted to extend the wind advisory out through
Thursday night. A 10 mb spread between northway and delta junction
this morning kept the tanana valley jet blowing across zone 223
today. Winds will diminish to below advisory level this evening,
but will likely remain gusty through Friday as the gradient
remains fairly tight. The southerly flow will bring warmer
temperatures over northern alaska into the weekend. Snow chances
return Friday and Saturday for the interior as a shortwave moves
across and flow aloft turns southwesterly.

Coastal hazard potential days 3 and 4... None.

Afg watches warnings advisories
Wind advisory for akz223-akz225-akz226.

Winter weather advisory for akz211-akz212-akz213-akz214-akz215-
akz216.

Gale warning for pkz210.

Brisk wind advisory for pkz200-pkz215-pkz220-pkz225-pkz230.

Eb jan 19


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
St Michael, AK23 mi53 minSSW 710.00 miOvercast30°F28°F92%999.8 hPa

Wind History from AMK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--E13NE14
G18
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G24
E23E21E18E19E18N23NE11SE22SE9
G20
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--S12S16SW7
1 day agoE19E19E18E17E17E15E20E15--NE17NE12NE17E18NE18E17E23E13E23E18NE18E20E27
G32
E24E20
2 days agoNE18E9E9E7E8--NE10E11NE12NE11E12E9NE10E9E7E8E9E10NE10E10NE14E17E22E20

Tide / Current Tables for North Bay, Stuart Island, Norton Sound, Alaska
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North Bay
Click for Map
Thu -- 07:50 AM AKST     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:48 AM AKST     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:12 PM AKST     Moonset
Thu -- 05:16 PM AKST     Sunset
Thu -- 11:23 PM AKST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.43.12.51.81.10.50-0.2-0.3-0.20.10.40.70.91.11.11.11.21.41.72.12.52.83.1

Tide / Current Tables for Pikmiktalik River entrance, Norton Sound, Alaska
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Pikmiktalik River entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 07:10 AM AKST     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:45 AM AKST     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:11 PM AKST     Moonset
Thu -- 05:19 PM AKST     Sunset
Thu -- 11:19 PM AKST     4.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:24 PM AKST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.84.13210.3-0.2-0.4-0.3-00.40.91.31.51.61.71.822.533.64.14.54.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Alaska    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Nome, AK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.