Sunrise 6:36 AM   Sunset 8:15 PM Moonrise 3:54 PM   Moonset 3:10 AM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 216 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
Tonight - West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Monday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Monday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tuesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - North winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wednesday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Friday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 216 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis - Persistent long period swells from the S gulf are keeping seas elevated into Monday. A frontal boundary will continue to slowly moving across the se gulf tonight with a few showers or Thunderstorms across the waters. Weak high pressure gradually builds into the region by mid week with winds and seas slowly subsiding.

FXUS62 KTBW 191827 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 227 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024

DISCUSSION
Low level inversion earlier today really hindered convective activity ahead of the frontal boundary for most of the area. But diurnal heating S of the front is finally breaking the cap allowing storms to tap into 3000+ CAPE airmass for possible strong afternoon thunderstorms over Highlands Co and may still see some isolated thunderstorms into SW FL until the front finally moves through later this afternoon/evening. Elsewhere, dangerous rip currents continue along areas beaches through sunset.

The upper shortwave from the Carolinas into N FL is progged to briefly stall in the W Atlantic with troughing extending back over the area for Monday and Tuesday. The frontal boundary should be over S FL with weak high pressure building into N FL while residual modest support and moister to produce diurnal seabreeze showers or storms mainly in the interior areas Monday and Tuesday during the late afternoon and evening hours.

Upper ridging to build over the region from the SW Gulf around mid week with surface ridging building along the E Seaboard as shortwaves move E well N of the area late week and over the weekend, eroding the ridge while the surface ridge weakens slightly and shifts a bit E into the Atlantic.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Generally VFR conditions all terminal next 24 hrs with occasionally gusty NW winds behind the frontal boundary rest of the afternoon.
Have left VCTS in SW sites for lingering potential along the front thru about 21Z when winds should shift NW and more stable air moves in. Light W-NW winds overnight and clearing skies into Monday.

MARINE
Persistent long period swells from the S Gulf are keeping seas elevated into Monday. A frontal boundary will continue to slowly moving across the SE Gulf tonight with a few showers or thunderstorms across the waters. Weak high pressure gradually builds into the region by mid week with winds and seas slowly subsiding.

FIRE WEATHER
High pressure is expected to build into the region with lingering afternoon rain chances over interior areas Monday and Tuesday.
High pressure and drier air will finally filter into the area mid to late week with low RHs and warming temps.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 76 88 72 90 / 10 10 10 20 FMY 76 91 72 92 / 30 30 10 30 GIF 72 90 70 90 / 20 30 10 40 SRQ 75 89 71 91 / 20 10 10 20 BKV 68 89 65 91 / 10 20 0 30 SPG 78 88 76 90 / 10 10 10 20

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...None.

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Redfish Point
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Sun -- 04:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:10 AM EDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:36 AM EDT     1.82 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:55 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:14 PM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Redfish Point, Manatee River, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Shell Point
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Sun -- 12:31 AM EDT     1.47 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:13 AM EDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:14 PM EDT     1.80 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:55 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:17 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Shell Point, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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