Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 8:26 PM Moonrise 2:37 PM   Moonset 1:38 AM

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GMZ836 Charlotte Harbor And Pine Island Sound- 1014 Am Edt Sun Jun 16 2024
Rest of today - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms this afternoon. Tonight - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms. Monday - East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Monday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Tuesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening. Wednesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms. Wednesday night - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms. Thursday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered Thunderstorms. Scattered showers in the morning, then numerous showers in the afternoon.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 1014 Am Edt Sun Jun 16 2024
Synopsis - East to southeast winds today will become more easterly by Monday as the ridge of high pressure settles in north of florida. Winds will increase to exercise caution to advisory levels at times by late Monday and remain there through the rest of the week. Main hazard throughout the forecast period will be isolated to scattered Thunderstorms which may cause locally gusty winds and rough seas.

FXUS62 KTBW 161318 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 918 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

DISCUSSION
Issued at 918 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Easterly flow will be establishing today as stronger high pressure builds into the area. Flow will still be weak enough to allow for sea breeze development near the coast. Plenty of moisture also still available for scattered to numerous afternoon showers and storms pushing toward the coast in the evening. A little drier air moves over the area for the first half of the week, lowering rain chances more into the 30-40 percent range each afternoon, then some deeper moisture returns for the end of the week. Will be continuing to monitor the area of low pressure off the east FL coast, currently with a 30 percent chance of development over the next 7 days. Current forecast is on track and have no updates planned.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 918 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Light easterly flow in place this morning will turn onshore at the coastal terminals this afternoon. Scattered to numerous showers and storms will develop inland around 18Z and push towards the coast by 21Z. Convection should be offshore and dissipating by 03Z, with winds returning to the ENE and becoming light again. VFR conditions prevail, but MVFR to IFR possible in storms.

MARINE
Issued at 918 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Flow is transitioning to a deeper easterly direction today as stronger high pressure builds into the area. Flow will be light enough today to allow for an afternoon sea breeze near the coast.
Morning showers will be dissipating over the next hour or so, then later afternoon and evening storms will be possible as they move offshore from the diurnal convection. This pattern will continue through mid-week, with some evening surges possible bringing winds up near SCEC levels for a few hours each night. Will be continuing to monitor the area off of the FL east coast for the end of the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 93 77 93 77 / 60 40 20 10 FMY 92 76 92 77 / 40 30 30 10 GIF 94 75 91 75 / 60 30 20 10 SRQ 94 75 94 76 / 50 40 30 10 BKV 94 72 94 72 / 60 40 20 0 SPG 93 80 94 80 / 60 40 30 10

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 3

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Shell Point
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Sun -- 12:23 AM EDT     1.37 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:32 AM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:13 PM EDT     1.85 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Shell Point, Peace River, Florida, Tide feet

Punta Gorda
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Sun -- 02:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:29 AM EDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:27 AM EDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:08 PM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Punta Gorda, Charlotte Harbor, Florida (2), Tide feet

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