Sunrise 6:34 AM   Sunset 8:21 PM Moonrise 2:32 AM   Moonset 3:33 PM

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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 248 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Tonight - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east late this evening and early morning, then becoming southeast late. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet after midnight. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 3 seconds and south 1 foot at 5 seconds, becoming southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely this evening. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers after midnight. Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds and west 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Tuesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tuesday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: northwest 1 foot at 3 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Wednesday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Thursday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Thursday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Friday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 248 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis - Ridging will remain to our north with some increase moisture across the area. This will keep winds out of an easterly direction for today and through mid week. This will also bring back our typically seabreeze convection over the land each afternoon and evening. These storm will drift into the gulf each day mainly in the late evening and early overnight hours.

FXUS62 KTBW 021848 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 248 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 241 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

As we go through the rest of our Sunday ridging is to our north and PWs have been increasing across the area. This will result in a more typical summertime seabreeze pattern. Looking at our seabreeze climatology we are currently in a regime 6 with a light S to SE flow. This regime typically brings the majority of shower activity pinned near the west coast with the highest PoPs south of I4. We are already seeing this with a developing CU field along the coast with coastal showers developing in Pasco and Charlotte Counties.

This pattern seem to stay pretty consistent through Wednesday with late afternoon and evening shower activity focused mainly on the west coast of Florida. This will hopefully help to put a dent into some of the drought we are seeing across the area.

Ridging will work its way to our south for the later half of the week in response to a cold front that will start to push through the Southeast. This will cause us to shift our focus to more inland areas when it comes to afternoon and evening thunderstorm activity.

By Saturday the models are showing the front making it into Central Florida. It is a little late in the season for us to see a front so we will see if the models stay consistent with this solution through the week, but if it does verify it would cause us to see an increase in shower activity for the day.



AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 241 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

VFR conditions are expected through the period outside of thunderstorms. Thunderstorms will be the biggest hazard to terminals today as thunderstorm chances have gone up. Highest confidence for thunderstorms on station will be at SRQ, PGD, FMY and RSW where a TEMPO line was added but all terminals have a chance of seeing thunderstorms through the late afternoon and evening hours.



MARINE
Issued at 241 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Ridging will remain to our north with some increase moisture across the area. This will keep winds out of an easterly direction for today and through mid week. This will also bring back our typically seabreeze convection over the land each afternoon and evening. These storm will drift into the Gulf each day mainly in the late evening and early overnight hours.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 241 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Moisture has increase and winds have decreased compared to yesterday as ridging has shifted to our north. This will keep RHs above critical range with no fire weather concerns.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 75 90 76 93 / 50 70 30 50 FMY 72 91 73 94 / 60 80 50 80 GIF 73 92 72 94 / 50 70 10 60 SRQ 72 90 74 95 / 70 70 40 60 BKV 69 91 68 95 / 40 60 20 50 SPG 77 90 79 93 / 60 70 40 60

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Venice Inlet (inside)
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Sun -- 03:14 AM EDT     0.75 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:31 AM EDT     2.05 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:56 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:18 PM EDT     1.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Venice Inlet (inside), Florida, Tide feet

Sarasota
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Sun -- 03:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:52 AM EDT     0.72 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:36 AM EDT     2.07 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:27 PM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:17 PM EDT     1.38 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Sarasota, Sarasota Bay, Florida (2), Tide feet

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