Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cozad, NE
June 2, 2024 6:26 PM CDT (23:26 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:10 AM Sunset 9:11 PM Moonrise 2:34 AM Moonset 4:01 PM |
FXUS63 KGID 022301 AFDGID
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 601 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Severe thunderstorms will likely impacts portions of the area tonight. Winds gusts of 70-80 MPH will be the primary concern, but several hail (1+ inch) and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. The threat is greatest between 8 PM and 3 AM.
- In addition to the severe weather potential, a brief period of potentially torrential rainfall could result in flash flooding, especially for areas that already have very saturated soils.
- Off and on small chances for additional showers and thunderstorms are expected both Tuesday and Wednesday, although Severe Weather does not appear likely over this period.
- After a couple days of prevailing dry weather (Wednesday- Thursday), shower and thunderstorm chances return Friday and Saturday.
- Temperatures through the period will be fairly seasonable with high temperatures forecast to be mostly in the 80s.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 312 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Widespread showers and thunderstorms impacted much of the local area through the early afternoon hours, with the responsible cluster of storms finally weakening over the past couple of hours as it tracked further east. As skies clear, expect temperatures climb in to the lower to mid 80s by late afternoon, allowing instability to build across the local area.
Later this afternoon, expect the upper level disturbance moving across Wyoming to help trigger a line of strong to severe thunderstorms across the high plains that is expected to hold together and eventually transition into a MCS later this evening and into the overnight hours as it crosses the local area.
While initially, there will be a large hail (and an isolated tornado) threat with any discrete cells that form to our west, think by the time these storms reach our western doorstep (between 1-3Z), they will have formed into a line with severe hail still possible (around 1 inch) but straight line winds of 70-80 MPH becoming the greater concern. While there is still some uncertainty on how things will develop, the area remains in an enhanced risk for severe weather which is supported by most meso-scale models which develop a line of severe storms across central Nebraska and north central Kansas - so stay weather aware tonight.
After tonights system rolls through, expect more isolated shower and thunderstorm activity through the daytime hours Monday, before another upper level disturbance brings and uptick in shower and thunderstorm activity late Monday night into Tuesday. While widespread severe weather is not expected with this next system, cannot rule out the possibility of at least a strong thunderstorm late Monday night or Tuesday given the amount of instability and forcing from the passing trough.
Thereafter...confidence is increasing that things will dry out mid-week as high pressure to our west spreads across the plains, with non-eventful northwest flow prevailing both Wednesday and Thursday. Late in the week, however, the ridge is expected to flatten and some additional weak passing disturbances should bring a return to some shower and thunderstorm activity both Friday and Saturday. While uncertainty in severe weather that far out is very low, certainty in severe weather this evening and overnight is on the high side, and again, local residents are encouraged to remain weather aware.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 553 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
VCTS/TSRA will move across the area this evening. Looking at the latest model guidance, expect at least VCTS to impact KEAR/KGRI at 01Z/02Z respectively, with +TSRA shortly afterward. With the strongest storms this evening, there will be the potential for large hail up to golf ball size and damaging winds of 60+ kts.
Expect a brief period of MVFR visibility as storms move over the terminals this evening. Winds will be southerly ahead of the weather system and generally SWrly as the system moves across the terminals, then southerly again behind the storms. VFR conditions will return after the storms depart late tonight and prevail through the end of the TAF period.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...None.
KS...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 601 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Severe thunderstorms will likely impacts portions of the area tonight. Winds gusts of 70-80 MPH will be the primary concern, but several hail (1+ inch) and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. The threat is greatest between 8 PM and 3 AM.
- In addition to the severe weather potential, a brief period of potentially torrential rainfall could result in flash flooding, especially for areas that already have very saturated soils.
- Off and on small chances for additional showers and thunderstorms are expected both Tuesday and Wednesday, although Severe Weather does not appear likely over this period.
- After a couple days of prevailing dry weather (Wednesday- Thursday), shower and thunderstorm chances return Friday and Saturday.
- Temperatures through the period will be fairly seasonable with high temperatures forecast to be mostly in the 80s.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 312 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Widespread showers and thunderstorms impacted much of the local area through the early afternoon hours, with the responsible cluster of storms finally weakening over the past couple of hours as it tracked further east. As skies clear, expect temperatures climb in to the lower to mid 80s by late afternoon, allowing instability to build across the local area.
Later this afternoon, expect the upper level disturbance moving across Wyoming to help trigger a line of strong to severe thunderstorms across the high plains that is expected to hold together and eventually transition into a MCS later this evening and into the overnight hours as it crosses the local area.
While initially, there will be a large hail (and an isolated tornado) threat with any discrete cells that form to our west, think by the time these storms reach our western doorstep (between 1-3Z), they will have formed into a line with severe hail still possible (around 1 inch) but straight line winds of 70-80 MPH becoming the greater concern. While there is still some uncertainty on how things will develop, the area remains in an enhanced risk for severe weather which is supported by most meso-scale models which develop a line of severe storms across central Nebraska and north central Kansas - so stay weather aware tonight.
After tonights system rolls through, expect more isolated shower and thunderstorm activity through the daytime hours Monday, before another upper level disturbance brings and uptick in shower and thunderstorm activity late Monday night into Tuesday. While widespread severe weather is not expected with this next system, cannot rule out the possibility of at least a strong thunderstorm late Monday night or Tuesday given the amount of instability and forcing from the passing trough.
Thereafter...confidence is increasing that things will dry out mid-week as high pressure to our west spreads across the plains, with non-eventful northwest flow prevailing both Wednesday and Thursday. Late in the week, however, the ridge is expected to flatten and some additional weak passing disturbances should bring a return to some shower and thunderstorm activity both Friday and Saturday. While uncertainty in severe weather that far out is very low, certainty in severe weather this evening and overnight is on the high side, and again, local residents are encouraged to remain weather aware.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 553 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
VCTS/TSRA will move across the area this evening. Looking at the latest model guidance, expect at least VCTS to impact KEAR/KGRI at 01Z/02Z respectively, with +TSRA shortly afterward. With the strongest storms this evening, there will be the potential for large hail up to golf ball size and damaging winds of 60+ kts.
Expect a brief period of MVFR visibility as storms move over the terminals this evening. Winds will be southerly ahead of the weather system and generally SWrly as the system moves across the terminals, then southerly again behind the storms. VFR conditions will return after the storms depart late tonight and prevail through the end of the TAF period.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...None.
KS...None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KLXN JIM KELLY FIELD,NE | 12 sm | 11 min | SSE 16 | 10 sm | Clear | 79°F | 64°F | 61% | 29.71 |
Grand Island, NE,
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