Saturday, October16, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Everglades, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:25AMSunset 6:59PM Saturday October 16, 2021 4:41 AM EDT (08:41 UTC) Moonrise 4:03PMMoonset 2:41AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 401 Am Edt Sat Oct 16 2021
Today..East northeast winds around 5 knots becoming west northwest in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..North winds around 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 10 knots nearshore and north 10 to 15 knots offshore. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots nearshore and northeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 4 feet with occasional to 5 feet offshore. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Monday..Northeast winds 10 to 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 4 feet with occasional to 5 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Monday night..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots nearshore and east northeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 3 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Tuesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas less than 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 3 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots nearshore and east northeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 3 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots nearshore and east northeast 10 to 20 knots offshore. Seas less than 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 3 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1000 Pm Cdt Fri Oct 15 2021
Synopsis..Light to occasionally moderate southwesterly winds switch to a moderate to strong northerly flow late tonight into early Saturday morning as a cold front moves through the area. Seas build to 2 to 5 feet near shore and 4 to 7 fell well offshore by Saturday night. The offshore flow gradually subsides Sunday into Monday and becomes more easterly, along with seas subsiding to 2 to 3 feet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Everglades, FL
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location: 25.86, -81.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 160732 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 332 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021

SHORT TERM. (Today and Sunday)

Latest analysis shows front entering the SE at this time. At mid to upper levels, water vapor loop and sndg analysis shows area between ridge across the Gulf and upper level low to our east and southeast with plenty of dry air aloft and multiple inversions indicative of the subsidence between the upper low to our ese and ridge across the Gulf. Upper level trough associated with aforementioned front remains well to the north blocked by the ridge across the Gulf. Low levels remain moist and in fact precipitable water values are running a tad above normal. This scenario calls for limited chance of showers today with a very remote chance of thunderstorms. The consensus of the guidance is consistent with this with best rain chances today across southern and southwestern portions of South Florida topping in the 20-30% range.

As we move into tomorrow, the consensus of the guidance indicates front will be moving across the area but it will be undergoing frontolysis or dissipation with no low level forcing of significance and upper level forcing remaining well dislodged to our north. That means, chances of showers tomorrow should top in the 30-40% range at most mainly along the east coast and the Atlantic in the afternoon with chances of rain dropping westward towards the SW coast where stronger influence of upper level ridge across the Gulf will be in place. There will be a slight chance of a thunderstorm at best tomorrow but even that comes with low confidence.

Temperatures today and tomorrow will be around or a tad above normal with lows tonight around or slightly below normal.

LONG TERM. (Sunday Night through Friday) .

The frontal boundary will push through the region on Sunday night and it will stall out to the south in the Florida Straits. The latest guidance continues to show that this front will not have a lot of moisture to work with as the air mass currently in place remains on the drier side. However, the chances of showers cannot be ruled out along the immediate boundary as it moves through with just enough lower level moisture in place. For the early portion of next week, high pressure will begin building in from the north as the front remains stalled out over the Florida Straits. With the strengthening high pressure building in from the north, the pressure gradient will tighten over the region. This will allow for a breezy northeasterly flow to take place during this time frame. Many areas will have dry conditions, however, there will be just enough lower level moisture in place to support a slight chance of showers mainly in southern areas closer to the front. High temperatures on Monday and Tuesday will generally range from the lower to mid 80s across the east coast to the upper 80s across the interior and west coast.

As the week progresses, the latest guidance continues to show what is left of the frontal boundary starting to migrate north back over South Florida especially towards the second half of the week. An increased amount of moisture will move back over the region in this scenario allowing for increased chances of showers and thunderstorms during this time frame. As this is towards the end forecast period, uncertainty remains high and a blend of the models was used. The latest forecast shows the chances of thunderstorms increasing towards the end of the week and this will continue to be monitored as the week progresses. High temperatures during this time frame will generally range from the mid 80s across the east coast metro areas to around 90 across the interior sections.

AVIATION(06Z TAFS).

VFR conditions should prevail through forecast period outside very brief periods of showers but given they would be isolated and brief will handle with amendments if needed. Winds should be light and variable overnight and between NNW and NNE 4-8 kts along east coast mainly between 14-15Z and 02-04Z. At APF, there is a chance of a W or WNW sea breeze late this afternoon/early evening.

MARINE.

Conditions should remain rather benign through tomorrow but as the front moves across the region, winds will be increasing from the north across the offshore Atlantic and Gulf waters reaching 15-20 kts by sometime tomorrow afternoon or late tomorrow. These winds should remain this high for periods of time through mid/late week but shift from the east by mid week. This will result in small craft advisory wave conditions across portions of the Gulf Stream on Monday.

BEACHES.

The risk of rip currents will remain low through tomorrow but quickly turn high by tomorrow night or Monday and remain high through the rest of the week due to aforementioned wind conditions.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Miami 89 74 89 73 / 10 10 30 30 West Kendall 90 71 90 72 / 20 10 30 30 Opa-Locka 89 73 89 72 / 10 10 30 30 Homestead 88 71 88 72 / 20 10 30 40 Fort Lauderdale 88 74 88 73 / 10 10 30 30 N Ft Lauderdale 89 73 88 74 / 10 10 30 30 Pembroke Pines 89 71 88 72 / 10 10 30 30 West Palm Beach 88 71 86 71 / 10 0 30 20 Boca Raton 88 72 87 73 / 10 0 30 20 Naples 89 74 88 68 / 10 10 20 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Today through Sunday and Aviation/Marine . PS Sunday Night through Friday . CWC

Visit us at weather.gov/miami

Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwsmiami www.twitter.com/nwsmiami


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 13 mi102 min 85°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 15 mi102 min 84°F
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 21 mi117 min E 1.9 73°F 1015 hPa73°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 24 mi162 min 85°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 26 mi102 min 83°F
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 29 mi54 min 81°F 84°F1013.7 hPa
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 34 mi102 min 83°F
HREF1 35 mi102 min 83°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 38 mi162 min 82°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 38 mi102 min 84°F
SREF1 38 mi102 min 85°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 38 mi102 min 82°F
CWAF1 44 mi162 min 83°F
NRRF1 44 mi162 min 83°F
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 46 mi108 min E 2.9G4.1 78°F
LRIF1 48 mi162 min 85°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL28 mi49 minNE 310.00 miFair75°F74°F96%1012.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE40NE3NE4E5E6--N636NE6NW8NW8NW9N4NE6E6E7E8E7SE40NE3NE3
1 day agoNE4NE6N3NE3NE7NE9E8E76NE4E9E5W5NW5N6E8E7E6SE3E4E5E4NE5NE3
2 days agoE4E5E5NE5NE6NE8E8NE8NE6NE6E6W9W8W8SE12
G16
SW4SE50E3E3NE4NE4NE30

Tide / Current Tables for Everglades City, Barron River, Florida
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Everglades City
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Sat -- 12:45 AM EDT     2.52 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:15 AM EDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:35 PM EDT     2.81 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:02 PM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Indian Key, Florida
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Indian Key
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:09 AM EDT     1.51 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:07 AM EDT     4.22 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:56 PM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:51 PM EDT     4.04 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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