Saturday, October16, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cortez, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:29AMSunset 7:01PM Saturday October 16, 2021 5:43 AM EDT (09:43 UTC) Moonrise 4:10PMMoonset 2:44AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 339 Am Edt Sat Oct 16 2021
.small craft exercise caution tonight...
Today..East winds around 5 knots then becoming north late in the morning, then becoming northwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots then becoming north 10 to 15 knots after midnight, then increasing to 15 to 20 knots toward morning. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers late in the evening. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the late evening and early morning.
Sunday..North winds around 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Sunday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Monday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Monday night..East winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..East winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..East winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..East winds around 15 knots then becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 339 Am Edt Sat Oct 16 2021
Synopsis.. A diffuse cold front will pass over the waters from this evening into early Sunday with some deteriorating marine conditions likely. Cautionary headlines are in place for tonight with advisory headlines expected Sunday into Monday. High pressure builds in behind the front then moves east with winds diminishing and veering during the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cortez, FL
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location: 27.48, -82.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 160726 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 326 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021

DISCUSSION. Today-Sun: Upper ridging over FL retrogrades into the western Gulf of Mexico. An upper low near James Bay, Canada shifts into northern Quebec Province. A longwave trough extending south from this low initially reaches the north-central Gulf coast but pivots northeastward . across the eastern seaboard to the Atlantic coastal waters. At the surface high pressure with a relaxed gradient across the area slowly slips east. A frontal boundary accompanying the upper trough is propelled east and southeast . into north-central FL this evening then along the Florida Keys late Sun. High pressure builds in behind the front . with it's center tracking from the southern high plains to the lower Mississippi Valley.

Skies are mostly clear and will prevail through out the day. Patchy fog has already formed at a few Nature Coast locations . expect the fog to spread during the rest of the early morning hours . mainly to inland areas . but remain limited. The approaching frontal boundary is rather staved for moisture but could still produce isolated showers or a storm or two. These are expected this afternoon and early evening for parts of the Nature Coast . around the Tampa Bay Region in the late evening hours . and brushing along coastal southwest FL during the early morning hours. Sunday will be under the influence of a dry and stable northwest to north flow . rain free under clear/sunny skies. Temperatures a bit below seasonal in the north . around seasonal for central areas . and just above in the south. The only possible hazard could be a risk of rip currents Sun. But confidence is on the low side and will defer to later shifts to re-evaluate conditions.

Mon through Fri: The Atlantic upper trough lifts northeastward as the western Gulf ridge builds over the plains states early in the week. During the remainder of the week this ridge moves east and flattens over the eastern US in response to a series of upper lows/short wave troughs sliding along the Canadian/US border. Nearly zonal flow sets up over the area by Fri. The lower Mississippi Valley high pressure tracks east to the Atlantic by week's end . sprawling down over the Gulf and FL as it does.

The atmosphere continues dry and stable into Tue But by Wed. when the flow has become more easterly . moisture begins advecting into the southern counties then spreading northward Thu-Fri. This will support increasing rains chances going into the end of the week. Cool to near seasonal temperatures Mon slowly warm during the week.

AVIATION. 16/06Z-17/06Z. VFR conditions prevail as SKC gives way to FEW-SCT clouds. Patchy field fog will be possible this morning in normal areas . but have omitted from TAFs. A moisture starved frontal boundary approaches late in the main TAF period with PSBL MVFR VSBY and CIG in ISOLD SHRA AFT 03Z. Light to calm winds shift to NW in the afternoon AOB 09KT.

MARINE. Exercise caution headlines begins tonight and becomes Advisory conditions Sun into Mon as a front tracks through this evening and over night . with high pressure building in it's wake. The high pressure moves east during the week with winds diminishing and veering.

FIRE WEATHER. A weak front moves south over the fire districts this afternoon and during the overnight hours with some showers . a storm or two . and patchy fog. High pressure builds in Sun with a dry and stable northerly flow continuing into midweek . as the flow slowly veers.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 90 70 83 64 / 0 10 0 0 FMY 91 74 87 67 / 10 10 10 10 GIF 91 70 82 61 / 0 10 0 0 SRQ 89 71 84 63 / 0 20 0 0 BKV 89 63 81 54 / 10 20 0 0 SPG 89 72 81 68 / 0 10 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER . 09/Rude DECISION SUPPORT . 69/Close


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 13 mi55 min 73°F 83°F1013.8 hPa
MTBF1 14 mi55 min ESE 5.1G5.1
42098 15 mi47 min 83°F1 ft
CLBF1 18 mi109 min E 1G1.9 75°F 1013.2 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 20 mi55 min ESE 1.9G4.1 77°F 84°F1014 hPa
GCTF1 22 mi55 min 77°F 70°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 25 mi73 min SE 7.8G9.7 81°F 84°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 27 mi55 min 0G1 75°F 87°F1013.8 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 31 mi43 min ENE 5.1G6 75°F 84°F1013 hPa (-0.8)72°F
SKCF1 33 mi55 min NE 1.9G1.9
EBEF1 34 mi61 min 74°F 84°F1013.5 hPa
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 34 mi55 min NE 1G1.9
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 35 mi55 min ESE 4.1G6 78°F 84°F1014 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 47 mi109 min E 4.1G6 77°F 1014.3 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL9 mi50 minN 010.00 miFair73°F70°F90%1012.9 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL20 mi50 minSE 510.00 miFair79°F71°F77%1013.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSRQ

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr0E4E3NE5E6E406W11W10W8N9NW10NW8N5N4N4N4NE5E5E6E5E30
1 day agoNE3NE5NE5E5E5E6NE80E8S35W7W11NW9NW5N5N5E5E6E4E4NE40E3
2 days agoNE6NE5NE5E6E7E7E8E5E6E7E9E5SE8E4E7SE5E6E7E8E7E3NE4E3NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Cortez, Sarasota Bay, Florida
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Cortez
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:11 AM EDT     1.31 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:43 AM EDT     2.19 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:30 PM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:31 PM EDT     1.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.7
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1.6
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1.5
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1.4
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1.3
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1.9
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1.6
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0.8
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1.3
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1.6
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1.8


Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay Entrance, Florida Current
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Tampa Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:15 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:36 AM EDT     -0.55 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 07:03 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:30 AM EDT     0.65 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 11:33 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:51 PM EDT     -2.07 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:43 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:45 PM EDT     1.63 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.1
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0.6
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-0
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0.6
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0.6
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0.3
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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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