Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 8:29 PM Moonrise 1:48 PM   Moonset 1:13 AM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 826 Pm Edt Fri Jun 14 2024
Rest of tonight - West winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast late this evening and overnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Showers likely early this evening. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers. Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday - East winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Sunday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening. Monday - East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Monday night - East winds around 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening. Tuesday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Wednesday - East winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 826 Pm Edt Fri Jun 14 2024
Synopsis -
onshore winds will diminish and become light and variable this evening through overnight, with showers and storms possible through the early overnight period. Some showers could linger down south overnight into tomorrow morning. Light and variable winds overnight increase and push onshore with the sea breeze development on Saturday. Winds become more easterly moving into Sunday and increase into early next week, potentially to near cautionary levels on Tuesday.

FXUS62 KTBW 150040 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 840 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 840 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Made a few adjustments to forecast grids to account for the latest convective trends across the area, otherwise no additional changes necessary. Clusters of showers and storms remain ongoing across the Nature Coast and WCFL, pushing off to the west toward the W FL coast accompanied by heavy rainfall and occasionally gusty winds. Threat looks to remain sub-severe but a few wind gusts in the 40-50 mph range remain possible, along with isolated rainfall totals of 2-3 inches possible with the areas of heaviest rainfall. Improving conditions likely late evening into tonight as activity weakens and moves offshore, with partly cloudy skies expected under fairly light winds and humid conditions and lows in the 70s.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 240 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Some tropical moisture still lingers over south florida, from the low pressure surface that has moved off into the Atlantic. This will keep most of the shower activity south of I4 once again.
However some sea breeze convergence could happen close to sunset aiding the development of some showers and storms over the interior.
These should progress towards the west coast through the evening hours. Tomorrow a very similar set up is likely, with isolated showers possible down south, becoming more widespread in the afternoon. Showers and storms should help moderate temperatures throughout the week, keeping the highs a little closer to normal for this time of year. Isolated heat indices into the triple digits possible throughout the week as well.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 750 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Evening convection moving west toward the C FL coastal terminals will maintain the potential for a period of sub-VFR conditions for the northern terminals through the evening before diminishing during the early overnight period. VFR conditions expected through the remainder of the overnight period with mostly light winds.
Winds increase out of the S-SW late morning into afternoon, with the chance of showers and storms returning for much of the afternoon and into the evening before gradually diminishing.

MARINE
Issued at 240 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

This evening onshore winds will diminish and become light and variable overnight before increasing tomorrow afternoon as the sea breeze develops once again. Winds become more easterly moving into Sunday and by Monday increase to around 10-15kts sustained. Tuesday winds could get close to cautionary levels.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 240 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Ample moisture and soil saturation has helped decrease any fire weather concerns through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 78 89 78 92 / 60 70 30 60 FMY 77 87 76 91 / 50 60 30 50 GIF 76 90 75 92 / 50 70 20 50 SRQ 77 89 76 92 / 50 70 40 60 BKV 72 93 72 94 / 60 60 30 50 SPG 81 89 81 92 / 60 70 40 60

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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St. Petersburg Beach Causeway
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Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:06 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:16 AM EDT     1.59 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:56 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:34 PM EDT     1.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:35 PM EDT     1.54 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

St. Petersburg Beach Causeway, Florida, Tide feet

Tampa Bay Entrance
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Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:31 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:02 AM EDT     1.15 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 10:31 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:31 PM EDT     -0.69 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 01:56 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:14 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:06 PM EDT     0.06 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 07:55 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tampa Bay Entrance, Florida Current, knots

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