Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Vandenberg AFB, CA
June 2, 2024 9:24 PM PDT (04:24 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:48 AM Sunset 8:11 PM Moonrise 2:06 AM Moonset 3:23 PM |
PZZ673 Waters From Pt. Sal To Santa Cruz Island Ca And Westward 60 Nm Including San Miguel And Santa Rosa Islands- 825 Pm Pdt Sun Jun 2 2024
.gale warning in effect until 3 am pdt Monday - .
.gale watch in effect from Monday afternoon through late Monday night - .
Tonight - NW wind 25 to 30 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Strongest offshore. Seas 7 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 7 ft at 8 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Mon - NW wind 20 to 25 kt, becoming 25 to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 8 ft at 7 seconds and S 2 ft at 14 seconds. Patchy fog in the afternoon.
Mon night - NW wind 25 to 35 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Wave detail: nw 9 ft at 8 seconds and S 2 ft at 14 seconds. Patchy fog in the evening.
Tue - NW wind 20 to 25 kt, becoming 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 8 ft at 9 seconds and S 3 ft at 14 seconds.
Tue night - NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft, building to 8 to 11 ft. Wave detail: nw 10 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 14 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Wed - N wind 15 to 25 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft, subsiding to 6 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 9 ft at 10 seconds, N 3 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Wed night - NW wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft, building to 8 to 11 ft. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 5 seconds, nw 10 ft at 15 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Thu - NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft, subsiding to 7 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 11 ft at 15 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Patchy fog after midnight.
Fri - NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 8 ft at 12 seconds and sw 2 ft at 14 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Patchy fog after midnight.
PZZ600 825 Pm Pdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - At 03z, or 8 pm pdt, a 1028 mb surface high was centered 1000 nm west of point conception while a 1002 mb thermal low was over southern nevada. Widespread steep seas are expected most of the week.
Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 030259 AFDLOX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 759 PM PDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
02/757 PM.
A warming trend will establish through Wednesday due to high pressure aloft building in and weakening onshore flow. The warming trend will be most pronounced away the coast. Closer to the coast, night through morning low clouds and fog will persist with continued moderate to strong onshore flow.
.SHORT TERM (SUN-WED)...02/758 PM.
Current satellite imagery showing low clouds lingering this evening across parts of Ventura county and the Central Coast.
The marine layer is still deep over the LA basin, with ACARS data showing a depth around 3000 feet. In addition, onshore pressure gradients remain strong with LAX-DAG gradient once again peaking over +9 mb this afternoon. As a result, low clouds expected to fill in across most coastal/valley areas tonight into Monday morning, with some patchy drizzle possible. The strong onshore gradients causing widespread wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph across the interior this afternoon/evening, with local gusts over 40 mph in the Antelope Valley and adjacent foothills. Northwest winds are expected to ramp up a bit this evening across southwest Santa Barbara county, but mostly expected to remain below advisory levels. High resolution models are ramping up northwest winds on Monday into Monday night, in terms of areal coverage and wind speed. As a result, have posted a wind advisory for Monday into Monday night for the I-5 corridor, western Antelope Valley foothills, and southwest Santa Barbara county where wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are expected.
Earlier forecast on warming trend looks on track.
*** From previous discussion ***
High confidence in a warming trend focused across Coastal Valleys to interior through Tuesday or Wednesday as a modest ridge of high pressure builds into the region. The marine layer should somewhat shelter coastal areas from the warming influence of the ridge. It will also continue to provide night to morning low clouds. The pattern continues to look favorable for patchy drizzle, especially Monday night into early Tuesday. Low confidence in the extent of the marine layer especially into Tuesday due to competing forces between the building ridge pressing down on the marine layer and the potential for a Catalina Eddy acting to prop it up. This leaves us with only moderate confidence in daytime highs across coastal valleys in particular.
Daytime highs will likely warm 10-15 degrees between today and Tuesday or Wednesday, except closer to 5 degrees along the coast and perhaps into lower elevation coastal valleys. By Tuesday this will likely result in highs generally in the 70s near the coast, 80s to near 90 for coastal valleys, and 90s to near 100 further inland.
Continued northwest flow across the region will support gusty winds at times focused southwest Santa Barbara and the I-5 corridor in the mountains east to the Antelope Valley. A trough passing to the north late Monday may (30-50 percent chance) boost winds into advisory territory.
.LONG TERM (THU-SUN)...02/115 PM.
The peak of the heat will likely be Wednesday for many areas, although some coastal and coastal valley areas may peak on Tuesday due to offshore trends and the potential for less marine influence on that day. Will maintain the Excessive Heat Watch for Wednesday, covering many far interior areas. However, there is some concern that onshore trends and an earlier sea breeze Wednesday may stall warming for some of these areas even as the ridge peaks in intensity overhead. There is a small chance that the heat hangs on long enough for some interior areas to need some type of heat product into Thursday.
Lower confidence in the forecast heading into next weekend as a low pressure system may move into the region from the south or southwest. There is a 10 percent chance (leaving a 90 percent chance that unremarkable early June weather continues) that this setup is favorable for showers or thunderstorms for interior areas and drizzle or light showers for closer to the coast. Either way temperatures should cool at least somewhat, possibly significantly for interior areas should the more active weather scenario play out.
AVIATION
02/2358Z.
At 2345Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 3400 ft deep. The top of the inversion was at 5000 feet with a temperature of 18 deg C.
Moderate to hi confidence in the 00Z TAFs. MVFR/VFR cigs lingering across portions of the coast/valleys late this afternoon, especially south of Pt Conception. IFR/MVFR cigs will likely spread back inland tonight and affect all coast and adjacent vly airfields including KPRB and continue into late Mon morning except scattering out of KPRB by 16Z Mon morning. The timing of the dissipation and onset of low clouds may be off +/- an hour or two, with the largest uncertainty of the onset of low clouds tonight for KSBA and KPRB.
For KWJF and KPMD, there is hi confidence VFR conds will continue thru the TAF period. Gusty SW-W winds will affect these airfields for most of the fcst period.
KLAX...Moderate to hi confidence in the 00Z TAF. SCT-BKN030 conditions expected until 02z, then higher probability of MVFR cigs between 03z-21z, with timing of dissipation and onset of low clouds potentially being off +/- an hour or two.
There is a 20% chance of an east wind component of 7-8 kt from 09Z-18Z Mon.
KBUR...Moderate confidence in the 00Z TAF. MVFR cigs should move back in by 06Z this evening and continue thru Monday morning.
The timing of the dissipation and onset of the low clouds may be off +/- an hour or two.
MARINE
02/757 PM.
Northwest winds at or just below Gale Force will continue through tonight over the offshore waters from the Central Coast to San Nicolas Island. These winds will weaken a little Monday morning, but confidence is growing for stronger winds Monday afternoon and evening likely exceeding Gale Force. Weaker winds by 5 to 10 knots will affect the nearshore Central Coast waters with Small Craft Advisory (SCA) winds and seas. Moderate confidence in winds retreating and weakening Tuesday and Wednesday, but still reaching SCA levels especially north of Point Conception. These winds will generate building steep seas at short periods, peaking Tuesday and Wednesday. Computer projections are currently running a foot or two above reality, especially for the offshore waters.
Moderate confidence that winds will stay below SCA levels for the nearshore waters from Santa Barbara to Orange County. Winds of 20 to 25 knots should affect the far western portion of the Santa Barbara Channel Monday afternoon and evening, but likely will stay too localized to need a SCA for the whole Channel. Choppy seas should be expected however due to all the winds offshore.
Southeast winds will continue to form each morning, with isolated winds around 15 knots through passages and channels, and between islands.
There is a chance for dense fog over the waters from Point Mugu northward Tuesday through at least Thursday.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Excessive Heat Watch remains in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening for zones 344-381>383. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Wind Advisory in effect from 3 PM Monday to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 349-351. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Wind Advisory in effect from 6 AM Monday to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 378-381. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Warning in effect until 3 AM PDT Monday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Watch in effect from Monday afternoon through late Monday night for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 759 PM PDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
02/757 PM.
A warming trend will establish through Wednesday due to high pressure aloft building in and weakening onshore flow. The warming trend will be most pronounced away the coast. Closer to the coast, night through morning low clouds and fog will persist with continued moderate to strong onshore flow.
.SHORT TERM (SUN-WED)...02/758 PM.
Current satellite imagery showing low clouds lingering this evening across parts of Ventura county and the Central Coast.
The marine layer is still deep over the LA basin, with ACARS data showing a depth around 3000 feet. In addition, onshore pressure gradients remain strong with LAX-DAG gradient once again peaking over +9 mb this afternoon. As a result, low clouds expected to fill in across most coastal/valley areas tonight into Monday morning, with some patchy drizzle possible. The strong onshore gradients causing widespread wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph across the interior this afternoon/evening, with local gusts over 40 mph in the Antelope Valley and adjacent foothills. Northwest winds are expected to ramp up a bit this evening across southwest Santa Barbara county, but mostly expected to remain below advisory levels. High resolution models are ramping up northwest winds on Monday into Monday night, in terms of areal coverage and wind speed. As a result, have posted a wind advisory for Monday into Monday night for the I-5 corridor, western Antelope Valley foothills, and southwest Santa Barbara county where wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are expected.
Earlier forecast on warming trend looks on track.
*** From previous discussion ***
High confidence in a warming trend focused across Coastal Valleys to interior through Tuesday or Wednesday as a modest ridge of high pressure builds into the region. The marine layer should somewhat shelter coastal areas from the warming influence of the ridge. It will also continue to provide night to morning low clouds. The pattern continues to look favorable for patchy drizzle, especially Monday night into early Tuesday. Low confidence in the extent of the marine layer especially into Tuesday due to competing forces between the building ridge pressing down on the marine layer and the potential for a Catalina Eddy acting to prop it up. This leaves us with only moderate confidence in daytime highs across coastal valleys in particular.
Daytime highs will likely warm 10-15 degrees between today and Tuesday or Wednesday, except closer to 5 degrees along the coast and perhaps into lower elevation coastal valleys. By Tuesday this will likely result in highs generally in the 70s near the coast, 80s to near 90 for coastal valleys, and 90s to near 100 further inland.
Continued northwest flow across the region will support gusty winds at times focused southwest Santa Barbara and the I-5 corridor in the mountains east to the Antelope Valley. A trough passing to the north late Monday may (30-50 percent chance) boost winds into advisory territory.
.LONG TERM (THU-SUN)...02/115 PM.
The peak of the heat will likely be Wednesday for many areas, although some coastal and coastal valley areas may peak on Tuesday due to offshore trends and the potential for less marine influence on that day. Will maintain the Excessive Heat Watch for Wednesday, covering many far interior areas. However, there is some concern that onshore trends and an earlier sea breeze Wednesday may stall warming for some of these areas even as the ridge peaks in intensity overhead. There is a small chance that the heat hangs on long enough for some interior areas to need some type of heat product into Thursday.
Lower confidence in the forecast heading into next weekend as a low pressure system may move into the region from the south or southwest. There is a 10 percent chance (leaving a 90 percent chance that unremarkable early June weather continues) that this setup is favorable for showers or thunderstorms for interior areas and drizzle or light showers for closer to the coast. Either way temperatures should cool at least somewhat, possibly significantly for interior areas should the more active weather scenario play out.
AVIATION
02/2358Z.
At 2345Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 3400 ft deep. The top of the inversion was at 5000 feet with a temperature of 18 deg C.
Moderate to hi confidence in the 00Z TAFs. MVFR/VFR cigs lingering across portions of the coast/valleys late this afternoon, especially south of Pt Conception. IFR/MVFR cigs will likely spread back inland tonight and affect all coast and adjacent vly airfields including KPRB and continue into late Mon morning except scattering out of KPRB by 16Z Mon morning. The timing of the dissipation and onset of low clouds may be off +/- an hour or two, with the largest uncertainty of the onset of low clouds tonight for KSBA and KPRB.
For KWJF and KPMD, there is hi confidence VFR conds will continue thru the TAF period. Gusty SW-W winds will affect these airfields for most of the fcst period.
KLAX...Moderate to hi confidence in the 00Z TAF. SCT-BKN030 conditions expected until 02z, then higher probability of MVFR cigs between 03z-21z, with timing of dissipation and onset of low clouds potentially being off +/- an hour or two.
There is a 20% chance of an east wind component of 7-8 kt from 09Z-18Z Mon.
KBUR...Moderate confidence in the 00Z TAF. MVFR cigs should move back in by 06Z this evening and continue thru Monday morning.
The timing of the dissipation and onset of the low clouds may be off +/- an hour or two.
MARINE
02/757 PM.
Northwest winds at or just below Gale Force will continue through tonight over the offshore waters from the Central Coast to San Nicolas Island. These winds will weaken a little Monday morning, but confidence is growing for stronger winds Monday afternoon and evening likely exceeding Gale Force. Weaker winds by 5 to 10 knots will affect the nearshore Central Coast waters with Small Craft Advisory (SCA) winds and seas. Moderate confidence in winds retreating and weakening Tuesday and Wednesday, but still reaching SCA levels especially north of Point Conception. These winds will generate building steep seas at short periods, peaking Tuesday and Wednesday. Computer projections are currently running a foot or two above reality, especially for the offshore waters.
Moderate confidence that winds will stay below SCA levels for the nearshore waters from Santa Barbara to Orange County. Winds of 20 to 25 knots should affect the far western portion of the Santa Barbara Channel Monday afternoon and evening, but likely will stay too localized to need a SCA for the whole Channel. Choppy seas should be expected however due to all the winds offshore.
Southeast winds will continue to form each morning, with isolated winds around 15 knots through passages and channels, and between islands.
There is a chance for dense fog over the waters from Point Mugu northward Tuesday through at least Thursday.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Excessive Heat Watch remains in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening for zones 344-381>383. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Wind Advisory in effect from 3 PM Monday to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 349-351. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Wind Advisory in effect from 6 AM Monday to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 378-381. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Warning in effect until 3 AM PDT Monday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Watch in effect from Monday afternoon through late Monday night for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 46259 | 20 mi | 59 min | 58°F | 7 ft | ||||
| 46218 - Harvest, CA (071) | 25 mi | 59 min | 53°F | 7 ft | ||||
| 46011 - SANTA MARIA - 21 NM Northwest of Point Arguello, CA | 30 mi | 45 min | NNW 18G | 54°F | ||||
| 46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA | 45 mi | 45 min | NW 14G | 54°F | 54°F | 29.91 | 54°F | |
| 46215 - Diablo Canyon, CA (076) | 49 mi | 59 min | 54°F | 4 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Avila
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:39 AM PDT -1.81 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:03 AM PDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:49 AM PDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:28 AM PDT 0.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:04 PM PDT -1.57 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:21 PM PDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:36 PM PDT 2.79 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:13 PM PDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:39 AM PDT -1.81 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:03 AM PDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:49 AM PDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:28 AM PDT 0.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:04 PM PDT -1.57 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:21 PM PDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:36 PM PDT 2.79 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:13 PM PDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Avila, California, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| -1.2 |
| 1 am |
| -1.7 |
| 2 am |
| -1.8 |
| 3 am |
| -1.4 |
| 4 am |
| -0.8 |
| 5 am |
| -0.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.6 |
| 7 am |
| 0.9 |
| 8 am |
| 0.9 |
| 9 am |
| 0.5 |
| 10 am |
| -0.1 |
| 11 am |
| -0.8 |
| 12 pm |
| -1.3 |
| 1 pm |
| -1.6 |
| 2 pm |
| -1.4 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.1 |
Port San Luis Wharf
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:56 AM PDT 0.48 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:03 AM PDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:49 AM PDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:46 AM PDT 3.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:18 PM PDT 1.00 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:21 PM PDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:47 PM PDT 5.87 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:13 PM PDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:56 AM PDT 0.48 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:03 AM PDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:49 AM PDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:46 AM PDT 3.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:18 PM PDT 1.00 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:21 PM PDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:47 PM PDT 5.87 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:13 PM PDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Port San Luis Wharf, California, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.4 |
| 1 am |
| 0.7 |
| 2 am |
| 0.5 |
| 3 am |
| 0.8 |
| 4 am |
| 1.4 |
| 5 am |
| 2.3 |
| 6 am |
| 3.1 |
| 7 am |
| 3.6 |
| 8 am |
| 3.7 |
| 9 am |
| 3.4 |
| 10 am |
| 2.8 |
| 11 am |
| 2 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 1 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 5 |
| 7 pm |
| 5.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 5.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 5.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.2 |
Vandenberg AFB, CA,
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