Wednesday, October20, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Verona Walk, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:27AMSunset 6:55PM Wednesday October 20, 2021 9:35 AM EDT (13:35 UTC) Moonrise 6:11PMMoonset 6:23AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 401 Am Edt Wed Oct 20 2021
.small craft should exercise caution...
Today..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots nearshore and east northeast around 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..East northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night. Slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers
chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon
Friday night..East northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers
chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon
Saturday night..East northeast winds around 10 knots nearshore and east 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night.
Sunday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Showers likely. Chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 318 Am Cdt Wed Oct 20 2021
Synopsis..Moderate east to southeast winds tonight will gradually relax through Wednesday night, becoming more southerly on Thursday as a cold front approaches from the northwest. Winds may shift to be northerly late in the week if the cold front moves southeast of the marine area and does not stall along the coast. Light to moderate easterly flow is expected to develop for the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Verona Walk, FL
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location: 26.03, -81.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 201226 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 826 AM EDT Wed Oct 20 2021

. High Risk of Rip Currents Continues Along Atlantic Beaches .

UPDATE. Plenty of sunshine and dry air across South FL today but unfortunately it is not going to last. MFL's 20/12Z sounding measured a PW of 1.06 inches, which is ~1.6 standard deviations below the climatological mean, or in the 10th percentile. With that said, moisture has been steadily increasing across South FL and this is evident between the difference in PW between yesterday and today -- an increase in 0.29 inches. Dewpoints and humidity are expected to gradually rise today but temperatures are still forecast to remain near normal and heat indices should remain in the mid-upper 80s. CAMs continue to trend mostly quiet with possible rogue shower this afternoon across the Atlantic waters and the east coast. Otherwise, no meaningful changes to ongoing forecast.

PREV DISCUSSION. (Issued 712 AM EDT Wed Oct 20 2021)

AVIATION(12Z TAFS) . VFR conditions continue throughout the forecast period. Below average rain chances, though a rogue/short-lived -SHRA is possible along the east coast during the late morning/early afternoon hours. Breezy ENE winds today, with gusts in the 18-22kt range possible, especially for Broward and Miami-Dade terminals. Winds slacken overnight before increasing from the E Thursday. Rain chances slowly increase Thursday afternoon along the east coast and adjacent Atlantic waters, though coverage and confidence too low to warrant VCSH at this time.

PREV DISCUSSION . (Issued 241 AM EDT Wed Oct 20 2021)

SHORT TERM (Today through Thursday) .

Mainly dry conditions will remain in place for one more day across South Florida as high pressure slowly starts to shift into the western Atlantic. The pressure gradient over South Florida will still remain tight for another day allowing for the breezy east to northeasterly winds to continue. There will be just enough lower level moisture in place today to support the possibility of a brief passing shower mainly across the southern Atlantic waters and the east coast. High temperatures today will generally range from the mid 80s across the east coast metro areas to the upper 80s across the interior and the west coast.

As for later tonight and into Thursday, the weather pattern over the region will begin to change. The mid level ridge will start to flatten out and become more zonal and progressive over the region. At the surface, another frontal boundary will be making its way through the southeastern portion of the country. During this same time frame, deep tropical moisture associated with the frontal boundary that has remained stalled out off to the south will start to move northward over back over the region. When all is said and done, this will allow for the chances of showers and thunderstorms to increase as Thursday progresses. The best chances of showers and thunderstorms will remain across southern areas as moisture slowly advects into the region from southeast to northwest. High temperatures on Thursday will generally range from the mid 80s across the east coast to around 90 across western areas.

LONG TERM (Thursday night through Tuesday) .

The long term starts with a gradual pattern shift from a dry and rather tranquil weather pattern back to what we tend to see during wet season. Aloft, the benign zonal flow will begin to transition to a slightly more active (albeit modest at first) southwesterly flow. This will help push some of the neighboring tropical moisture northward across the forecast area by Friday. With the uptick in moisture, expect diurnally driven convection to develop on both Friday and Saturday with the best rain potential occurring mainly across the interior and Gulf coast as the low level easterly fetch continues over the region, which will help with the inland march of the Atlantic sea breeze.

Sunday becomes a bit more complex. First looking aloft an H5 impulse begins to carve out along a shear axis (likely remnants of an old mid level front). This enhanced upper lift along with tropical moisture spreading over south Florida from the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean look to cause an enhancement of widespread shower and thunderstorm activity. In fact, PWAT values on the globals are well in excess of 2.0" with some values approaching 2.3" in some cases. With tropical moisture in place some concern with localized hydro issues will develop. The mean flow is suggests activity should be moving, but with ample upper support and tropical moisture there may be multiple opportunities for heavy rainfall on Sunday across much if not all of mainland south Florida.

Mid level troughing quickly begins to set up by early next week across the western Atlantic, which has some temporal and spatial discrepancies within the globals . but overall the same relative picture is being drawn. Northerly mid and upper level winds will take shape as the the trough amplifies and this will usher in much drier conditions, which should begin to limit POPs/QPF from north to south with time. Otherwise, temperatures will be around average except Sunday may be a bit below if the signal for widespread shower/T'storm activity remains unchanged.

AVIATION(06Z TAFS) .

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period. East to northeasterly winds around 5 to 10 knots overnight will increase by the middle of Wednesday morning to between 10 and 15 knots across all terminals. These winds will slowly diminish as Wednesday evening progresses.

MARINE .

The breezy east to northeasterly flow will continue across the Atlantic and Gulf waters through Wednesday. These winds will gradually subside through the second half of the week and into the first portion of the upcoming weekend. Chances of showers and thunderstorms will be increasing across the local waters for the second half of the week and into the upcoming weekend as well.

Beaches .

With the breezy east to northeasterly flow continuing, the high risk of rip currents will persist across the Atlantic Coast beaches for the next several days. As the winds begin to subside towards the end of the week, the rip current risk will slowly subside as well towards the upcoming weekend. With the full moon cycle in place and the persistent easterly flow, high tides over the Atlantic coast may be higher than predicted over the next day or two.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Miami 76 87 76 87 / 20 40 30 50 West Kendall 74 88 74 88 / 30 40 30 50 Opa-Locka 75 88 75 88 / 20 40 30 40 Homestead 75 85 75 86 / 30 40 40 50 Fort Lauderdale 76 86 76 86 / 20 30 30 40 N Ft Lauderdale 77 86 76 86 / 20 30 30 40 Pembroke Pines 75 86 74 86 / 20 30 30 40 West Palm Beach 74 86 74 86 / 10 20 20 40 Boca Raton 76 86 75 86 / 20 20 30 40 Naples 71 89 72 88 / 10 20 20 50

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through Friday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM . None. GM . None.

Update/Aviation . Fell Today through Thursday and Marine . CWC Thursday Night through Tuesday . Frye

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 1 mi110 min E 4.1 69°F 1022 hPa65°F
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 9 mi77 min 76°F 80°F1021.6 hPa
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 32 mi95 min 80°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 35 mi95 min 82°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 43 mi95 min 80°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 44 mi77 min NE 4.1G6 71°F 78°F1021.8 hPa
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 46 mi95 min 76°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL9 mi42 minNE 610.00 miFair74°F66°F76%1021.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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2 days agoNE6NE6--0W8NW8W9NW6NW11NW7NW7NE6NE10NE9NE10NE10NE12NE10NE10NE10NE12NE9NE9NE8

Tide / Current Tables for Marco, Big Marco River, Florida
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Marco
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:15 AM EDT     2.57 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:34 AM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:57 AM EDT     Full Moon
Wed -- 02:10 PM EDT     2.42 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:53 PM EDT     0.84 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Naples (outer coast), Florida
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Naples (outer coast)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:10 AM EDT     3.13 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:50 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:57 AM EDT     Full Moon
Wed -- 01:01 PM EDT     3.08 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:04 PM EDT     1.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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