Sunday, November19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kotzebue, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 9:17AMSunset 4:13PM Sunday November 19, 2017 2:59 AM AKST (11:59 UTC) Moonrise 11:01AMMoonset 4:28PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ215 Kotzebue Sound- 324 Pm Akst Sat Nov 18 2017
.gale warning in effect through Sunday afternoon...
.heavy freezing spray warning in effect through Sunday afternoon...
Tonight..E winds 45 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 nm or less. Heavy freezing spray.
Sun..E winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 nm or less. Heavy freezing spray.
Sun night..N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Mon..E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
Mon night..E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
Tue..E winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray.
Tue night..E winds 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
Wed..E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Thu..NE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
PKZ200 Norton Sound- 324 Pm Akst Sat Nov 18 2017
.gale warning in effect through Sunday afternoon...
.heavy freezing spray warning in effect through Sunday afternoon...
Tonight..SE winds 40 kt becoming w. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy freezing spray.
Sun..NE winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy freezing spray.
Sun night..N winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
Mon..NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Mon night..S winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
Tue..S winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
Tue night..W winds 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
Wed..SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
Thu..N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kotzebue, AK
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location: 66.9, -162.58     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak69 pafg 182341
afdafg
northern alaska forecast discussion
national weather service fairbanks ak
241 pm akst Sat nov 18 2017

Discussion
Very active weather pattern continues to hammer western alaska.

Ongoing blizzard on the west coast continues to intensify this
evening with many locations already reporting blizzard conditions
along the west coast from nome south and heavy snow and or
freezing rain in the yk delta and on st lawrence island and the
bering strait.

Aloft at 500 hpa, a strong shortwave over the chukotsk peninsula
continues to push east and south flattening the upper level ridge
over the southeastern bering sea. As the ridge continues to get
squeezed south and west the shortwave will continue to dig south
and east and strengthen the longwave that is currently over
eastern alaska and the yukon and is slowly moving to the west.

Cold airmass over the yukon and eastern interior brought the first
minus 20 day to fairbanks and many areas of eastern alaska.

Mostly clear skies over the central and eastern alaska will
promote another cold night with temperatures in the teens and 20s
as well as a few 30s below in coldest locations. 40 below not out
of the question for the yukon flats and coldest spots in the
fortymile country Monday night. A tanana valley jet will develop
this evening and will produce gusty southeast winds from delta
junction west to include salcha and nenana. Expect easterly winds
gusting to around 40 mph in delta junction area tonight and
Sunday morning and wind gusts to 25 mph in salcha and nenana.

On the surface a 988 mb low currently over the gulf of anadyr
moves rapidly south and east as the associated front currently
extending south and east from the low to st lawrence island to the
yk delta rapidly occludes and remains the focal point for heavy
snow. The low continues to deepen to 984 mb as it moves into
norton sound tonight and moves over kodiak island as a 982 mb low
Sunday morning. An inverted trough will remain over the west coast
and will continue to produce snow through early afternoon over the
west coast. Storm total snow is expected to between 4 and 12
inches with locally higher amounts from the bering strait
southeast to mcgrath. Freezing rain and rain freezing on the
ground and road surfaces is expected to produce up to one half
inch of ice accumulation south and west of anvik.

West winds will increase tonight as the low passes to the south
and will produce a 3 to 4 foot storm surge along the norton sound
coast south of stebbins and along the yk delta coast. The surge
will back up the yukon river several miles producing elevated
water levels. Water levels will relax Monday as winds decrease.

A second strong low will move from the western bering into the
gulf of anadyr on Monday and over the southern chukchi sea tue.

This will bring another round of strong winds, snow, blowing snow
and possible blizzard conditions to the west coast late Monday
night and Tuesday. This could bring a significant storm surge and
possible coastal flooding to the west coast of alaska Tue into
wed, but still much uncertainty on this. Will keep eye on this
feature for further developments.

A third very strong low will move into the central bering sea
Thursday and Friday. Model guidance continues to indicate surface
pressures dropping to below 960 mbs with considerable spread on
the track of the storm. This storm has the potential to bring yet
another round of significant storm surge and possible coastal
flooding to the west coast of alaska in addition to strong winds,
heavy snow and freezing rain. Continue to monitor.

Coastal hazard potential days 3 and 4...

a second strong low will move from the western bering to near
anadyr on Mon and over the southern chukchi sea tue. This will
bring another round of strong winds, snow, blowing snow and
possible blizzard conditions to the west coast Mon night and tue.

This could bring a significant storm surge and possible coastal
flooding to the west coast of alaska Tue into wed, but still much
uncertainty on this. Will keep eye on this feature for further
developments.

A third very strong low will move into the central bering sea
Thursday and Friday. Model guidance continues to indicate surface
pressures dropping to below 960 pbs with considerable spread on
the track of the storm. This storm has the potential to bring yet
another round of significant storm surge and possible coastal
flooding to the west coast of alaska in addition to strong winds,
heavy snow and freezing rain. There is considerable model spread
on the track and strength of this storm as well. Continue to
monitor.

Afg watches warnings advisories
High surf advisory for akz212-akz214.

Winter storm warning for akz214-akz215-akz216.

Blizzard warning for akz207-akz209-akz210-akz211-akz212-akz213.

Winter weather advisory for akz208.

Heavy freezing spray warning for pkz200-pkz210-pkz215-pkz220-
pkz225-pkz230-pkz235.

Gale warning for pkz200-pkz215-pkz220-pkz225-pkz230.

Storm warning for pkz210.

Small craft advisory for pkz235.

Ccc nov 17


Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Red Dog Dock, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ralph Wien Memorial Airport, AK4 mi67 minE 34 G 410.25 miSnow Freezing Fog and Windy13°F10°F88%994.2 hPa

Wind History from AOT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmE4E4E4SE12SE15E16SE19E20E21E25E26
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1 day agoNW11NW15NW15NW13NW14NW10NW9NW12NW6N9N9NW11NW11NW8N4NW4CalmN3N4NW5NW5CalmE3Calm
2 days agoSE16SE17SE16SE15SE18SE15E16SE17SE15SE15SE14E11NE8NE5N5N4N4NW18NW18NW13NW13NW15NW15NW13

Tide / Current Tables for Kotzebue, Kotzebue Sound, Alaska
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Kotzebue
Click for MapNote: NOS uses UTC-11 for LST; AKST (since 1983) is UTC-9

Sun -- 03:16 AM AKST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:03 AM AKST     0.43 feet High Tide
Sun -- 11:07 AM AKST     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:00 PM AKST     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:28 PM AKST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:03 PM AKST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:29 PM AKST     Moonset
Sun -- 08:52 PM AKST     0.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.20.1000.10.20.30.40.40.40.30.30.30.20.20.30.50.60.70.80.90.80.6

Tide / Current Tables for Kiwalik, Kotzebue Sound, Alaska
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Kiwalik
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:09 AM AKST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:45 AM AKST     2.36 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:53 AM AKST     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:47 AM AKST     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:57 PM AKST     0.68 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:11 PM AKST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:36 PM AKST     Moonset
Sun -- 08:09 PM AKST     2.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.1-0.1-00.30.91.522.32.32.21.71.20.80.70.81.21.72.32.72.92.82.41.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
npac_satellite

GOES Local Image of Alaska    EDIT
Geos

Ground Weather Radar Station Nome, AK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.