Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Galway, NY
June 2, 2024 7:54 PM EDT (23:54 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:15 AM Sunset 8:30 PM Moonrise 2:46 AM Moonset 4:15 PM |
FXUS61 KALY 022319 AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 719 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
A weak disturbance moving over the region tonight will increase clouds and bring some isolated showers or sprinkles. High pressure builds back in from the northwest to open the week with mainly dry weather and above normal early June temperatures.
Humidity levels will slightly increase on Tuesday with an isolated shower or thunderstorm over the higher terrain, as a much stronger system approaches from the west for late Wednesday through Thursday with widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
UPDATE...As of 715 PM EDT, some light showers/sprinkles were ongoing across portions of the SW Adirondacks, extending into central NYS. These showers were located ahead of a weakening shortwave approaching from western NY. There has been a greater concentration of showers across portions of south central NYS and tracking east/southeast.
Given slightly greater coverage on radar and also some ground truth obs indicating light rain has been reaching the surface, we have expanded slight chance/low chance PoPs for isolated/scattered showers/sprinkles through this evening for areas mainly west of the Hudson River, with best chances across the Mohawk Valley, SW Adirondacks, eastern Catskills/Schoharie County. However, can not rule out some sprinkles/light showers reaching portions of the Capital/Saratoga and Lake George region at times this evening.
Showers/sprinkles should shift south of the region after midnight, however mid level clouds may persist through daybreak, especially south of I-90.
Other than some expansion of PoPs eastward, little if any additional changes to ongoing forecast at this time.
[PREVIOUS 358 PM EDT]
As of 358 PM EDT
The mid and upper level ridge axis near the forecast area over New England weakens, as a mid level disturbance approaches. The weak warm front associated with sfc low moving across the eastern Great Lakes Region has produced a few light showers upstream over west-central NY. Most of the pcpn continues to dry up moving east. A few light showers or sprinkles may reach the Adirondacks, western Mohawk Valley and the eastern Catskills. We kept some slight chance PoPs there. The low-level moisture profiles remain very dry on model soundings.
Mid and high clouds will be abundant and it should be a milder night than the previous few, as the clouds should prevent ideal radiative coolings conditions. Lows were favored close to a METMOS/NBM blend with upper 50s to lower 60s in the major valleys and 50s mainly over the higher terrain.
SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Tomorrow, expect the mid and upper level flow to favor ridging to return over Ontario, the Great Lakes Region and the Midwest with a sfc anticyclone building in from southeast Canada. Light north to northwest winds will continue to funnel dry air over the region with dewpoints in the mid 40s to mid 50s or so.
Humidity levels remain comfortable. H850 temps will be +13C to +14C based on the latest GFS. Expect partly to mostly sunny skies. An isolated shower or thunderstorm may pop up over the southeast Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, southern Taconics and NW CT late in the afternoon. Max temps will run 5-10 degrees above normal with a blend of the guidance producing lower to mid 80s below 1000 ft in elevations and 70s to near 80F readings over the higher terrain.
Mon night the skies will become mostly clear with light winds as the sfc high moves over eastern NY and New England. Some radiational cooling will occur with light to calm winds. Lows will be mainly in the 50s but some pockets of 40s may occur in the southern Dacks.
Tue-Tue night...The mid level ridge axis moves over eastern NY and western New England. The sfc anticyclone drifts toward eastern New England. A weak sfc trough or a differential heating boundary may kick off a some isolated showers/thunderstorms over or near the higher terrain of the Adirondacks, southern Greens, Berkshires, Taconics and Catskills. PoPs were kept in the slight to low chance range. Humidity levels slightly increase with sfc dewpts in the 50s to lower 60s. Highs will be mainly in the 70s over the higher terrain with a few 80F readings and lower to mid 80s in the valleys. Any convection will shrivel with the loss of the diurnal heating. However, an increase of clouds may occur well after midnight south and west of the Capital District with some widely scattered showers ahead of a warm front. Lows will be in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
A shift to a more unsettled weather pattern begins in the mid week, as ridging over the Northeast begins to break down with a mid and upper level trough over the central Canadian Prairies becoming negatively tilted over the Great Lakes Region and the Midwest. A weak warm front will increase some clouds with isolated to scattered showers and the best chance of thunderstorms west of the Hudson River Valley on Wed. The medium range guidance and ensembles are leaning for greater probabilistic chances for showers and scattered thunderstorms Wed night into Thu with increasing height falls and a trough of low pressure moving across the region. PWATs increase to 1 to 2 STDEVS above normal in the 1.25-1.50" range by Thu. Some of the showers and thunderstorms may contain locally heavy rainfall.
WPC already has placed the entire forecast area in a Marginal Risk in the Day 5 Excessive Rainfall Graphic. It will the first widespread rainfall in over a week. PoPs were kept in the likely range on Thu. Max temps Wed will be in the 70s to lower 80s with moderate humidity levels. Lows will be in the mild side Wed night with mid 50s to mid 60s. In the unsettled air mass on Thu, expect highs to be near or slightly below normal with 60s to lower over the higher terrain and mid 70s to around 80F in the Valleys.
A broad mid and upper level trough sets up over the Great Lakes Region, southeast Canada into the Northeast. The H500 circulation closes off upstream with short-waves moving around it Thu night into the weekend. In the cyclonic flow, periods/bouts of showers and some thunderstorms will be possible Fri and Sat into the afternoon.
Depending on the strength of the cold pool some hail may be possible. A few of the thunderstorms may be on the stronger side.
The better forcing on Friday may be from the Capital Region north and west. CSTAR warm season work has documented the sensible and significant weather with closed/cut-off lows, as some locations could receive appreciable rainfall with any showers/thunderstorms moving repeatedly over the same area. Lows Thu and Fri night will be in the 50s to lower 60s. Highs Friday will be in the mid 60s to upper 70s with cooler readings in the 60s to lower/mid 70s with the upper low coming overhead on Saturday.
The track of the mid and upper low poleward over Quebec late in the weekend or if the closed H500 circulation lingers over eastern NY and New England will depend on the shower/thunderstorm coverage to close the weekend. We have kept isolated to scattered showers in the forecast with a few thunderstorms possible, as temps finish the weekend near to slightly below normal.
AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Upper level disturbance will track across the region this evening. Some spotty light showers/sprinkles may affect KGFL, KALB and KPOU through around 05Z/Mon. However, VFR conditions should prevail despite any light rainfall.
Will have to watch for brief patchy fog development at KGFL between 08Z-10Z/Mon. This possibility would be conditional if mid level clouds clear out during this time. Should this occur, brief periods of MVFR/IFR Vsbys would be possible during this time.
VFR conditions are likely on Monday with just patchy mid level clouds at times.
Light south/southwest winds 4-7 KT will become light/variable tonight, then trend into the north to northeast by late Monday morning at 5-10 KT.
Outlook...
Monday Night to Tue Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA.
Thursday: High Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday Night to Fri: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 719 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
A weak disturbance moving over the region tonight will increase clouds and bring some isolated showers or sprinkles. High pressure builds back in from the northwest to open the week with mainly dry weather and above normal early June temperatures.
Humidity levels will slightly increase on Tuesday with an isolated shower or thunderstorm over the higher terrain, as a much stronger system approaches from the west for late Wednesday through Thursday with widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
UPDATE...As of 715 PM EDT, some light showers/sprinkles were ongoing across portions of the SW Adirondacks, extending into central NYS. These showers were located ahead of a weakening shortwave approaching from western NY. There has been a greater concentration of showers across portions of south central NYS and tracking east/southeast.
Given slightly greater coverage on radar and also some ground truth obs indicating light rain has been reaching the surface, we have expanded slight chance/low chance PoPs for isolated/scattered showers/sprinkles through this evening for areas mainly west of the Hudson River, with best chances across the Mohawk Valley, SW Adirondacks, eastern Catskills/Schoharie County. However, can not rule out some sprinkles/light showers reaching portions of the Capital/Saratoga and Lake George region at times this evening.
Showers/sprinkles should shift south of the region after midnight, however mid level clouds may persist through daybreak, especially south of I-90.
Other than some expansion of PoPs eastward, little if any additional changes to ongoing forecast at this time.
[PREVIOUS 358 PM EDT]
As of 358 PM EDT
The mid and upper level ridge axis near the forecast area over New England weakens, as a mid level disturbance approaches. The weak warm front associated with sfc low moving across the eastern Great Lakes Region has produced a few light showers upstream over west-central NY. Most of the pcpn continues to dry up moving east. A few light showers or sprinkles may reach the Adirondacks, western Mohawk Valley and the eastern Catskills. We kept some slight chance PoPs there. The low-level moisture profiles remain very dry on model soundings.
Mid and high clouds will be abundant and it should be a milder night than the previous few, as the clouds should prevent ideal radiative coolings conditions. Lows were favored close to a METMOS/NBM blend with upper 50s to lower 60s in the major valleys and 50s mainly over the higher terrain.
SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Tomorrow, expect the mid and upper level flow to favor ridging to return over Ontario, the Great Lakes Region and the Midwest with a sfc anticyclone building in from southeast Canada. Light north to northwest winds will continue to funnel dry air over the region with dewpoints in the mid 40s to mid 50s or so.
Humidity levels remain comfortable. H850 temps will be +13C to +14C based on the latest GFS. Expect partly to mostly sunny skies. An isolated shower or thunderstorm may pop up over the southeast Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, southern Taconics and NW CT late in the afternoon. Max temps will run 5-10 degrees above normal with a blend of the guidance producing lower to mid 80s below 1000 ft in elevations and 70s to near 80F readings over the higher terrain.
Mon night the skies will become mostly clear with light winds as the sfc high moves over eastern NY and New England. Some radiational cooling will occur with light to calm winds. Lows will be mainly in the 50s but some pockets of 40s may occur in the southern Dacks.
Tue-Tue night...The mid level ridge axis moves over eastern NY and western New England. The sfc anticyclone drifts toward eastern New England. A weak sfc trough or a differential heating boundary may kick off a some isolated showers/thunderstorms over or near the higher terrain of the Adirondacks, southern Greens, Berkshires, Taconics and Catskills. PoPs were kept in the slight to low chance range. Humidity levels slightly increase with sfc dewpts in the 50s to lower 60s. Highs will be mainly in the 70s over the higher terrain with a few 80F readings and lower to mid 80s in the valleys. Any convection will shrivel with the loss of the diurnal heating. However, an increase of clouds may occur well after midnight south and west of the Capital District with some widely scattered showers ahead of a warm front. Lows will be in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
A shift to a more unsettled weather pattern begins in the mid week, as ridging over the Northeast begins to break down with a mid and upper level trough over the central Canadian Prairies becoming negatively tilted over the Great Lakes Region and the Midwest. A weak warm front will increase some clouds with isolated to scattered showers and the best chance of thunderstorms west of the Hudson River Valley on Wed. The medium range guidance and ensembles are leaning for greater probabilistic chances for showers and scattered thunderstorms Wed night into Thu with increasing height falls and a trough of low pressure moving across the region. PWATs increase to 1 to 2 STDEVS above normal in the 1.25-1.50" range by Thu. Some of the showers and thunderstorms may contain locally heavy rainfall.
WPC already has placed the entire forecast area in a Marginal Risk in the Day 5 Excessive Rainfall Graphic. It will the first widespread rainfall in over a week. PoPs were kept in the likely range on Thu. Max temps Wed will be in the 70s to lower 80s with moderate humidity levels. Lows will be in the mild side Wed night with mid 50s to mid 60s. In the unsettled air mass on Thu, expect highs to be near or slightly below normal with 60s to lower over the higher terrain and mid 70s to around 80F in the Valleys.
A broad mid and upper level trough sets up over the Great Lakes Region, southeast Canada into the Northeast. The H500 circulation closes off upstream with short-waves moving around it Thu night into the weekend. In the cyclonic flow, periods/bouts of showers and some thunderstorms will be possible Fri and Sat into the afternoon.
Depending on the strength of the cold pool some hail may be possible. A few of the thunderstorms may be on the stronger side.
The better forcing on Friday may be from the Capital Region north and west. CSTAR warm season work has documented the sensible and significant weather with closed/cut-off lows, as some locations could receive appreciable rainfall with any showers/thunderstorms moving repeatedly over the same area. Lows Thu and Fri night will be in the 50s to lower 60s. Highs Friday will be in the mid 60s to upper 70s with cooler readings in the 60s to lower/mid 70s with the upper low coming overhead on Saturday.
The track of the mid and upper low poleward over Quebec late in the weekend or if the closed H500 circulation lingers over eastern NY and New England will depend on the shower/thunderstorm coverage to close the weekend. We have kept isolated to scattered showers in the forecast with a few thunderstorms possible, as temps finish the weekend near to slightly below normal.
AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Upper level disturbance will track across the region this evening. Some spotty light showers/sprinkles may affect KGFL, KALB and KPOU through around 05Z/Mon. However, VFR conditions should prevail despite any light rainfall.
Will have to watch for brief patchy fog development at KGFL between 08Z-10Z/Mon. This possibility would be conditional if mid level clouds clear out during this time. Should this occur, brief periods of MVFR/IFR Vsbys would be possible during this time.
VFR conditions are likely on Monday with just patchy mid level clouds at times.
Light south/southwest winds 4-7 KT will become light/variable tonight, then trend into the north to northeast by late Monday morning at 5-10 KT.
Outlook...
Monday Night to Tue Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA.
Thursday: High Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday Night to Fri: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Troy
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:58 AM EDT 5.20 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:45 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:18 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 08:46 AM EDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:23 PM EDT 4.65 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:13 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 08:27 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 09:01 PM EDT -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:58 AM EDT 5.20 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:45 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:18 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 08:46 AM EDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:23 PM EDT 4.65 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:13 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 08:27 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 09:01 PM EDT -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Troy, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 4.2 |
| 1 am |
| 4.9 |
| 2 am |
| 5.2 |
| 3 am |
| 4.8 |
| 4 am |
| 3.9 |
| 5 am |
| 2.9 |
| 6 am |
| 2.1 |
| 7 am |
| 1.3 |
| 8 am |
| 0.5 |
| 9 am |
| 0.2 |
| 10 am |
| 0.9 |
| 11 am |
| 2.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 4.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.7 |
Albany
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:50 AM EDT 5.20 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:46 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:19 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 08:36 AM EDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:15 PM EDT 4.65 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:13 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 08:27 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 08:51 PM EDT -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:50 AM EDT 5.20 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:46 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:19 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 08:36 AM EDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:15 PM EDT 4.65 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:13 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 08:27 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 08:51 PM EDT -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Albany, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 4.3 |
| 1 am |
| 5 |
| 2 am |
| 5.2 |
| 3 am |
| 4.7 |
| 4 am |
| 3.8 |
| 5 am |
| 2.8 |
| 6 am |
| 2 |
| 7 am |
| 1.2 |
| 8 am |
| 0.4 |
| 9 am |
| 0.3 |
| 10 am |
| 1.1 |
| 11 am |
| 2.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 1 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 4.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 4.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 2 |
Albany, NY,
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