Sunrise 4:56 AM   Sunset 8:15 PM Moonrise 12:57 AM   Moonset 10:47 AM

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ANZ151 Penobscot Bay- 953 Pm Edt Tue May 28 2024
Rest of tonight - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 7 seconds. Wed - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 7 seconds.Wed night - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 8 seconds. Thu - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 8 seconds, becoming S 1 foot at 7 seconds. A chance of showers in the morning. Thu night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 7 seconds, becoming S 1 foot at 7 seconds. Fri - NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: se 1 foot at 7 seconds. Fri night - NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.Sat - N winds around 5 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Sat night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Sun - NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.

ANZ100 953 Pm Edt Tue May 28 2024
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm a weak cold front will pass across the waters tonight bringing drier air to the area that will end any remaining fog showers could be possible on Wednesday night into Thursday before high pressure moves over the gulf of maine through the weekend. Northerly flow is expected with conditions expected to remain below small craft advisory.

FXUS61 KGYX 290150 AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 950 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front exits to the southeast tonight with a few showers possible. An upper level disturbance slowly crosses the region Wednesday and Thursday bringing partly sunny skies. High pressure crosses the region this weekend and builds to the south early next week. This will provide dry and warmer conditions.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
950 PM Update...Have made minor changes to T/Tds to align with observed trends.

646 PM...Minor update to reflect observational trends. Trough axis moving east across Upstate NY will continue the chance for isolated showers across the north, mainly Coos County.
Otherwise, drier air moving into the area will lead to diminishing shower chances after sunset.

Previously...

Surface cold front is currently pushing the CAPE rich airmass to our east with only one area of storms being triggered on this boundary. This storm will quickly move off to the east into Penobscot County. Instability showers with an upper level trough are also moving into NH but instability is mostly limited with much drier low level air. Expect the upper level shortwave to move across the area by midnight allowing for the chance for inland showers through most of the night but will be isolated to scattered in coverage. Most areas will experience a pleasant and dry evening though.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/
Elongated 500mb trough axis will be over New England tomorrow bringing with it cooler temperatures as a Canadian airmass pushes into the region. This will bring a nice day tomorrow with highs mostly in the low 70s with a relatively dry airmass in place. It will be mostly sunny south of the mountains with a light northerly breeze. Clouds will be on the increase across southern areas late afternoon into the night as a weak vort max pivots north ward in the mid-level flow across Southern New England. A few showers could be possible by the overnight hours across southern areas of the CWA Overall QPF amounts will be light.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
High wave number pattern continues across the N Hemisphere at 500 mb, but flow becomes a little less amplified, and this shifts the trough and closed lows poleward, and also weaken them a bit. Although we start the period in a trough, this will shift E and weaken allowing for more zonal flow at 500 mb, and possible 500 mb ridging early next week. To sum up, we are looking at mainly dry period, with a gradual warming trend.

Thu morning will see weak sfc low tracking ENE out of S New England, through the downstream side of 500 mb trough. It looks like a remnant of convection from the previous day, so confidence is not high, but chance POPs in srn NH and along the ME coast seem reasonable at this time, given that this feature has been in this vicinity for several models runs. To the N, Thursday looks partly to mostly sunny and seasonable cool with highs in the mid 60s, while in the S look for highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. Thu night will be the last chilly night for awhile, as sfc high slowly builds in. It’ll be mainly clear with lows around 40 in the mtns, coolest in the sheltered valleys, to the mid to upper 40s in the S.

Friday through Monday look mainly dry, and generally sunny as sfc high pressure gradually builds over the CWA, and mid level flow turns SW allowing warmer air to move in. Highs on Friday of the mid 60s to low 70s, will increase some each day reaching to the mid 70s N to low 80s S by Monday. Overnight lows will mostly be around 50 to start the weekend, but closer to the mid to upper 50s by Monday. One possible complication maybe a weakening convective system moving in from the W Sunday morning, but still lots of uncertainty at this point.

AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Short Term...Any remaining IFR conditions due to the marine layer on the mid-coast will push off to the east by the evening as the surface cold pushes the marine layer out of the area. A few showers are possible in the mountains and CT River Valley but most areas will remain dry. The one area of thunderstorms over the Kennebec River valley will depart the area quickly this afternoon. Expect VFR conditions tonight through tomorrow as fog isn't expected to develop tonight. Quiet weather except for a few pop-up showers by late afternoon across Southern NH but not expected to impact aviation operations.

Long Term...Mainly VFR expected Thu through Mon. Could see some brief MVFR in SHRA Thu morning at coastal terminals.

MARINE
Short Term...Small craft advisory conditions will end this afternoon as seas drop below 5 feet. Flow becomes off shore tonight as winds switch to the NW behind the surface cold front ending foggy conditions over the waters. Seas will subside tomorrow and continue to slowly subside tomorrow into Wednesday night.

Long Term...High pressure settles over New England from Thu night into early next week, and winds/seas expected to remain below SCA levels during that time.

GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...None.

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Camden
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Tue -- 12:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:36 AM EDT     10.58 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:09 AM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:28 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:25 PM EDT     9.21 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:21 PM EDT     1.28 feet Low Tide
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Camden, Penobscot River, Maine, Tide feet

Rockland
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Tue -- 12:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:40 AM EDT     10.78 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:11 AM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:29 PM EDT     9.38 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:23 PM EDT     1.30 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Rockland, Penobscot River, Maine (2), Tide feet

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