Sunrise 6:13 AM   Sunset 8:14 PM Moonrise 2:17 AM   Moonset 3:23 PM

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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 345 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms early this evening. Monday - South winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. Monday night - South winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. Tuesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Lake waters choppy. Tuesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Wednesday - South winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. Thursday - South winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Thursday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. Friday - Southwest winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Friday night - South winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ400 345 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis -
weak high pressure will ridge across the northern gulf of mexico and provide mainly light onshore flow into this evening, while scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms will also linger before diminishing in coverage with Sunset. High pressure ridging across the northern gulf and a series of low pressure systems over the plains will allow for modest southerly winds during next week - .and small craft should exercise caution if boating in these conditions. Winds and seas will relax by late in the new week as high pressure again becomes the dominant feature over the western gulf.

FXUS64 KLCH 022030 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 330 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Mid-afternoon sfc analysis shows high pressure centered off the Carolina coast remaining in control with a srly low-level flow generally in place. Water vapor imagery shows weak troffing trying to take over the wrn Gulf region, with the ridge axis currently extending from cntl Mexico nnewd to the cntl Plains. Meanwhile, we continue to see shortwave activity rounding the ridge...one impulse is noted departing the region while another can be seen upstream entering the Red River Valley. Earlier convection which was helped in part by the initial vort has largely moved out of the area, although additional convection is now developing with heating along with resultant mesoscale/outflow boundaries.
Otherwise, sfc obs/satellite imagery show a variably cloudy and seasonably warm day ongoing across the area.

With a somewhat diurnal pattern now in place, expecting this afternoon's convection to again linger into the evening hours before sunset/loss of heating leads to a gradual dissipation. The main fly in the ointment is a developing MCS churned out by the upstream shortwave currently impacting the Texoma region. None of the guidance is super excited by the idea of this activity holding together to push into the area later this evening...but with the CAMs not performing very well of recent, will certainly have to watch how this upstream feature plays out. Meanwhile, with such abundant boundary layer moisture available, along with relaxing winds, patchy fog development looks possible late tonight, mainly I-10 nwd where lighter winds are anticipated.

Today's forecast for Monday show a little better rain chances than previous days as the shortwave responsible for the upstream convection will temporarily shunt ridge development over the wrn Gulf region. And combined with good Gulf moisture remaining in place (forecast soundings indicating mean RH values to 60 percent and PWAT values exceeding 1.7 inches), widely scattered convection is expected again with heating during the afternoon hours (POPs look a little higher over the Atchafalaya Basin where capping is expected to be least). Whatever convection develops should again diminish with sunset.

Tuesday is looking like a bit of a repeat, although with a drier wrly mid-level flow now in place, rain chances look a little slimmer despite the likely approach of yet another shortwave aloft.

25

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

A repetitive, seasonal forecast looks to persist throughout the long term as the synoptic pattern remains fairly stagnant. On Wednesday, a deepening trough over the northern Plains/Canada will slide east creating a large scale weakness across the E CONUS, while to our west, ridging will be gradually building over the Rockies/Four Corners region. From Thurs into Sat the trough will dive towards New England while ridging will build east across TX. This will result in mainly light NW flow aloft over the forecast area throughout the long term period. At the surface, weak high pressure to our east will result in a light onshore flow throughout most of the period.
Only exception will be late Fri when a weak boundary looks to move into the area resulting in a brief period of variable to westerly flow.

With ridging to our west and little in the way of forcing aloft, daily shower and thunderstorm activity will be minimal throughout the long term, and any convection will be largely driven by daytime heating. NBM paints 15-20% POPs for each afternoon through the end of the weekend to account for these typical diurnally driven thunderstorms. Temperature wise, daytime highs should warm into the lower 90s each day, while overnight lows will fall into the low to mid 70s, which is near seasonal norms. In addition, apparent temps/heat indices should peak in the upper 90s to lower 100s each day.

17

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Expecting VFR conditions to eventually develop across the entire forecast area with ceilings rising with daytime heating. Also expecting convection to become a little more widespread across the whole area, although did temper down expectations to just PROB30 mentions at KAEX/KBPT. Otherwise, a general repeat of past days with with ceilings lowering again late evening/overnight to MVFR levels before recovering after sunrise on Monday.

25

MARINE
Issued at 330 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Onshore flow is expected to begin gradually increasing tonight, with caution conditions forecasted by Monday night as the gradient tightens thanks to lower pressures over the srn Plains. These elevated winds are progged to linger into mid-week before settling.

25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 70 89 73 91 / 30 30 20 20 LCH 75 88 77 88 / 30 20 10 10 LFT 76 90 77 91 / 40 40 20 20 BPT 76 90 77 91 / 10 10 10 10

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.

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Mesquite Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:20 AM CDT     1.18 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:17 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:15 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:00 AM CDT     0.88 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:31 PM CDT     1.17 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:22 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:32 PM CDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:12 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Mesquite Point, Sabine Pass, Texas, Tide feet

Sabine Pass
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:39 AM CDT     1.62 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:17 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:15 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:01 AM CDT     1.00 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:32 PM CDT     1.50 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:22 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:23 PM CDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:12 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Sabine Pass, North, Texas, Tide feet

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