Sunrise 5:23 AM   Sunset 8:20 PM Moonrise 1:07 AM   Moonset 11:13 AM

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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 417 Am Edt Wed May 29 2024
Today - W winds around 5 kt, becoming sw this afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers and tstms early this afternoon. Chance of showers and tstms late. Tonight - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely with chance of tstms. Thu - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely with slight chance of tstms in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon. Thu night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: ne 1 ft at 2 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the evening. Fri - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Fri night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Sat - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sat night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sun - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

ANZ300 417 Am Edt Wed May 29 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - A cold front approaches today and passes through tonight with a weak surface trough lingering nearby on Thursday. High pressure then builds in Friday and Saturday then slowly weakens beginning on Sunday.

FXUS61 KOKX 290815 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 415 AM EDT Wed May 29 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front approaches today and passes through tonight with a weak surface trough lingering nearby on Thursday. High pressure then builds in Friday and Saturday then slowly weakens beginning on Sunday, allowing a series of weak disturbances to approach from the west on Monday and Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
With an upper trough axis swinging through the region tonight, a cold front and weak low center approach us and pass through this afternoon into tonight. The cold pool accompanying the falling heights aloft will help create conditionally unstable mid level lapse rates this afternoon into tonight, and SBCAPES increase to around 500 J/kg during this time. These ingredients, combined with moisture and the lift from the aforementioned features passing through, result in showers eventually become likely everywhere by the end of the night. Chances begin over western sections around noon with chances increasing and spreading eastward as the afternoon and evening progress. Shear profiles are not supportive of severe weather, especially with the limited CAPE, but thunderstorms will be possible. NBM was used for temperatures.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
The system should be just east of us, or at least exiting early Thursday morning. A cyclonic flow aloft and surface trough will however still be present during the rest of the day. Slight chance to chance PoPs during the day. CAPE will be more limited, and can't completely rule out a thunderstorm, but will leave the mention of it out for now. Highs mostly in the lower 70s.

The longwave pattern aloft amplifies Thursday night, sending another trough axis our way. This axis will be over or just east of us by late, with ridging following it for Friday. Moisture is limited, so it looks like it will be a dry period. Highs around normal - in the lower and middle 70s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
High pressure sfc and aloft will dominate this weekend, while low pressure remains well out to sea over the western Atlantic. A series of weak upper level disturbances approaching from the west will weaken the ridge in place, with timing and location in question.
ECMWF shears out a weakening lead mid level disturbance early next week, with most of the forcing passing to the north on Sunday and a lingering weak trough passing S on Mon. GFS remains more consolidated presumably in response to a stronger and more consolidated western Atlantic cutoff low, with an approaching disturbance on Mon. Both models then show a second upper level disturbance approaching on Tue. For now have remained dry Sunday and Monday and have no more than 20-30 PoP on Tue.

Daytime temps through the period will run at least a few degrees above normal. Lows will be near normal Sat night, then also moderate to above normal especially by Sunday night as a S return flow becomes established.

AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
One weak frontal boundary will move east of the area overnight.
Another will approach Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Sub VFR chances should increase going into this afternoon and evening. Sct showers and possible tstms could begin perhaps as early as 16Z-18Z KSWF, 18Z-20Z KEWR/KTEB/KHPN, 20Z KLGA/KJFK/KBDR, 22Z KISP and by Wed night at KGON. These have been handled with PROB30 for MVFR cond, but IFR vsby may be possible in heavier cells.

Mostly light W-NW flow overnight should veer more to the NNW by daybreak as one front moves farther to the east. Coastal sea breezes develop in the afternoon at KJFK/KISP/KBDR/KGON, and could reach KLGA by 22Z and KEWR/KTEB by 00Z.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

No unscheduled AMD expected.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

Late tonight: Periods of MVFR cond with chance of showers.

Thursday: Chance of showers with MVFR cond possible, mainly in the morning and mainly E of the NYC metros.

Friday through Sunday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
Sub-advisory conditions persist through the weekend with a light flow, generally 10 kt or less.

HYDROLOGY
No hydrologic impacts are expected through the forecast period.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
There is a moderate risk for rip current development today. The moderate risk continues for Thursday for the southeast Suffolk County ocean beaches, with a low risk elsewhere.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.

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South Norwalk
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Wed -- 01:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:13 AM EDT     7.49 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:46 AM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:13 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:53 PM EDT     7.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:14 PM EDT     0.97 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

South Norwalk, Connecticut, Tide feet

Haverstraw (Hudson River)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:43 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:05 AM EDT     0.86 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 05:58 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 09:42 AM EDT     -1.23 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 11:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 01:43 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:40 PM EDT     0.67 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:22 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:03 PM EDT     -1.04 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Haverstraw (Hudson River), New York Current, knots

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