Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lakewood, NY
June 2, 2024 11:07 AM EDT (15:07 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:41 AM Sunset 8:49 PM Moonrise 2:09 AM Moonset 3:37 PM |
LEZ040 Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 428 Am Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Today - South winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. A chance of showers late this morning. Showers likely this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight - Southeast winds less than 10 knots. Showers likely in the evening. Patchy fog overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday - Light and variable winds becoming north 5 to 10 knots. Patchy fog in the morning. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday night - Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday - South winds 10 knots or less. A chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Thursday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ005
No data
No data
FXUS61 KBUF 021006 AFDBUF
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 606 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
A weakening area of low pressure will bring an increase in clouds and showers into Western New York today. This activity will diminish across the Finger Lakes region this evening, leaving behind some areas of low clouds and fog across portions of Western New York.
Cooler today across Western New York, but for the North Country where some filtered sunshine is possible along with dry conditions, afternoon temperatures will be a few degrees warmer than yesterday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Low pressure this morning over eastern Michigan will weaken through the day as a lead upper level shortwave trough outraces the surface feature. Regional radars and surface observations display a bit of virga out ahead of a broken area of showers which are nearing the eastern Lake Erie waters this morning.
Showers will enter WNY through the morning hours. Limited instability with MU CAPE values just a few hundred J/KG, so have removed thunder from the forecast, though an isolated lightning strike will be possible later today. Height falls and lift ahead of the shortwave trough will support these showers moving into the Genesee Valley and Finger Lakes region by midday.
Thinner moisture profiles east of Lake Ontario will possibly allow for some filtered sunshine. Though today will be cooler by several degrees under these thickening clouds for WNY, the filtered sunshine east of Lake Ontario will allow for today to actually be a degree or two warmer for the North Country.
Showers will fizzle out this evening near the Genesee Valley and Finger Lakes region. We will remain saturated in the lower levels such that a very weak pressure gradient and light winds will allow for low clouds and areas of fog to form...especially for those areas that recently received rainfall. Fog could set in for the hills of SW NYS by evening. Lows tonight will range through the mid 50s to around 60.
SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
A weak mid-level ridge will build across the region Monday and Tuesday, while surface high pressure centered across eastern Canada ridges back into our region. Each day limited diurnal instability will develop which may produce an isolated shower or thunderstorm, but the ridging should suppress most if not all convection.
Temperatures will be above normal, and with dew points creeping into the lower 60s it will 'feel' like summer. Tuesday will be the warmer of the two days with highs in the 80s.
Ridging surface and aloft will shift east across New England Tuesday night, while a deepening upper level trough will approach the region from the west. This will bring a chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm late Tuesday night. Otherwise it will be rather humid and muggy with lows in the 60s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
A closed upper level low will move across the Great Lakes region during the period. This will establish a wet pattern with a cooling trend for the long term period.
Temperatures will start off well above normal on Wednesday, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. However 00Z model guidance pushes a warm frontal segment across the area late Wednesday or Wednesday night. Convection along this front will have the potential to produce locally heavy downpours since the warm and moist air mass will feature PWAT values around 1.75 inches. This feature has the best chance to produce widespread precipitation, supporting likely PoPs with its passage.
After this, forecast confidence diminishes since it will depend on the position of the upper low and subtle embedded shortwaves which are difficult to resolve at this timeframe. In general there will be a persistent risk of showers/isolated thunderstorms which will be maximized during the afternoon hours corresponding to peak daytime heating. However, there also will be plenty of rain-free time between shortwaves and most of the nighttime. As the upper low settles near or across the region, temperatures will become cooler, but even so daytime highs Friday and Saturday will only be slightly below normal.
AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
For the 12Z TAFS, VFR flight conditions start the TAF cycle, but a weakening area of low pressure will spread an increase in clouds, and later showers across Western New York. Showers will reach the western TAF sites through the morning hours, and later push their way into the Genesee Valley and Finger Lakes region. Lift is marginal, with a period of showers that will at times lower visibility and ceiling heights into MVFR flight range.
KART and areas east of Lake Ontario may just stay dry through this period, with VFR flight conditions.
This evening shower activity will diminish...last across the Finger Lakes region. The lower atmosphere will remain saturated and with weak pressure gradient and light winds, areas of fog and lowering ceiling heights are expected. LIFR is likely for the hilltops of the Southern Tier (KJHW) by early evening, with IFR or low end MVFR expected for KBUF/KIAG/KROC overnight.
Less moisture east of Lake Ontario may leave KART and surrounding area VFR through the night.
Outlook...
Monday and Tuesday...VFR.
Wednesday...Mainly VFR with a chance for showers.
Thursday...MVFR with showers and thunderstorms.
MARINE
Low pressure will weaken as it passes across the Lower Great Lakes today. Weak pressure gradient into the start of the work week will maintain light winds and minimal waves into mid-week.
BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 606 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
A weakening area of low pressure will bring an increase in clouds and showers into Western New York today. This activity will diminish across the Finger Lakes region this evening, leaving behind some areas of low clouds and fog across portions of Western New York.
Cooler today across Western New York, but for the North Country where some filtered sunshine is possible along with dry conditions, afternoon temperatures will be a few degrees warmer than yesterday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Low pressure this morning over eastern Michigan will weaken through the day as a lead upper level shortwave trough outraces the surface feature. Regional radars and surface observations display a bit of virga out ahead of a broken area of showers which are nearing the eastern Lake Erie waters this morning.
Showers will enter WNY through the morning hours. Limited instability with MU CAPE values just a few hundred J/KG, so have removed thunder from the forecast, though an isolated lightning strike will be possible later today. Height falls and lift ahead of the shortwave trough will support these showers moving into the Genesee Valley and Finger Lakes region by midday.
Thinner moisture profiles east of Lake Ontario will possibly allow for some filtered sunshine. Though today will be cooler by several degrees under these thickening clouds for WNY, the filtered sunshine east of Lake Ontario will allow for today to actually be a degree or two warmer for the North Country.
Showers will fizzle out this evening near the Genesee Valley and Finger Lakes region. We will remain saturated in the lower levels such that a very weak pressure gradient and light winds will allow for low clouds and areas of fog to form...especially for those areas that recently received rainfall. Fog could set in for the hills of SW NYS by evening. Lows tonight will range through the mid 50s to around 60.
SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
A weak mid-level ridge will build across the region Monday and Tuesday, while surface high pressure centered across eastern Canada ridges back into our region. Each day limited diurnal instability will develop which may produce an isolated shower or thunderstorm, but the ridging should suppress most if not all convection.
Temperatures will be above normal, and with dew points creeping into the lower 60s it will 'feel' like summer. Tuesday will be the warmer of the two days with highs in the 80s.
Ridging surface and aloft will shift east across New England Tuesday night, while a deepening upper level trough will approach the region from the west. This will bring a chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm late Tuesday night. Otherwise it will be rather humid and muggy with lows in the 60s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
A closed upper level low will move across the Great Lakes region during the period. This will establish a wet pattern with a cooling trend for the long term period.
Temperatures will start off well above normal on Wednesday, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. However 00Z model guidance pushes a warm frontal segment across the area late Wednesday or Wednesday night. Convection along this front will have the potential to produce locally heavy downpours since the warm and moist air mass will feature PWAT values around 1.75 inches. This feature has the best chance to produce widespread precipitation, supporting likely PoPs with its passage.
After this, forecast confidence diminishes since it will depend on the position of the upper low and subtle embedded shortwaves which are difficult to resolve at this timeframe. In general there will be a persistent risk of showers/isolated thunderstorms which will be maximized during the afternoon hours corresponding to peak daytime heating. However, there also will be plenty of rain-free time between shortwaves and most of the nighttime. As the upper low settles near or across the region, temperatures will become cooler, but even so daytime highs Friday and Saturday will only be slightly below normal.
AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
For the 12Z TAFS, VFR flight conditions start the TAF cycle, but a weakening area of low pressure will spread an increase in clouds, and later showers across Western New York. Showers will reach the western TAF sites through the morning hours, and later push their way into the Genesee Valley and Finger Lakes region. Lift is marginal, with a period of showers that will at times lower visibility and ceiling heights into MVFR flight range.
KART and areas east of Lake Ontario may just stay dry through this period, with VFR flight conditions.
This evening shower activity will diminish...last across the Finger Lakes region. The lower atmosphere will remain saturated and with weak pressure gradient and light winds, areas of fog and lowering ceiling heights are expected. LIFR is likely for the hilltops of the Southern Tier (KJHW) by early evening, with IFR or low end MVFR expected for KBUF/KIAG/KROC overnight.
Less moisture east of Lake Ontario may leave KART and surrounding area VFR through the night.
Outlook...
Monday and Tuesday...VFR.
Wednesday...Mainly VFR with a chance for showers.
Thursday...MVFR with showers and thunderstorms.
MARINE
Low pressure will weaken as it passes across the Lower Great Lakes today. Weak pressure gradient into the start of the work week will maintain light winds and minimal waves into mid-week.
BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY | 27 mi | 67 min | SW 7G | 65°F | 30.01 | |||
| NREP1 | 27 mi | 97 min | S 2.9G | 64°F | ||||
| EREP1 | 42 mi | 49 min | S 1.9G | |||||
| PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY | 43 mi | 49 min | 65°F | 29.98 | ||||
| 45142 - Port Colborne | 44 mi | 67 min | SW 12G | 63°F | 60°F | 0 ft | 30.00 | |
| WCRP1 | 49 mi | 67 min | SSE 5.1G | 63°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KJHW CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY/JAMESTOWN,NY | 5 sm | 11 min | SW 09 | 10 sm | Overcast | 63°F | 57°F | 83% | 30.05 |
Buffalo, NY,
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