Saturday, October16, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Biscayne Park, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:19AMSunset 6:53PM Saturday October 16, 2021 5:34 AM EDT (09:34 UTC) Moonrise 3:58PMMoonset 2:36AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 401 Am Edt Sat Oct 16 2021
Today..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west northwest after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 15 knots. Along the coast, seas less than 2 feet building to 2 to 3 feet in the afternoon. In the gulf stream, seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..North northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet along the coast and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet in the gulf stream. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet along the coast and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..East northeast winds around 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet along the coast and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..East northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..East northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..East northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Am Edt Sat Oct 16 2021
Synopsis.. A weak front will be moving across the south florida waters on Sunday with ridge of high pressure building to the north behind it through mid week. Best chances of showers, and may be a Thunderstorm, will be across the atlantic waters Sunday afternoon and Sunday night but a chance of showers will persist across the southern atlantic and gulf waters through at least Wednesday. Winds are forecast to increase across the local waters behind front late Sunday and remain elevated for periods of time through mid week.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas will remain below 4 feet through Sunday before increasing to at least 7 feet late Sunday night and through Monday before gradually subsiding through mid week. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of oct 16, 2021 at 1200 utc... 12 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 20 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 13 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 12 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Biscayne Park, FL
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location: 25.88, -80.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 160732 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 332 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021

SHORT TERM. (Today and Sunday)

Latest analysis shows front entering the SE at this time. At mid to upper levels, water vapor loop and sndg analysis shows area between ridge across the Gulf and upper level low to our east and southeast with plenty of dry air aloft and multiple inversions indicative of the subsidence between the upper low to our ese and ridge across the Gulf. Upper level trough associated with aforementioned front remains well to the north blocked by the ridge across the Gulf. Low levels remain moist and in fact precipitable water values are running a tad above normal. This scenario calls for limited chance of showers today with a very remote chance of thunderstorms. The consensus of the guidance is consistent with this with best rain chances today across southern and southwestern portions of South Florida topping in the 20-30% range.

As we move into tomorrow, the consensus of the guidance indicates front will be moving across the area but it will be undergoing frontolysis or dissipation with no low level forcing of significance and upper level forcing remaining well dislodged to our north. That means, chances of showers tomorrow should top in the 30-40% range at most mainly along the east coast and the Atlantic in the afternoon with chances of rain dropping westward towards the SW coast where stronger influence of upper level ridge across the Gulf will be in place. There will be a slight chance of a thunderstorm at best tomorrow but even that comes with low confidence.

Temperatures today and tomorrow will be around or a tad above normal with lows tonight around or slightly below normal.

LONG TERM. (Sunday Night through Friday) .

The frontal boundary will push through the region on Sunday night and it will stall out to the south in the Florida Straits. The latest guidance continues to show that this front will not have a lot of moisture to work with as the air mass currently in place remains on the drier side. However, the chances of showers cannot be ruled out along the immediate boundary as it moves through with just enough lower level moisture in place. For the early portion of next week, high pressure will begin building in from the north as the front remains stalled out over the Florida Straits. With the strengthening high pressure building in from the north, the pressure gradient will tighten over the region. This will allow for a breezy northeasterly flow to take place during this time frame. Many areas will have dry conditions, however, there will be just enough lower level moisture in place to support a slight chance of showers mainly in southern areas closer to the front. High temperatures on Monday and Tuesday will generally range from the lower to mid 80s across the east coast to the upper 80s across the interior and west coast.

As the week progresses, the latest guidance continues to show what is left of the frontal boundary starting to migrate north back over South Florida especially towards the second half of the week. An increased amount of moisture will move back over the region in this scenario allowing for increased chances of showers and thunderstorms during this time frame. As this is towards the end forecast period, uncertainty remains high and a blend of the models was used. The latest forecast shows the chances of thunderstorms increasing towards the end of the week and this will continue to be monitored as the week progresses. High temperatures during this time frame will generally range from the mid 80s across the east coast metro areas to around 90 across the interior sections.

AVIATION(06Z TAFS).

VFR conditions should prevail through forecast period outside very brief periods of showers but given they would be isolated and brief will handle with amendments if needed. Winds should be light and variable overnight and between NNW and NNE 4-8 kts along east coast mainly between 14-15Z and 02-04Z. At APF, there is a chance of a W or WNW sea breeze late this afternoon/early evening.

MARINE.

Conditions should remain rather benign through tomorrow but as the front moves across the region, winds will be increasing from the north across the offshore Atlantic and Gulf waters reaching 15-20 kts by sometime tomorrow afternoon or late tomorrow. These winds should remain this high for periods of time through mid/late week but shift from the east by mid week. This will result in small craft advisory wave conditions across portions of the Gulf Stream on Monday.

BEACHES.

The risk of rip currents will remain low through tomorrow but quickly turn high by tomorrow night or Monday and remain high through the rest of the week due to aforementioned wind conditions.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Miami 89 74 89 73 / 10 10 30 30 West Kendall 90 71 90 72 / 20 10 30 30 Opa-Locka 89 73 89 72 / 10 10 30 30 Homestead 88 71 88 72 / 20 10 30 40 Fort Lauderdale 88 74 88 73 / 10 10 30 30 N Ft Lauderdale 89 73 88 74 / 10 10 30 30 Pembroke Pines 89 71 88 72 / 10 10 30 30 West Palm Beach 88 71 86 71 / 10 0 30 20 Boca Raton 88 72 87 73 / 10 0 30 20 Naples 89 74 88 68 / 10 10 20 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Today through Sunday and Aviation/Marine . PS Sunday Night through Friday . CWC

Visit us at weather.gov/miami

Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwsmiami www.twitter.com/nwsmiami


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 10 mi46 min WNW 1.9G4.1 80°F 87°F1012.9 hPa
PEGF1 14 mi46 min NNW 5.1G6 79°F 1012.6 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 20 mi34 min SE 1.9G1.9 81°F 83°F1012.6 hPa (-0.9)
BBNF1 21 mi154 min 83°F
BBSF1 30 mi154 min 84°F
MDKF1 43 mi94 min 84°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 46 mi94 min 87°F
MNBF1 46 mi94 min 85°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 47 mi94 min 85°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 48 mi154 min 85°F
THRF1 48 mi154 min 84°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL7 mi41 minNNW 310.00 miFair76°F70°F82%1012.8 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL8 mi41 minWNW 310.00 miA Few Clouds77°F73°F88%1012.5 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL9 mi41 minNW 510.00 miFair73°F70°F90%1012.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL13 mi41 minNNW 310.00 miFair75°F75°F100%1012.3 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL21 mi41 minN 010.00 miFair73°F70°F90%1012.4 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL22 mi41 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F71°F88%1012.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOPF

Wind History from OPF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr00N4N4N6N4NE12E7E8E10NE9E10NE9E10NE5E4NE30000NW3NW3NW3
1 day agoN4N5N3N4NE5N8--NE11E10
G16
NE11E10E10E8NE8NE6NE5NE40000N3N30
2 days ago0N3N5N54E5N12NW6E7E8E9E8E12E6E6E5E4E30NE30N3NW30

Tide / Current Tables for Indian Creek Golf Club, ICWW, Florida
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Indian Creek Golf Club
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:31 AM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:26 AM EDT     2.59 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:54 PM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:57 PM EDT     2.69 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:50 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:29 AM EDT     1.76 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:19 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:03 AM EDT     -1.53 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 01:17 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:57 PM EDT     1.89 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 04:57 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:51 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 11:32 PM EDT     -1.59 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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