Sunrise 6:38 AM   Sunset 7:55 PM Moonrise 3:15 AM   Moonset 3:26 PM

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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1000 Am Edt Sat May 4 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
Rest of today - E se winds 15 to 20 kt along the coast to E 15 to 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E se 3 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Tonight - E se winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E se 4 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms late in the evening. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Sun - E se winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt along the coast to E se 15 to 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E se 4 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A chance of showers.Sun night - E se winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E se 4 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A chance of showers. Mon - E se winds 15 to 20 kt along the coast to E se 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E se 3 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers. Mon night - SE winds 15 to 20 kt along the coast to E se 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E se 3 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers. Tue - E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers through the day. A slight chance of tstms. Tue night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers. Wed - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Am Edt Sat May 4 2024
Synopsis -
gentle to moderate easterly flow continues to prevail across the atlantic waters with southwesterly flow developing over gulf waters each afternoon. A few occasional isolated showers and Thunderstorms may be possible at times. Easterly winds could increase to near hazardous levels at times over the atlantic waters this weekend as high pressure builds over the western atlantic.
gulf stream hazards: none
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 04, 2024 at 12 utc - .
1 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 13 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 041604 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 1204 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

New SHORT TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1203 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

As an upper level perturbation advects across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and into the Florida Panhandle, a slight moistening in the 850mb to 700mb layer will occur in conjunction with colder 500mb values aloft (-9C to -10C). With the low-level flow remaining out of an easterly direction due to surface ridging remaining in firm control, the Atlantic sea-breeze will propagate inland with ease.
This will allow for convergence of the stronger Atlantic sea-breeze and weaker Gulf sea-breeze to occur over southwestern Florida.
Mesoscale ascent along this boundary could allow for an isolated thunderstorm or two to develop later this afternoon. Mid-level lapse rates remain fairly meager at 5 to 5.5 C/km and forecasted CAPE values appear to be marginal at best with CAMS hinting at values near 1000 J/kg. With the lack of shear in the vertical profile, the main hazards with thunderstorm activity today will be lightning and heavy rainfall concerns. In addition, given the orientation of the isolated storms along the boundary, certainly cannot rule out a brief funnel cloud if vorticity is ingested into a parent storm.
PoPs during the afternoon hours across southwestern Florida peak in the 30 to 50 percent range with activity propagating towards the Gulf coast metro as sunset approaches. Forecasted afternoon highs will top out in the mid 80s to near 90 degrees across southwestern Florida with highs in the low to mid 80s across the eastern half of the area thanks to the prevalent onshore flow. The overnight lows will trend in the low to mid 70s along the east coast while interior locations dip into the mid to upper 60s. A similar pattern will take place tomorrow with morning coastal showers along the east coast and then the potential of showers and storms across inland southwestern Florida tomorrow afternoon.

LONG TERM
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 314 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Surface high pressure stays focused to the east in the Atlantic, maintaining the light to moderate east to east-southeasterly flow across the region. 500 mb heights begin to increase into mid to late week as upper level ridging will build into the region from the west.

A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day next week with eastern areas more likely to see any weak activity during the early afternoon hours with the inland progression of the sea breeze. The east coast breeze will continue to push further inland with slightly better chances for isolated showers or storms across Southwest Florida. The PoPs then look to diminish even more into late next week as the upper level ridge strengthens.

The temperatures also respond as afternoon highs could reach the mid to even upper 90s across interior locations by Wednesday and Thursday of next week.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1203 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Breezy to gusty easterly flow will continue for the east coast terminals today with KAPF becoming westerly later this afternoon with the Gulf breeze. Showers and thunderstorms along the Gulf breeze could impact KAPF later this afternoon/evening. Shower activity overnight could result in intermittent MVFR cigs for the east coast terminals.

MARINE
Issued at 1203 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Breezy to gusty easterly winds with periods of enhancement, especially across the Atlantic waters over the next several days.
Isolated to scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms are possible each day, which could bring locally higher seas and gusty winds in and around shower/thunderstorm activity. Seas will generally remain at 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic waters and 2 feet or less across the Gulf waters. During wind enhancements, conditions could reach Small Craft Exercise Caution (SCEC) conditions.

BEACHES
Issued at 1203 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Breezy easterly flow will lead to a high risk for rip currents along the Atlantic beaches through the remainder of this weekend. The risk may remain elevated early next week, especially across the Palm Beach County beaches.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 74 84 74 84 / 20 20 10 20 West Kendall 71 85 71 86 / 20 20 20 20 Opa-Locka 73 85 73 86 / 20 20 10 20 Homestead 74 84 74 85 / 20 20 20 20 Fort Lauderdale 74 83 74 83 / 20 20 20 20 N Ft Lauderdale 74 83 74 84 / 20 20 10 20 Pembroke Pines 74 86 74 87 / 20 20 10 20 West Palm Beach 72 84 72 85 / 20 20 10 20 Boca Raton 73 85 74 85 / 20 20 10 20 Naples 71 88 71 89 / 40 30 10 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Palm Beach
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Sat -- 04:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:46 AM EDT     2.93 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:11 PM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:25 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:22 PM EDT     3.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Palm Beach, Florida, Tide feet

Lake Worth Pier
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Sat -- 04:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:16 AM EDT     3.07 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:32 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:25 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:53 PM EDT     3.28 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Lake Worth Pier, Florida, Tide feet

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