Sunrise 5:53 AM   Sunset 8:18 PM Moonrise 2:04 AM   Moonset 3:17 PM

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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 603 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 3 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Mon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and E 1 ft at 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers. Mon night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 1 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of tstms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Tue - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 8 seconds and sw 1 ft at 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy after midnight. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers. Thu - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Thu night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers. Fri - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Fri night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 603 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure remains off the coast through midweek. A backdoor front will moves into the area on Tuesday and stall through Wednesday morning. High pressure then rebuilds offshore later Wednesday with moist southerly flow strengthening through late week ahead of a potent frontal system, which will result in generally unsettled conditions Wednesday and Thursday.

FXUS62 KMHX 022145 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 545 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure remains off the coast through midweek. A backdoor front will move into the area on Tuesday and stall through Wednesday morning. High pressure then rebuilds offshore later Wednesday with moist southerly flow strengthening through late week ahead of a potent frontal system, which will result in generally unsettled conditions Wednesday and Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
As of 545 PM Sun...High pressure offshore will continue to extend west into eastern NC tonight and Mon resulting mostly dry and benign conditions tonight. Slow moistening of the atms has commenced with broad swrly flow inc TD's into the 50s to low 60s acrs the FA. Sct strato cu will cont through the night, with sct/bkn mid and high clouds advecting in from the west. Weak wave may bring some iso showers or sprinkles late tonight and esp towards daybreak for wrn zones mainly west of Highway 17, though forcing is quite weak and pops no higher than 20-30% late. Isolated showers forming over the gulfstream after midnight could move into coastal areas between Cape Lookout and Cape Hatteras but the bulk of this activity should remain offshore. Much warmer tonight with lows in the 60s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/
As of 3 PM Sun...Aforementioned mid level wave and srly flow will bring small shower chances to the area, though 02/12Z cams have backed off on coverage of showers, and the latest HRRR has reflected this. Have no higher than 30% advertised for pops, with the potential for some iso thunder with some weak instability (CAPE around 1k J/KG) by afternoon. Temps will be warm and humid, with many areas in the interior reaching the mid 80s, and dewpoints higher than compared to today, with readings in the 60s most areas, even inland.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 330 AM Sun...Conditions become more unsettled Monday as a weak impulse moves overhead. A backdoor cold front moves into Eastern NC Tuesday morning and stalls through Wednesday morning, and provides a focus for scattered shower and thunderstorm development. High pressure rebuilds offshore later Wednesday, and increasing southerly flow will bring a surge of moisture into the area through late week with more unsettled conditions likely. A strong cold front looks to move through the area sometime next weekend.

Tuesday...A backdoor cold front will move into the area Tuesday morning, but now looks to be weaker, and is expected to stall somewhere across Eastern NC. This development brings the potential for the front to focus afternoon shower and thunderstorm development, and have the highest chances for precip (35-45%) inland Tuesday afternoon.

Highs Tuesday will be warmer than recent days but still slightly below normal and in the low to mid 80s.
Thurs Wednesday through Saturday...The stalled frontal boundary will break down early Wednesday as high pressure rebuilds off the SE coast, and this will allow rich moisture (PWATs 1.75-2") to advect in from the west Wednesday through Friday ahead of a potent upper level trough and strong cold front.

Increasingly unsettled conditions (40-55% +) are likely with a diurnal max in coverage each afternoon. An increase in heat and humidity is also likely as highs climb into the upper 80s to low 90s each afternoon, and it will feel like 95-100 degrees out when factoring the humidity.

Stark timing differences with the front among model guidance, as well as differences with the eventual evolution of the upper level trough casts some doubt on rain chances Friday, but most guidance has drier conditions moving in for next weekend.

AVIATION /22Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Mon/...
As of 545 PM Sun... VFR conditions with light winds are forecast to prevail across all terminals through the pd while high pressure remains centered just off the coast into Mon. Sct strato cu around 5k ft will prevail, with sct/bkn mid and high clouds moving in. Could see an iso shower esp for wrn taf sites towards morning with a slightly better chance Mon afternoon, but covg is questionable so have left out mention in the fcst for now. Winds light srly through the pd.

LONG TERM /Monday night through Friday/...
As of 330 AM Sun...Unsettled conditions will be the theme this week, with best chances for rain and thunderstorms coming Wednesday and Thursday. This could bring some periods of sub- VFR conditions to the terminals at times.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /Through Mon/...
As of 545 PM Sun...No changes to previous thinking. Benign boating conditions persist through the period as high pressure becomes centered off the Southeast Coast. Light winds generally 5-15 kt through the period, with the strongest winds during the late afternoon/early evening differential heating max. Seas generally 1-2 ft through the period with a primary periodicity of around 5 seconds.

LONG TERM /Mon night through Friday/...
As of 330 AM Sun...Good boating conditions expected through Wednesday with light winds but some unsettled conditions possible. Then the pressure gradient will tighten Thursday with low end Small Craft conditions possible.

Winds will be SSW at 10-15 kts Monday, becoming weaker overnight into Tuesday morning. A backdoor front will move through a portion of the waters from the north Tuesday morning before stalling, with flow out of the NE at 5-10 kts to its north and SW winds at 5-10 kts to its south. This front will continue to bifurcate the coastal waters through Wednesday morning until high pressure rebuilds offshore and winds become SSW at 10-15 kts Wednesday afternoon. Winds then continue to strengthen Wednesday night, and then climb to SW 20-25 kts Thursday.

Seas will be mostly 2-3 ft through Wednesday, and then increase to 4-6 ft Thursday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Coral Bay
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Sun -- 06:06 AM EDT     1.55 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
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Morehead City, NC,