Sunrise 6:48 AM   Sunset 7:59 PM Moonrise 12:38 AM   Moonset 11:11 AM

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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1001 Am Edt Tue Apr 30 2024
Rest of today - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms. Tonight - E winds around 5 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. Wed - E winds around 5 kt becoming w. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Wed night - NE winds 5 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and tstms late in the evening. Thu - E se winds around 5 kt becoming s. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Thu night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Fri - E se winds 5 to 10 kt becoming S se. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Fri night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Sat - E se winds around 10 kt becoming se. Seas 2 ft or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.

GMZ600 1004 Am Cdt Tue Apr 30 2024
Synopsis - Strong winds that resulted from a wake low Monday evening are rapidly subsiding over the marine area. Winds will continue to decrease this morning, with a light southwesterly flow anticipated by this afternoon. High pressure passing over the area midweek will lead lighter and more variable winds. A light onshore flow will then develop over the marine area for the latter part of the week and into the early part of the weekend.

FXUS62 KMFL 301913 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 313 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024

New LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1247 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024

An unsettled couple of days are expected across South FL. A shortwave trough is expected to cross the area today and then sit just east of the area on Wednesday. Meanwhile, a surface trough that was sitting across the east coast metro this morning will slowly drift to the west throughout the course of today. SCT showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into evening, with the highest PoPs over interior South FL, however chances will remain along the coasts as well. Despite the trough axis moving east of the area overnight into tomorrow morning, residual moisture will linger across the area resulting in more SCT showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday. Main threat over the next couple days will be for locally heavy rain. While widespread flooding is not expected, PWAT values of 1.8-1.9 inches will result in high rainfall rates, and a quick 1- 2 inches per hour is possible in spots which could lead to some isolated urban flooding. Winds tonight over the interior are expected to be nearly calm, so some patchy fog is possible in the typical locations across the Everglades, around the lake, and interior SW FL.

High temps this afternoon will range from the lower 80s across the east coast metro to upper 80s across SW FL. A mild evening is expected with overnight lows ranging from the middle 60s around the lake to lower 70s close to the coasts. Temps will nudge higher a couple degrees on Wednesday with afternoon highs in the low to mid 80s across the east coast metro, to around 90 over interior SW FL.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 305 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024

As we move into the latter half of the week, the trough will make it's exit eastward into the Atlantic as a mid-level ridge gradually moves into the Southeast. With easterly flow and remnant moisture, there is a chance for isolated to scattered light showers on Thursday. However, through the majority of the long term, a weak body of surface high pressure will have the main influence on the conditions over the Peninsula, thus keeping it drier and warm. The high will be situated over the western Atlantic which will lead to consistent easterly flow near the surface. With the E/SE flow, there will be a chance (15-30%) for isolated to scattered showers daily, due to modest moisture advection and pooling. Showers and isolated storms could be enhanced further by daily gulf and sea breezes. However, in the current ensemble outlook, widespread heavy rainfall, or significantinstability, does not appear to be a threat for the long term. Caution will need to be taken with any slow-moving rain showers due to sensitivity to flash flooding, especially when the grounds are saturated.

Temperatures will be near to just above-normal through the extended period. The highs will be rise into the upper 80s to low 90s across the SW and interior, while remaining in the low to mid 80s along the Atlantic Coast. The overnight lows will be in the 60s, except for low to mid 70s across the east coast metro areas.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 709 AM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024

SCT showers will result in locally heavy rain along with sub VFR ceilings and Visbys today. SE winds increasing to 10-15 kts from late morning through the afternoon, although variable winds are briefly possible around convection. A westerly Gulf breeze is expected after 18Z at APF.

MARINE
Issued at 1247 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024

SCT showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected over the area waters the next couple of days which could lead to locally hazardous marine conditions. Outside of convection, mostly benign conditions are expected with E/SE winds 10-15 kts over the Atlantic waters and around 10 kts in the Gulf. A light westerly wind is expected over the Gulf waters during the afternoon on Wednesday. Seas generally 2- 4 ft in the Atlantic and 2 ft or less in the Gulf.

BEACHES
Issued at 1247 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024

A high risk of rip currents remains across the Atlantic beaches through this evening due to persistent easterly flow. The high risk will remain across the Palm Beaches through Wednesday due to a lingering swell, while conditions slightly improve at Broward and Miami-Dade beaches as the SE flow weakens, however an elevated threat will remain through much of the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 73 84 72 86 / 30 40 20 20 West Kendall 70 86 71 86 / 30 40 20 20 Opa-Locka 71 86 72 87 / 40 40 20 20 Homestead 71 85 71 84 / 30 30 20 20 Fort Lauderdale 73 83 74 84 / 40 40 20 20 N Ft Lauderdale 72 84 72 84 / 40 40 20 20 Pembroke Pines 72 86 72 86 / 40 40 20 20 West Palm Beach 70 84 70 85 / 40 40 20 20 Boca Raton 71 85 72 84 / 40 40 20 20 Naples 71 86 71 86 / 20 20 10 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for FLZ168.

High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ172-173.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Naples
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Tue -- 12:13 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:39 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:14 AM EDT     2.16 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:30 AM EDT     1.67 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:59 PM EDT     2.71 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Naples, Naples Bay, north end, Florida, Tide feet

Naples (outer coast)
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:39 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:48 AM EDT     1.96 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:13 AM EDT     1.82 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:33 PM EDT     2.73 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Naples (outer coast), Florida (2), Tide feet

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