Sunrise 5:59 AM   Sunset 8:20 PM Moonrise 2:10 AM   Moonset 3:21 PM

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AMZ252 Coastal Waters From Cape Fear Nc To Little River Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 328 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Tonight - S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 9 seconds. Mon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and E 1 ft at 6 seconds. Mon night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 1 ft at 8 seconds. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Tue - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 7 seconds and S 1 ft at 3 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight. Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 7 seconds and sw 1 ft at 3 seconds. A chance of showers. Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms after midnight. Thu - SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Thu night - SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Fri - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Fri night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 328 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - High pressure will move off the carolina coast. A backdoor cold front may stall across north carolina Tuesday into Wednesday, likely remaining north of the cape fear area.

FXUS62 KILM 021936 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 336 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will move farther off the Carolina coast this week. Southerly winds bring warmer and more humid air northward, resulting in spotty mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms every day. A cold front could reach the Carolinas by Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
Energy passing through the area in the mid levels of the atmosphere could bring a few showers and storms to the area tonight and Monday. Coverage is expected to be isolated into tonight and isolated to scattered Monday. Lows tonight will fall to the mid to upper 60s. Highs Monday will rise to the mid 80s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Summer-like pattern in full swing with WAA and moisture advection around offshore Bermuda high. Any lingering storms Monday evening will are expected to be gone by midnight. A weak upper ridge moves overhead Tuesday but not expecting much, if any, subsidence and therefore pops are in the 30-40% range for Tuesday afternoon for scattered diurnal storms. Highs Tuesday around 90F and lows Monday and Tuesday nights in the upper 60s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Continued WAA and moisture advection through Thursday night, with PWATs peaking near 2" Wednesday and Thursday. Dewpoints around 68- 72F both days, with above normal temperatures. Storm chances currently around 50% during Wed and Thurs afternoon/evening, with sea breeze and Piedmont trough providing focus along with an upper shortwave on Thursday. An upper low moves across the Great Lakes Thursday night and slowly moves over the Northeast through next weekend, possibly extending down into the Mid-Atlantic. Associated surface cyclone will also move into the Northeast Friday, with attending cold front forecasted to move across our area sometime Friday. Not sure how much moisture will be available for rain chances with the front, especially inland. Behind the front, atmosphere looks to dry out quite a bit with some uncertainty in temperature trends for next weekend (GFS has a notable cool down).

AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
VFR for the 18Z TAF period. There is a low potential for a few showers during the period but the potential is too low to include in the terminals. S to SW winds invof 10 KT this afternoon will become light overnight before becoming S to SW at 5 to 10 KT in the 12 to 18Z window.

Extended Outlook...Isolated mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms will be possible Monday through Wednesday, becoming a little more widespread Thursday. VFR expected Friday.

MARINE
Through Monday...Expect S to SW winds of 10 to 15 KT tonight to diminish to 10 KT or less for Monday. Seas invof 2 FT are expected.

Monday Night through Friday...South-southwest winds persist around offshore Bermuda high Monday night through at least early Friday, peaking Thursday afternoon and evening as pressure gradient tightens ahead of an approaching front. Seas around 2 feet through mid week build to 3-4 ft daytime Thursday and Thursday night, combination of SE swell and S wind wave. A front is forecasted to move across the area sometime on Friday, with winds turning offshore behind it and wave heights lowering.
Storm chances basically every day this week, with best chance overnight into early morning over the nearshore waters.

CLIMATE
Climatological Spring 2024 numbers are in and record-breaking warmth occurred at Wilmington, NC where temperature records date back to 1874.

Wilmington recorded its warmest spring on record with an average March-May temperature of 66.4 degrees, breaking the record of 66.3 set back in the Spring of 2012. Although high temperatures were warm, it was exceptional warmth for overnight lows that really helped break the record.

In North Myrtle Beach this was the second warmest spring since records began with an average spring temperature of 65.7 degrees. 2012 remains the warmest spring on record there.

Inland at Florence, SC and Lumberton, NC, both stations recorded their sixth warmest spring on record with average temperatures of 66.6 and 65.3 degrees, respectively.

Detailed spring climatological data is available in the seasonal climate summaries (CLS) text products issued yesterday afternoon.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Yaupon Beach
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Sun -- 03:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:22 AM EDT     4.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:22 AM EDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:20 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:00 PM EDT     5.67 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:07 PM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Yaupon Beach, North Carolina, Tide feet

Cape Fear
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Sun -- 03:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:28 AM EDT     4.42 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:43 AM EDT     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:20 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:06 PM EDT     5.19 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:28 PM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cape Fear, North Carolina, Tide feet

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