Tuesday, September28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Green Springs, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:19AMSunset 7:20PM Tuesday September 28, 2021 12:28 AM EDT (04:28 UTC) Moonrise 11:30PMMoonset 1:05PM Illumination 58% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 807 Pm Edt Mon Sep 27 2021
Rest of tonight..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming east around 10 knots in the late evening and overnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming north in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots then becoming east in the late evening and overnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Northeast winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday night..East winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Saturday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 807 Pm Edt Mon Sep 27 2021
Synopsis..High pressure moves off the southeast u.s. Coast through mid-week with northeast to east winds continuing except for a turn onshore with the sea breeze each afternoon. A front moves through the region late in the week, with a chance for showers along with an increase in winds and seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Green Springs, FL
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location: 27.53, -82     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 280006 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 806 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

UPDATE. Another quiet and relatively drier day today with hardly a shower to speak of across the forecast area. No concerns for the overnight period and another warm and dry day is expected for Tuesday. No updates needed to the ongoing forecast.

AVIATION. VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. Light and variable winds overnight become northeast/east through the day Tuesday and then northwest with the sea breeze mainly for KTPA, KPIE, and KSRQ.

MARINE. High pressure moves off the southeast U.S. coast through mid-week with northeast to east winds continuing except for a turn onshore with the sea breeze each afternoon. A front moves through the region late in the week, with a chance for showers along with an increase in winds and seas.

Prev Discussion. /issued 218 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021/

DISCUSSION . Upper level ridging in the western Gulf of Mexico extending north shifts to the central Gulf and Mid-Mississippi Valley by late Tue . displacing an east coast trough to Atlantic coastal waters. High pressure centered on the NC/SC coast slips offshore tonight and continues east Tue . but stretching back across FL and much of the Gulf.

These features will maintain a dry and stable atmosphere with northwest flow aloft and lower level northeast to east flow. Model PWAT values run 1 inch or less. Skies will be clear to mostly clear with nil rain chances. Temperatures run near seasonal for highs while the low are slightly below. Northeast and east winds prevail but shift to onshore near the coast in the afternoons.

From Wed through next Mon: The upper trough over the Atlantic coastal waters slowly pivots northeastward as it's parent low drops out of Quebec, Canada and aloft New England then the Canadian Maritimes. This allows the upper ridging from the central Gulf to Mid-Mississippi Valley to slide across the southeast quarter of the nation to the Atlantic waters . flattening some . by Mon when a long wave trough moves into the nations's mid-section. Atlantic high pressure across the area scoots east toward the end of the week as a front sweeps across the south US then FL. Canadian High pressue crosses the Great Lakes Fri and settles into the Mid- Atlantic states for the weekend then treks east early next week while reaching back to FL and the Gulf of Mexico. The front stalls along the north Cuban coast and through the Bahamas where a wave may form on it.

The forecast continues rain free and sunny/clear through Thu. Then the front will provide showers and storms along with breezy winds. While the high in the wake of the front brings some drying conditions this will be offset by the stalled front and possible wave to the south So. our first OCT weekend could see some showers and a few possible storms.

AVIATION . 27/18Z-28/18Z VFR. FEW to OCNL SCT clouds. SKC overnight. NE winds AOB 11KT this afternoon . except shifting to NW at TPA/PIE/SRQ. Winds diminish tonight to light and VRBL or E.

MARINE . High pressure dominates with prevailing northeast or east winds . not more than 15 knots with seas 3 feet or less However. near shore waters can expect an onshore shift in the afternoons and a nocturnal easterly surge sets up most nights. A front sweeps through late in the week with high pressure in it's wake and will bring showers and storms along with some wind/seas up to 20 knots/4 feet.

FIRE WEATHER . Dry stable air dominates through mid week with near zero rain chances. However sufficient low level moisture will preclude any low RH concerns. Moisture begins to return toward the end of the week . bringing in some chances of rain.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 73 88 72 89 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 71 89 70 90 / 0 0 0 10 GIF 68 88 68 90 / 0 0 0 10 SRQ 71 88 69 88 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 64 89 65 90 / 0 0 0 10 SPG 76 88 74 88 / 0 0 0 0

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Today: 8 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tomorrow: 2

For Additional Information On Sea Breeze Regimes go to the link below https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE . 05/Carlisle Previous Discussion . Rude


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 31 mi58 min 75°F 86°F1018.3 hPa
GCTF1 32 mi58 min 78°F 66°F
MTBF1 33 mi58 min ESE 8.9 G 11
EBEF1 35 mi58 min 76°F 85°F1018.1 hPa
SKCF1 36 mi64 min ENE 4.1 G 5.1
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 36 mi64 min ENE 5.1 G 7
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 36 mi64 min ENE 4.1 G 7
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 37 mi58 min ESE 5.1 G 7 77°F 88°F1018.5 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 37 mi58 min ESE 8 G 15 79°F 85°F1018.7 hPa
CLBF1 39 mi94 min ESE 4.1 G 9.9 79°F 1017.6 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 40 mi88 min E 8 G 11 78°F 86°F1017.7 hPa (+1.1)67°F

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL31 mi35 minESE 810.00 miFair76°F66°F72%1017.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSRQ

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7E6E6E5E5E5E5E5E6E7E8E8E10NE7E6N11N8N6NE5NE3CalmE6E9E8
1 day agoE7E8E7CalmE4E5E5E6E6E6--CalmE3W8W9W10W9W8W8NW3N4NE6E10E8
2 days agoE7E7NE6E5E6E5E5CalmE5E6SE8E4SE7E6W11W11W11NW7NW8N4N4NE4NE6E6

Tide / Current Tables for Redfish Point, Manatee River, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Redfish Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:24 AM EDT     2.16 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 02:07 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:00 PM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:58 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.61.71.92.12.22.12.11.91.61.41.10.90.70.50.50.50.70.91.11.31.41.51.5

Tide / Current Tables for Shell Point, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Shell Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:02 AM EDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 02:07 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:03 PM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:58 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.51.61.822.12.12.121.71.41.20.90.70.50.40.50.60.811.21.31.41.5

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