Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Waveland, MS
June 2, 2024 3:09 PM CDT (20:09 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:56 AM Sunset 7:58 PM Moonrise 2:59 AM Moonset 4:04 PM |
GMZ534 Lake Borgne- 1008 Am Cdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Rest of today - East winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers.
Tonight - South winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon.
Tuesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less.
Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon.
Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less.
Thursday - Southwest winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ500 1008 Am Cdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
high pressure centered over the eastern gulf and florida will keep a persistent south-southeast flow of around 10 knots and benign seas of 1 to 2 feet in place through the end of the week. The only concern will be the threat of Thunderstorms today that could produce gusty winds and locally higher seas.
high pressure centered over the eastern gulf and florida will keep a persistent south-southeast flow of around 10 knots and benign seas of 1 to 2 feet in place through the end of the week. The only concern will be the threat of Thunderstorms today that could produce gusty winds and locally higher seas.
Area Discussion for - New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
HIDE HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS64 KLIX 021750 AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 1250 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 947 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Adjusted PoP, weather, and QPF forecasts to account for ongoing convective trends based on the latest radar and satellite data.
A broad area of light to moderate stratiform rainfall with occasional embedded thunderstorms will continue to impact the I-10 corridor between Baton Rouge and New Orleans through the morning hours, and have increased PoP to categorical or over 80 percent for this area. Additional scattered shower and thunderstorm activity will continue to develop through the morning hours over parts of the Northshore. Around mid-day, this initial round of stratiform rainfall should dissipate, but continued high PWATS near 2 inches and daytime heating will support another period of convective development from mid-afternoon through the early evening hours. This development will occur along a boundary draped in a northwest to southeast orientation across Southeast Louisiana, and have PoP of 60 to 70 percent in place for the Northshore, metro New Orleans, metro Baton Rouge, and the River Parishes. Once again, the the primary threat will be heavy rainfall that could lead to localized flooding issues and possibly some hail and high winds if the core of the convective updrafts are strong enough to punch above 40k feet. The convective activity is still expected to dissipate in the mid to late evening hours, generally between 8 and 10 PM, with the loss of daytime heating.
PG
SHORT TERM
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 214 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
The somewhat active pattern continues into Sunday with the region remaining under a northwesterly flow aloft on the northeast side of a rather strong H5 ridge centered over Mexico. Within this flow (very reminiscent of summer) some rather robust impulses have been sliding through the region and this should continue again today and into the start of the new workweek. Initially, this morning an impulse has helped develop some isolated but rather strong T'storms just west of the Atchafalaya. These storms are elevated in nature given the LCH and LIX 00z RAOBs depicting low level inversions at the surface. Still, a strong wind gust, heavy rain and hail (some could be large) will be possible with this activity as it moves southeast. The best potential at the moment early this morning seems to be along and west of the Mississippi River or more specifically Terrebonne Parish and the near shore gulf waters/Terrebonne Bay.
As this initial short wave continues downstream there may be a bit of a break later this morning. This break will allow conditions to destabilize and allow for additional showers and thunderstorms to develop once again as yet another ripple within the flow moves overhead. CAMs are NOT performing the greatest at the moment so we did do a broad brush with POPs today and tried to get timing down, but at this juncture POPs are based on timing of the individual impulses as well as the diurnal cycle. With cloudiness around, insolation looks to be limited, but a break in showers/convection with the strong sun angle will still provide enough surface heating to destabilize. Since CAMs are struggling, followed the globals lead for both QPF/POPs generally across the board through today. By Monday, we'll need to watch a potential MCS to our northwest, however, guidance isn't very aggressive at least not for our area. The synoptic pattern begins a very subtle change allowing for the more intense mid level shortwave to become negatively tilted and shifts the upper flow to a more zonal flow keeping most of this activity to the north. Still, with very subtle ripples within this flow and again diurnal processes, rain chances are NOT zero, but should be quite a bit lower than today with generally 20/30 POPs across the board. Consequently, temperatures begin to rebound with MaxTs approaching the 90F mark once again. (Frye)
LONG TERM
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 214 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
A bit less active going into the long term as the zonal mid and upper level flow continues across the region. Upper level ridging will slide eastward across more of the central Gulf. With the lower POPs and less cloudiness, temperatures will be increasing into the 90s for most of the CWFA. By Wednesday, a surface front and parent trough begin to slide southward from the Missouri Ozarks and eventually winding up across the mid south. The zonal flow quickly evolves by Wednesday and Thursday back to a northerly flow. This will help bring the front southward toward the northeast Gulf. With the upper trough moving south and eastward, most of the best upper level support will miss our region to the east, but the eastern third of the CWFA will have a shot of showers/convection. As this first frontal boundary moves south and east, surface high pressure develops/centers across the northern Gulf. This will limit winds and overall will suppress rain chances. Again, consequently, strong insolation will help max temps climb into the 90s just about everywhere.
By Friday, a second front will be sliding southward from the Ohio/TN River Valleys. Globals are a bit (or a lot) off with the GFS being the slower of the solutions with the front draped across our area a full 24 hours or more after the ECM. So, needless to say confidence isn't quite high in the timing. But, with the broad- scale trough setting up across the east and the front making it this far south, think rain chances will be there and should gradually increase in time as confidence in when and exactly where the better support will be aloft going into the start of next weekend. (Frye)
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
A thunderstorm is currently in the vicinity of NEW and may impact the terminal over the next hour. Given this threat, have included a TEMPO group from 18z to 19z that includes a mention of gusty winds, thunderstorms, and MVFR ceilings and visibilities. A similar threat exists at all of the other terminals through around 00z as the atmosphere remain moist and unstable, but thunderstorm probabilities are too low to include as a prevailing or TEMPO group. Instead, have included periods generally ranging from 2 to 4 hours of prevailing rain shower activity with vicninity thunderstorms between 19z and 00z at all of the terminals.
Ceilings will range from 2000 to 3000 feet over this period. If a thunderstorm is expected to directly impact a terminal, an amendment with TEMPO group will be added. After 00z, the thunderstorm activity will wane with the loss of daytime heating.
Prevailing MVFR and VFR conditions are expected from 00z through 18z tomorrow at nearly all of the terminals. Only MCB could see a brief period of IFR ceilings and MVFR visibilties develop beneath a weak low level inversion between 10z and 13z tomorrow morning.
PG
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Unfortunately, short fused AMDs may be necessary through this cycle, especially during the day today as timing of convection is still a bit questionable. Made an attempt to use TEMPOs vs VCs to try to hammer down timing with this mornings convection having the best confidence. In the heaviest convection expect brief IFR drops, otherwise VFR outside of convection will continue to be possible. Overnight tonight, convection should decrease with a few lingering -SHRAs around. Cannot rule out CIG/VIS drops, especially for MCB by the end of this cycle. (Frye)
MARINE
Issued at 214 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
The main concerns going into the start of the new workweek and beyond will be the potential for convection across the local waters. In and around the local Gulf Waters and tidal lakes.
Surface winds eventually shift to a more southerly direction and will generally range between light to moderate (some winds up to 15kts not out of the realm of possibility Tue/Wed), but high pressure builds right back across the Gulf, which should help relax surface winds and seas. Again, higher winds and seas can be anticipated in convection. (Frye)
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 68 87 70 89 / 20 50 50 20 BTR 73 91 74 93 / 40 40 30 10 ASD 72 89 74 91 / 30 20 20 10 MSY 75 89 76 91 / 40 30 20 10 GPT 73 87 75 88 / 20 20 20 10 PQL 71 89 72 89 / 20 20 20 10
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 1250 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 947 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Adjusted PoP, weather, and QPF forecasts to account for ongoing convective trends based on the latest radar and satellite data.
A broad area of light to moderate stratiform rainfall with occasional embedded thunderstorms will continue to impact the I-10 corridor between Baton Rouge and New Orleans through the morning hours, and have increased PoP to categorical or over 80 percent for this area. Additional scattered shower and thunderstorm activity will continue to develop through the morning hours over parts of the Northshore. Around mid-day, this initial round of stratiform rainfall should dissipate, but continued high PWATS near 2 inches and daytime heating will support another period of convective development from mid-afternoon through the early evening hours. This development will occur along a boundary draped in a northwest to southeast orientation across Southeast Louisiana, and have PoP of 60 to 70 percent in place for the Northshore, metro New Orleans, metro Baton Rouge, and the River Parishes. Once again, the the primary threat will be heavy rainfall that could lead to localized flooding issues and possibly some hail and high winds if the core of the convective updrafts are strong enough to punch above 40k feet. The convective activity is still expected to dissipate in the mid to late evening hours, generally between 8 and 10 PM, with the loss of daytime heating.
PG
SHORT TERM
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 214 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
The somewhat active pattern continues into Sunday with the region remaining under a northwesterly flow aloft on the northeast side of a rather strong H5 ridge centered over Mexico. Within this flow (very reminiscent of summer) some rather robust impulses have been sliding through the region and this should continue again today and into the start of the new workweek. Initially, this morning an impulse has helped develop some isolated but rather strong T'storms just west of the Atchafalaya. These storms are elevated in nature given the LCH and LIX 00z RAOBs depicting low level inversions at the surface. Still, a strong wind gust, heavy rain and hail (some could be large) will be possible with this activity as it moves southeast. The best potential at the moment early this morning seems to be along and west of the Mississippi River or more specifically Terrebonne Parish and the near shore gulf waters/Terrebonne Bay.
As this initial short wave continues downstream there may be a bit of a break later this morning. This break will allow conditions to destabilize and allow for additional showers and thunderstorms to develop once again as yet another ripple within the flow moves overhead. CAMs are NOT performing the greatest at the moment so we did do a broad brush with POPs today and tried to get timing down, but at this juncture POPs are based on timing of the individual impulses as well as the diurnal cycle. With cloudiness around, insolation looks to be limited, but a break in showers/convection with the strong sun angle will still provide enough surface heating to destabilize. Since CAMs are struggling, followed the globals lead for both QPF/POPs generally across the board through today. By Monday, we'll need to watch a potential MCS to our northwest, however, guidance isn't very aggressive at least not for our area. The synoptic pattern begins a very subtle change allowing for the more intense mid level shortwave to become negatively tilted and shifts the upper flow to a more zonal flow keeping most of this activity to the north. Still, with very subtle ripples within this flow and again diurnal processes, rain chances are NOT zero, but should be quite a bit lower than today with generally 20/30 POPs across the board. Consequently, temperatures begin to rebound with MaxTs approaching the 90F mark once again. (Frye)
LONG TERM
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 214 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
A bit less active going into the long term as the zonal mid and upper level flow continues across the region. Upper level ridging will slide eastward across more of the central Gulf. With the lower POPs and less cloudiness, temperatures will be increasing into the 90s for most of the CWFA. By Wednesday, a surface front and parent trough begin to slide southward from the Missouri Ozarks and eventually winding up across the mid south. The zonal flow quickly evolves by Wednesday and Thursday back to a northerly flow. This will help bring the front southward toward the northeast Gulf. With the upper trough moving south and eastward, most of the best upper level support will miss our region to the east, but the eastern third of the CWFA will have a shot of showers/convection. As this first frontal boundary moves south and east, surface high pressure develops/centers across the northern Gulf. This will limit winds and overall will suppress rain chances. Again, consequently, strong insolation will help max temps climb into the 90s just about everywhere.
By Friday, a second front will be sliding southward from the Ohio/TN River Valleys. Globals are a bit (or a lot) off with the GFS being the slower of the solutions with the front draped across our area a full 24 hours or more after the ECM. So, needless to say confidence isn't quite high in the timing. But, with the broad- scale trough setting up across the east and the front making it this far south, think rain chances will be there and should gradually increase in time as confidence in when and exactly where the better support will be aloft going into the start of next weekend. (Frye)
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
A thunderstorm is currently in the vicinity of NEW and may impact the terminal over the next hour. Given this threat, have included a TEMPO group from 18z to 19z that includes a mention of gusty winds, thunderstorms, and MVFR ceilings and visibilities. A similar threat exists at all of the other terminals through around 00z as the atmosphere remain moist and unstable, but thunderstorm probabilities are too low to include as a prevailing or TEMPO group. Instead, have included periods generally ranging from 2 to 4 hours of prevailing rain shower activity with vicninity thunderstorms between 19z and 00z at all of the terminals.
Ceilings will range from 2000 to 3000 feet over this period. If a thunderstorm is expected to directly impact a terminal, an amendment with TEMPO group will be added. After 00z, the thunderstorm activity will wane with the loss of daytime heating.
Prevailing MVFR and VFR conditions are expected from 00z through 18z tomorrow at nearly all of the terminals. Only MCB could see a brief period of IFR ceilings and MVFR visibilties develop beneath a weak low level inversion between 10z and 13z tomorrow morning.
PG
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Unfortunately, short fused AMDs may be necessary through this cycle, especially during the day today as timing of convection is still a bit questionable. Made an attempt to use TEMPOs vs VCs to try to hammer down timing with this mornings convection having the best confidence. In the heaviest convection expect brief IFR drops, otherwise VFR outside of convection will continue to be possible. Overnight tonight, convection should decrease with a few lingering -SHRAs around. Cannot rule out CIG/VIS drops, especially for MCB by the end of this cycle. (Frye)
MARINE
Issued at 214 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
The main concerns going into the start of the new workweek and beyond will be the potential for convection across the local waters. In and around the local Gulf Waters and tidal lakes.
Surface winds eventually shift to a more southerly direction and will generally range between light to moderate (some winds up to 15kts not out of the realm of possibility Tue/Wed), but high pressure builds right back across the Gulf, which should help relax surface winds and seas. Again, higher winds and seas can be anticipated in convection. (Frye)
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 68 87 70 89 / 20 50 50 20 BTR 73 91 74 93 / 40 40 30 10 ASD 72 89 74 91 / 30 20 20 10 MSY 75 89 76 91 / 40 30 20 10 GPT 73 87 75 88 / 20 20 20 10 PQL 71 89 72 89 / 20 20 20 10
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| WYCM6 - 8747437 - Bay Waveland Yacht Club, MS | 15 mi | 51 min | ESE 7G | 86°F | 81°F | 29.98 | ||
| SHBL1 - 8761305 - Shell Beach, LA | 22 mi | 51 min | E 8G | 78°F | 75°F | 30.01 | ||
| NWCL1 - 8761927 - New Canal, LA | 37 mi | 51 min | E 2.9G | 77°F | 83°F | 30.01 | ||
| CARL1 | 40 mi | 51 min | 79°F | |||||
| PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS | 49 mi | 51 min | 81°F | |||||
| PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS | 49 mi | 51 min | SE 8G | 78°F | 30.00 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KHSA STENNIS INTL,MS | 17 sm | 19 min | SW 07G12 | 1/2 sm | Overcast | Thunderstorm in Vicinity Rain | 75°F | 72°F | 89% | 30.01 |
Long Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:59 AM CDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:57 AM CDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:20 AM CDT 0.87 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:05 PM CDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:56 PM CDT Sunset
Sun -- 09:10 PM CDT 0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:59 AM CDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:57 AM CDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:20 AM CDT 0.87 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:05 PM CDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:56 PM CDT Sunset
Sun -- 09:10 PM CDT 0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Long Point, Lake Borgne, Louisiana, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.3 |
| 1 am |
| 0.3 |
| 2 am |
| 0.4 |
| 3 am |
| 0.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.5 |
| 5 am |
| 0.6 |
| 6 am |
| 0.6 |
| 7 am |
| 0.7 |
| 8 am |
| 0.8 |
| 9 am |
| 0.8 |
| 10 am |
| 0.9 |
| 11 am |
| 0.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0 |
| 9 pm |
| 0 |
| 10 pm |
| 0 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.1 |
Bay St. Louis
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:58 AM CDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:55 AM CDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:13 AM CDT 1.50 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:04 PM CDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:55 PM CDT Sunset
Sun -- 08:49 PM CDT 0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:58 AM CDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:55 AM CDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:13 AM CDT 1.50 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:04 PM CDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:55 PM CDT Sunset
Sun -- 08:49 PM CDT 0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Bay St. Louis, Mississippi, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 0.7 |
| 3 am |
| 0.8 |
| 4 am |
| 0.9 |
| 5 am |
| 1.1 |
| 6 am |
| 1.2 |
| 7 am |
| 1.3 |
| 8 am |
| 1.4 |
| 9 am |
| 1.5 |
| 10 am |
| 1.5 |
| 11 am |
| 1.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 0 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.2 |
New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE