Monday, September27, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Boulevard Gardens, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 7:12PM Monday September 27, 2021 2:14 AM EDT (06:14 UTC) Moonrise 10:37PMMoonset 12:00PM Illumination 67% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1002 Pm Edt Sun Sep 26 2021
.small craft should exercise caution...
Rest of tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers late in the evening. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 2 to 4 feet with occasional to 5 feet in the gulf stream. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers.
Monday night..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers through the night.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers through the night.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..East northeast winds around 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..East northeast winds around 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1002 Pm Edt Sun Sep 26 2021
Synopsis.. Light to moderate northeasterly breezes will continue over the next several days. Isolated showers will be possible over the atlantic waters each day with the return of possible Thunderstorms by late week.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of sep 25, 2021 at 1200 utc... 18 nautical miles east southeast of fowey rocks. 27 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 19 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 23 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Boulevard Gardens, FL
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location: 26.11, -80.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 270451 AAC AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL 1251 AM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

. 06z Aviation Update .

AVIATION(06Z TAFS).

VFR conditions should prevail through the forecast cycle. Easterly or northeasterly winds are expected and may become moderate during the daylight hours today. Otherwise, any convection should remain offshore away from the terminals today.

UPDATE . Many areas will remain dry tonight as an area of high pressure continues to build into the region behind a frontal boundary that has pushed off to the south. High pressure will continue to bring mainly dry conditions to the region throughout the day on Monday, however, a fast moving shower or two cannot be ruled out over the Atlantic waters as well as the east coast metro areas. While temperatures will remain seasonal across the region, there will be a noticeable drop in humidity on Monday as the drier air mass moves in. High temperatures will generally remain in the upper 80s to around 90 across most of South Florida on Monday.

PREV DISCUSSION . (Issued 237 PM EDT Sun Sep 26 2021)

SHORT TERM .

Today through Monday:

A broad mid-level trough will gradually progress through the region with surface high pressure building into the area from the north. This will allow drier air to work into the area aloft with diminishing rain chances into early next week.

Moisture channel imagery reveals drier air working into the region this morning with continental flow aloft. This is also evident in the NESDIS blended total precipitable water (PW) product, revealing a moisture gradient where PW values range from around 1.5 inches around Lake Okeechobee to nearly 2 inches over the Atlantic waters. Surface analysis places a surface trough from just north of central Cuba through the southeast Bahamas. The pressure gradient was beginning to tighten between this feature and building high pressure, resulting in breezy northeast flow over the Atlantic waters. This was noted in marine observations at Lake Worth and Fowey Rocks where speeds averaged 13-15 kt this morning.

While the moisture depth is gradually decreasing today it should remain sufficient across southern portions of our area for the development of a few showers and thunderstorms. In fact the 26.12z MFL sounding revealed over 2000 J/kg of surface-based CAPE with little in the way of CIN. When juxtaposed with modest speed and directional shear this afternoon (westerlies aloft and breezy low- level NE flow), there's even a conditional risk for a stronger storm or two. This risk, if realized, would be generally along and south of Alligator Alley. However given the setup it may end up being that the better strong storm chances end up being over the southern Atlantic waters. So Mariners venturing into these areas should remain weather-aware.

Given the breezy northeast flow did make a few adjustments to the short-term wind forecast by blending in more of the NBM 90th percentile, which is often more representative of wind conditions over the local waters during northeast flow events. As such expect cautionary conditions for small craft operators today. This also suggests an enhanced rip current risk should develop along the Atlantic beaches.

For Monday the moisture depth becomes even shallower with rain chances decreasing pretty substantially. Still can't rule out a few brief showers for the Atlantic waters and east coast as stratocumulus development is expected within a breezy northeast low- level wind regime.

Temperatures should cool by a few degrees with highs generally in the mid to upper 80s. Lows tonight should drop into the upper 60s around Lake Okeechobee and over the northern Everglades, otherwise 70s should prevail.

LONG TERM .

(Tuesday Through Thursday) . The long range models are still keeping the blocky pattern in place over the United States with mid to upper level troughs over the west coast and the east coast of the United States with a mid to upper level high over the Central United States. This will keep the stationary front over the Florida Keys and a low level high over the Gulf of Mexico. This weather pattern will allow for the northeast winds to remain in place over south Florida along with the drier air. Therefore, the only area that could see some isolated showers will be over the eastern areas of South Florida due to showers moving from the Atlantic waters.

Highs will be near normal for this time of year over South Florida with mid to upper 80s. Lows will also be near normal for this time of year with mid to upper 60s over the interior areas to lower to mid 70s over the east coast metro areas and around 70 over the west coast metro areas.

(Next Weekend) . The long range models is showing that the blocky pattern will break down over the United States allowing for the ridge of high pressure over the Gulf of mexico to move northeast into the Southeastern United States. At this time, the stationary front will be moving back northward into South Florida. This will allow for some return moisture to the region from the south. Therefore, the POPs will return back to the scattered range along with a few thunderstorms over South Florida.

Highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s over South Florida next weekend, but the lows will be warming up with lows around 70 over most areas, except mid to upper 70s east coast metro areas.

MARINE .

Gentle to moderate northeast breezes are expected over the next several days. Isolated showers will be possible over the Atlantic waters each day with the return of possible storms by late week. Occasional fresh breezes should bring cautionary conditions to the Atlantic waters this afternoon and evening.

BEACHES .

An enhanced rip current risk is expected for the east coast beaches today and should continue for the remainder of this week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Miami 74 88 74 88 / 10 20 10 20 West Kendall 72 89 73 89 / 10 20 10 20 Opa-Locka 73 88 74 88 / 10 20 10 20 Homestead 73 87 73 87 / 10 20 10 20 Fort Lauderdale 75 87 75 87 / 10 20 10 20 N Ft Lauderdale 75 86 75 87 / 10 20 10 20 Pembroke Pines 73 87 73 88 / 10 20 10 20 West Palm Beach 73 86 73 87 / 10 20 10 20 Boca Raton 73 85 74 87 / 10 20 10 20 Naples 70 90 70 89 / 10 10 10 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Update/Aviation . Frye

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 2 mi56 min NE 8.9 G 14 81°F 1018.1 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 26 mi56 min N 2.9 G 7 81°F 88°F1018.4 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 35 mi56 min NNE 12 G 14 81°F 84°F1017.6 hPa63°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 36 mi74 min NE 13 G 14 81°F 84°F1018 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL3 mi21 minNNE 410.00 miFair77°F69°F77%1017.4 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL6 mi21 minN 310.00 miFair77°F66°F69%1017.8 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL9 mi21 minNNE 4 miFair75°F66°F74%1018 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL10 mi21 minNE 510.00 miFair79°F63°F58%1017.7 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL15 mi21 minNNE 310.00 miFair77°F66°F69%1017.9 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL19 mi3.4 hrsENE 1010.00 miA Few Clouds79°F68°F70%1018.6 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL21 mi21 minNNE 310.00 miFair78°F68°F71%1017.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFLL

Wind History from FLL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5E8NE6E6NE4NW3N4NE9NE12
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4NW3E9NE6NE9
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NE4NE6NE10NE9NE4N3CalmNE3NE4N3CalmE5
2 days agoCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmW3W3CalmE4NE8E8E9S5SE3SW7S4W4NW4W3N3NE6CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Andrews Avenue bridge, New River, Fort Lauderdale, Florida
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Andrews Avenue bridge
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Mon -- 01:12 AM EDT     2.28 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:49 AM EDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:00 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:01 PM EDT     2.35 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:24 PM EDT     1.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.32.221.71.310.80.70.91.21.622.22.32.32.11.81.51.31.11.21.31.6

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
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Mon -- 02:14 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:29 AM EDT     -1.23 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:33 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:09 AM EDT     1.73 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 12:59 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:57 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:59 PM EDT     -0.95 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:07 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:25 PM EDT     1.41 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 11:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.310.2-0.7-1.2-1.2-1-0.7-0.40.41.31.71.61.40.8-0-0.7-1-0.8-0.7-0.5-0.10.71.3

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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