Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Tyndall AFB, FL
June 2, 2024 1:35 AM CDT (06:35 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:39 AM Sunset 7:41 PM Moonrise 2:44 AM Moonset 3:49 PM |
GMZ750 Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 809 Pm Cdt Sat Jun 1 2024
Overnight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: southeast 4 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday - Southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Monday night - South winds around 5 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters smooth.
Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet after midnight. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday - West winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 909 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis -
through Sunday morning, strong surface high pressure east of the carolinas will support moderate to fresh southeast breezes. By Sunday afternoon, a small bubble of high pressure will develop over the northeast gulf and persist through Thursday morning, supporting only light and gentle breezes. A weak cold front will enter northern mississippi and alabama on Thursday. Look for a freshening westerly breeze on Thursday afternoon.
through Sunday morning, strong surface high pressure east of the carolinas will support moderate to fresh southeast breezes. By Sunday afternoon, a small bubble of high pressure will develop over the northeast gulf and persist through Thursday morning, supporting only light and gentle breezes. A weak cold front will enter northern mississippi and alabama on Thursday. Look for a freshening westerly breeze on Thursday afternoon.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 020534 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 134 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 904 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Convection has mostly diminished this evening. The focus for redevelopment early Sunday morning will be across coastal sections of Apalachee Bay and offshore where several HRRR runs have indicated that a band of storms could develop. Elsewhere, only an isolated shower or storm is expected for the remainder of tonight with activity picking up again during the day on Sunday.
NEAR TERM
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
A weaker mid and upper level shortwave trough looks to pass through the deep south on Sunday, which will provide the main focus for shower and thunderstorm development across the region. Overall the highest rain chances are around 50-70% across the Tri-state area with deep tropical moisture remaining in place. Thunderstorm development looks to be a more traditional June summer convective day, with storm initiation expected later in the afternoon and evening as the day heats up. PWATs will generally be in the 1.6-1.8 inch range, which is enough to produce extremely efficient rainfall rates across the region. Given these values, there will be a threat for localized flash flooding with thunderstorms that become quasi- stationary over the same areas for extended periods of time. Along with the threat for localized flash flooding, a few storms could produce strong gusty winds with more vigorous downbursts that develop. This will partially be aided by DCAPE values in the 800- 1000 J/Kg range tomorrow. Thunderstorms should quickly diminish within 1-2 hours of sunset Sunday evening.
Look for low temperatures in the morning look to generally fall into the upper 60s areawide. High temperatures look to climb into the mid to upper 80s.
SHORT TERM
(Sunday night through Monday night)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
The broad upper trough that will move across the Southeast States on Sunday will start to exit off to the east on Sunday night. Weak upper ridging will build in from the west on Monday and Monday night. Our 500 mb flow will transition from cyclonic to anti- cyclonic, and weak surface high pressure will develop and drop anchor over the northeast Gulf. Against this backdrop, modest mid- level drying will reduce convective coverage on Monday, compared with Sunday.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
A drier pattern with isolated afternoon thunderstorms will prevail. The upper pattern will amplify, with a strong upper high developing over the Southern U.S. Rockies and Southern High Plains, resulting in downstream NW flow aloft across the Tri-State area. Meanwhile, a bubble of weak surface high pressure will persist over the northeast Gulf into Thursday. Surface dewpoints will mainly be in the 60s, except low 70s at the coast. The drier mid-level air mass will amount to Precipitable Water (PW) values bouncing around in the marginal 1.4 to 1.6 inch range.
From late Thursday through Saturday, the northwest flow aloft will try to push a cold front into the Southeast States. It looks like the tail end of the front could brush by the forecast area. The forecast acknowledges this with a modest increase to scattered coverage of thunderstorms. Ensemble means only increase PW values a little in advance of the front, so scattered coverage should do it for now.
After the front brushes by, a drier air mass should arrive.
Surface dewpoints should more squarely fall into the 60s, with 50s possible over AL/GA. Though ensemble plumes show a large range of possible PW values next weekend, the ensemble mean dries into the 1.0 to 1.2 inch range. This would lead to convective shutdown next weekend.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 131 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
VFR to MVFR will prevail overnight with generally VFR during the Sunday outside of convection. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected to develop late morning into the afternoon hours across a majority of the area and have VCTS at all sites beginning at 18Z through 01Z. Winds will be southeasterly during the day becoming variable to calm after sunset.
MARINE
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Earlier today, Buoy 42036 observed 7-foot wave heights with a southeasterly wave direction. The buoy is down to observing 5-foot wave heights, but those higher waves will take into this evening to traverse the northeast Gulf waters. In general, winds and seas will be on a decreasing trend from now through Sunday afternoon, but there will take until Monday for the churned-up Gulf waters to fully respond to the improving weather.
From CWF synopsis...Through Sunday morning, strong surface high pressure east of the Carolinas will support moderate to fresh southeast breezes. By Sunday afternoon, a small bubble of high pressure will develop over the northeast Gulf and persist through Thursday morning, supporting only light and gentle breezes. The small high pressure center will move south of the waters on Thursday, and a weak cold front will enter northern Mississippi and Alabama. So look for a freshening westerly breeze on Thursday afternoon.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Dispersions look to lower across the region the next couple of days, with fair to good afternoon values forecast. This is partially due to slightly lower mixing heights expected both Sunday and Monday. Transport winds look to remain predominantly southerly to southeasterly becoming southwesterly by Monday evening. Overall there are no fire weather concerns the next couple of days; however, there is a 60-80 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms across the region on Sunday. These chances look to lower on Monday and Tuesday as upper level ridging settles into the region.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Looking ahead to Sunday, a more typical summerlike scattering of afternoon thunderstorms is expected, yielding large areas with no rain, dotted with pockets that get a quick few inches of rain.
These small pockets of heavy rain will be vulnerable to short- duration runoff issues, especially in urban areas and poor drainage areas. However, this kind of rainfall pattern will not lead to river flooding.
Beyond Sunday, the chances for heavy rainfall greatly diminish, so no new flooding is expected into next weekend.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 68 91 70 93 / 20 40 10 10 Panama City 72 87 73 88 / 20 20 10 10 Dothan 68 88 69 91 / 20 20 10 10 Albany 67 89 69 91 / 30 30 10 10 Valdosta 67 90 69 92 / 30 40 10 10 Cross City 67 91 68 92 / 20 40 10 20 Apalachicola 73 85 74 86 / 20 20 10 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ this morning for FLZ108-112-114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 134 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 904 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Convection has mostly diminished this evening. The focus for redevelopment early Sunday morning will be across coastal sections of Apalachee Bay and offshore where several HRRR runs have indicated that a band of storms could develop. Elsewhere, only an isolated shower or storm is expected for the remainder of tonight with activity picking up again during the day on Sunday.
NEAR TERM
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
A weaker mid and upper level shortwave trough looks to pass through the deep south on Sunday, which will provide the main focus for shower and thunderstorm development across the region. Overall the highest rain chances are around 50-70% across the Tri-state area with deep tropical moisture remaining in place. Thunderstorm development looks to be a more traditional June summer convective day, with storm initiation expected later in the afternoon and evening as the day heats up. PWATs will generally be in the 1.6-1.8 inch range, which is enough to produce extremely efficient rainfall rates across the region. Given these values, there will be a threat for localized flash flooding with thunderstorms that become quasi- stationary over the same areas for extended periods of time. Along with the threat for localized flash flooding, a few storms could produce strong gusty winds with more vigorous downbursts that develop. This will partially be aided by DCAPE values in the 800- 1000 J/Kg range tomorrow. Thunderstorms should quickly diminish within 1-2 hours of sunset Sunday evening.
Look for low temperatures in the morning look to generally fall into the upper 60s areawide. High temperatures look to climb into the mid to upper 80s.
SHORT TERM
(Sunday night through Monday night)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
The broad upper trough that will move across the Southeast States on Sunday will start to exit off to the east on Sunday night. Weak upper ridging will build in from the west on Monday and Monday night. Our 500 mb flow will transition from cyclonic to anti- cyclonic, and weak surface high pressure will develop and drop anchor over the northeast Gulf. Against this backdrop, modest mid- level drying will reduce convective coverage on Monday, compared with Sunday.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
A drier pattern with isolated afternoon thunderstorms will prevail. The upper pattern will amplify, with a strong upper high developing over the Southern U.S. Rockies and Southern High Plains, resulting in downstream NW flow aloft across the Tri-State area. Meanwhile, a bubble of weak surface high pressure will persist over the northeast Gulf into Thursday. Surface dewpoints will mainly be in the 60s, except low 70s at the coast. The drier mid-level air mass will amount to Precipitable Water (PW) values bouncing around in the marginal 1.4 to 1.6 inch range.
From late Thursday through Saturday, the northwest flow aloft will try to push a cold front into the Southeast States. It looks like the tail end of the front could brush by the forecast area. The forecast acknowledges this with a modest increase to scattered coverage of thunderstorms. Ensemble means only increase PW values a little in advance of the front, so scattered coverage should do it for now.
After the front brushes by, a drier air mass should arrive.
Surface dewpoints should more squarely fall into the 60s, with 50s possible over AL/GA. Though ensemble plumes show a large range of possible PW values next weekend, the ensemble mean dries into the 1.0 to 1.2 inch range. This would lead to convective shutdown next weekend.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 131 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
VFR to MVFR will prevail overnight with generally VFR during the Sunday outside of convection. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected to develop late morning into the afternoon hours across a majority of the area and have VCTS at all sites beginning at 18Z through 01Z. Winds will be southeasterly during the day becoming variable to calm after sunset.
MARINE
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Earlier today, Buoy 42036 observed 7-foot wave heights with a southeasterly wave direction. The buoy is down to observing 5-foot wave heights, but those higher waves will take into this evening to traverse the northeast Gulf waters. In general, winds and seas will be on a decreasing trend from now through Sunday afternoon, but there will take until Monday for the churned-up Gulf waters to fully respond to the improving weather.
From CWF synopsis...Through Sunday morning, strong surface high pressure east of the Carolinas will support moderate to fresh southeast breezes. By Sunday afternoon, a small bubble of high pressure will develop over the northeast Gulf and persist through Thursday morning, supporting only light and gentle breezes. The small high pressure center will move south of the waters on Thursday, and a weak cold front will enter northern Mississippi and Alabama. So look for a freshening westerly breeze on Thursday afternoon.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Dispersions look to lower across the region the next couple of days, with fair to good afternoon values forecast. This is partially due to slightly lower mixing heights expected both Sunday and Monday. Transport winds look to remain predominantly southerly to southeasterly becoming southwesterly by Monday evening. Overall there are no fire weather concerns the next couple of days; however, there is a 60-80 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms across the region on Sunday. These chances look to lower on Monday and Tuesday as upper level ridging settles into the region.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Looking ahead to Sunday, a more typical summerlike scattering of afternoon thunderstorms is expected, yielding large areas with no rain, dotted with pockets that get a quick few inches of rain.
These small pockets of heavy rain will be vulnerable to short- duration runoff issues, especially in urban areas and poor drainage areas. However, this kind of rainfall pattern will not lead to river flooding.
Beyond Sunday, the chances for heavy rainfall greatly diminish, so no new flooding is expected into next weekend.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 68 91 70 93 / 20 40 10 10 Panama City 72 87 73 88 / 20 20 10 10 Dothan 68 88 69 91 / 20 20 10 10 Albany 67 89 69 91 / 30 30 10 10 Valdosta 67 90 69 92 / 30 40 10 10 Cross City 67 91 68 92 / 20 40 10 20 Apalachicola 73 85 74 86 / 20 20 10 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ this morning for FLZ108-112-114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL | 11 mi | 48 min | ENE 7G | 81°F | ||||
| PCBF1 | 18 mi | 48 min | E 7G | 72°F | 80°F | 30.03 | ||
| APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL | 42 mi | 48 min | NNE 2.9G | 73°F | 79°F | 30.05 | ||
| APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL | 46 mi | 96 min | ESE 1.9 | 72°F | 30.09 | 71°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPAM TYNDALL AFB,FL | 9 sm | 1.7 hrs | E 04 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 72°F | 68°F | 88% | 30.03 |
Channel entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:12 AM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 05:41 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 08:11 AM CDT 0.84 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:43 PM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:39 PM CDT 0.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:40 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:12 AM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 05:41 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 08:11 AM CDT 0.84 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:43 PM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:39 PM CDT 0.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:40 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Channel entrance, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.5 |
| 3 am |
| 0.6 |
| 4 am |
| 0.7 |
| 5 am |
| 0.7 |
| 6 am |
| 0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 0.8 |
| 8 am |
| 0.8 |
| 9 am |
| 0.8 |
| 10 am |
| 0.8 |
| 11 am |
| 0.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.5 |
Parker
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:54 AM CDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:12 AM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 05:41 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:37 AM CDT 1.01 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:42 PM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 07:39 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:03 PM CDT 0.46 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:54 AM CDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:12 AM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 05:41 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:37 AM CDT 1.01 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:42 PM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 07:39 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:03 PM CDT 0.46 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Parker, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.6 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 0.5 |
| 3 am |
| 0.6 |
| 4 am |
| 0.6 |
| 5 am |
| 0.7 |
| 6 am |
| 0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 0.9 |
| 8 am |
| 1 |
| 9 am |
| 1 |
| 10 am |
| 1 |
| 11 am |
| 1 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.5 |
Northwest Florida,
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