Sunday, January16, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Viera West, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 5:50PM Sunday January 16, 2022 5:01 AM EST (10:01 UTC) Moonrise 4:43PMMoonset 6:23AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 348 Am Est Sun Jan 16 2022
.gale warning in effect through late tonight...
Today..South winds 25 to 30 knots becoming southwest 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Gusts up to 45 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet. A dominant period 7 seconds. Very rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers and chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..West winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. A dominant period 5 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A dominant period 5 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Wednesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet.
Thursday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 348 Am Est Sun Jan 16 2022
Synopsis..A strong cold front will cross the local atlantic waters today, preceded by a fast moving band of strong to isolated severe storms. Very hazardous boating conditions are expected into Monday. Conditions will improve into midweek as high pressure settles near the area allowing winds and seas to subside.
Gulf stream hazards..South to southwest winds increasing 25 to 30 knots with frequent gusts to gale force today, becoming west tonight. Seas building 8 to 10 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Saturday, january 15th. 49 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 36 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 29 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 20 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 13 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Viera West, FL
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location: 28.21, -80.76     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 160824 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 324 AM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

DISCUSSION.

. Line of Fast Moving Strong to Severe Storms Today . . Turning Colder Tonight .

Current-Today . Early this morning, isolated showers have developed over the warmer Gulf Stream waters, moving northeastward from the Palm Beach County coast to offshore from Cape Canaveral. Mostly clear skies are present for areas south of I-4, with a gradual increase in clouds over the next few hours and especially towards daybreak with the approaching cold front. A pocket of lower PW values spreads across much of east central FL, dropping to near 0.70". Moisture will continue to increase through the remainder of the morning as the cold front, now positioned parallel to Mobile Bay and the FL/AL border, rapidly advances towards the area. The southeast radar mosaic shows messy convection over most of the region, but a segment of storms extends south of the FL Big Bend, which has already produced tornadoes this morning. Ahead of this line, discrete cells have popped over the GOMEX, shifting towards the Nature Coast.

Over the next few hours, the cold front will continue to make its way across the Gulf of Mexico, with the squall line moving onshore to the west central FL coastline just prior to sunrise. The line is expected to progress quickly this morning, reaching Lake County by 9am, the Space Coast by late morning and clearing past the Treasure Coast early this afternoon. Models have been in very good agreement with the timing of this line, even yesterday, so confidence is quite high in its fast motion. However, the discrete cells that have developed ahead of this line might add an additional uncertainty factor, which may mean an earlier start to storms especially if this activity maintains its momentum.

Regardless, strong to severe thunderstorms are anticipated areawide today, and although instability parameters aren't ideal, damaging wind gusts and a few brief tornadoes will be the main concerns through the afternoon. Helicity values are quite impressive this morning especially due to very strong low level shear, with winds increasing to 40-50kt just off the surface. Forecast soundings not keen on widespread CAPE this morning, with a max of 600J/kg just after sunrise. Still, thunderstorms embedded in the line of widespread showers may be able to overcome these limitations, especially with 20-25 mph of gradient flow. Damaging wind gusts of 60 mph will be possible areawide with this quick moving line through the early afternoon with PoPs of 90-100% for all east central FL locations. Rainfall amounts of 0.50-1" with high rain rates as the line moves through but dry antecedent conditions wouldn't pose a flood concern.

Not only will there be a severe threat, but as it was hinted above, gradient winds will reach 20-25 mph sustained, with gusts over 35 mph by the afternoon. South winds will increase just prior to the squall's arrival, then veering southwest to west by noontime. A Wind Advisory will be in effect the entire day for all of east central FL, with gusts up to 40 mph possible along the immediate coastline. Dense cloud cover will spread over the area today, limiting highs to the upper 60s across the north to mid 70s for the Space and Treasure Coasts.

Evening-Tonight . The pre-frontal line of storms will rush southeast across the area through the afternoon, exiting to southeast FL and the FL Keys well before sunset. Lingering light showers may persist into the early evening hours but will clear north to south as drier air makes a return. Winds will stay elevated early in the night, but drop below advisory criteria soon after sunset, continuing to veer northwest and falling to less than 10 mph by sunrise. Still, temperatures will begin a cool down tonight, dropping to the low to mid 40s across the north and upper 40s/low 50s south of Orlando. Combined with wind speeds of 5-10 mph, wind chill readings could drop to the upper 30s across Volusia and northern Lake counties for a brief period tomorrow morning.

Mon/Mon Night . Deep low pressure will continue to lift N/NE across PA/NY and away from the area Mon but breezy W/NW flow will persist. Despite mostly sunny skies, max temps will hold in the lower 60s north of Orlando and upper 60s across Okeechobee/ Treasure coast. High pressure will build over the area Mon night and Tue allowing winds to decrease. The high will not be directly overhead Mon night, rather to the NW near AL/GA/FL border so a light N/NW wind flow should exist. Although winds are not expected to be calm, patchy frost will be possible over normally colder and wind protected locations north of Orlando as min temps dip into the mid 30s by Tue morning. Min temps in the upper 30s to mid 40s elsewhere. With the dropoff in winds across the area, wind chill values will not be a significant factor.

Tue/Tue night . Light north wind to start will veer NE then E as high pressure pushes of the southeast US coast. Another day with max temps in the low to mid 60s across the area under mostly sunny skies. Not as cold along the coast Tue night with a light onshore flow holding temps in the low to mid 50s along the immediate coast but dropping into the low and mid 40s inland with one more round of upper 30s across north Lake/NW Volusia.

Wed-Sat . Modification of the cool/dry airmass will occur though no meaningful rain chances through Thu. High pressure will push quickly east over the Atlc waters Wed with a trailing ridge axis across the area producing a light S-SE flow. A weak front will sag southward into north FL Thu then GFS/ECMWF models diverge in their solutions. For now, will keep small PoPs (20-30 percent) for Fri-Sat though it is possible that Fri PoPs may need to be increased and Sat may be dry. Forecast confidence is low late in the week. Max temps in the low to mid 70s Wed and mid to upper 70s Thu then falling back into the 60s by Sat. One more morning of upper 30s possible over far northwest FA on Wed then moderating low temps into the 50s by Fri morning. Some cooling back into the 40s on Sat morning across the north half.

AVIATION. VFR thru daybreak. S winds will increase quickly due to tightening gradient ahead of approaching cold front, becoming 13-18 knots soon after 12Z for most sites. Maintained the mention of LLWS, with winds at 2000ft increasing to 45-50 knots through the mid afternoon. A pre- frontal squall line will reach KLEE by 11/12Z this morning, advancing through all terminals by 19Z. Made minor adjustments to TEMPO timing, but otherwise forecast appears on track with TSRA expected at all sites through the afternoon. Wind gusts over 35 knots will be possible within this line, especially with the added factor of gradient winds nearing 20 knots through the afternoon. By 21/22Z, shower activity will come to an end and SW winds veering W, decreasing to 12-15 knots overnight.

MARINE. Today-Tonight . Marine conditions rapidly deteriorate this morning with a tightening pressure gradient ahead of an approaching cold front. South to southwest winds increase quickly before daybreak to 20-25 knots, further increasing through most of the day to 25-20 knots, with gusts up to 45 knots. Seas will build quickly from 5-7 ft to 8-10 ft in the offshore waters. A Gale Warning remains in effect for all local marine zones. A squall line will move across the waters this morning through the afternoon with widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms that will produce frequent lightning strikes and gusty winds.

By the late afternoon and early evening, the line of storms will move south of Jupiter Inlet, with drying conditions behind the boundary. Winds will slowly taper and veer westerly, but the Gale Warning will remain in effect for the offshore marine waters to Monday morning.

Mon/Mon Night . Westerly pressure gradient slowly relaxes as deep low pressure lifts NE away from the area. A Small Craft Advisory (SCA) will be necessary to replace the Gale warning esp over the offshore waters with 20-25 knots. Will transition to a Caution headline nearshore as winds fall below 20 knots during the day. Seas starting out 6-8 ft offshore and 4-6 ft nearshore will subside below 4 ft close to the coast in the aftn.

Tue-Thu . Marine conditions will steadily improve through mid week as high pressure builds over the area and the pressure gradient relaxes. N/NW winds around 15 knots to start Tue will decrease 10 knots or less in the aftn. Wind flow veers quickly around to E/SE by Wed morning as high pressure pushes seaward. Then the next front approaching from the NW will produce a westerly (offshore) flow Thu of 5-10 knots. Seas 1-3 ft Wed-Thu. Weather conditions will remain dry.

FIRE WEATHER. A band of fast moving strong to isolated severe storms will sweep across the area this morning and early afternoon containing a period of heavy rain and strong wind gusts. Behind the precipitation, windy conditions will develop, producing excellent smoke dispersion with W/SW winds 15-20 mph with gusts around 35 mph.

Much colder/drier conditions return Mon-Wed with patchy frost possible Tue/Wed mornings over normally colder rural portions of the interior. Min RH values Mon aftn will dip below 40 percent N/W of I-4 and 40-45 percent elsewhere, then 32-38 percent across the interior on Tue with 45-50 percent near the coast. Dispersion values will be Very Good Monday with westerly sfc and transport winds but Fair to Poor Tuesday as winds become light North.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 71 43 63 39 / 100 10 0 0 MCO 70 49 65 41 / 90 10 0 0 MLB 73 48 67 41 / 100 0 0 0 VRB 77 49 69 41 / 90 0 0 0 LEE 69 47 64 39 / 100 10 0 0 SFB 70 46 64 40 / 100 10 0 0 ORL 70 49 64 42 / 100 10 0 0 FPR 75 49 68 40 / 100 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Wind Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST this evening for Coastal Volusia-Indian River-Inland Volusia-Martin- Northern Brevard-Northern Lake-Okeechobee-Orange-Osceola- Seminole-Southern Brevard-Southern Lake-St. Lucie.

AM . Gale Warning until 4 AM EST Monday for Flagler Beach to Volusia- Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm.

Gale Warning until 7 AM EST Monday for Flagler Beach to Volusia- Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



SHORT TERM . Smith LONG TERM . Kelly AVIATION . Smith


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 17 mi44 min SSE 17G22 68°F 69°F1010.1 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 18 mi36 min 68°F4 ft
SIPF1 29 mi32 min 65°F 64°F1012 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 37 mi32 min S 23G29 73°F 73°F1009.4 hPa65°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 90 mi50 min ESE 14G21

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL9 mi66 minS 1410.00 miFair66°F57°F72%1010.6 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL10 mi69 minSSE 1010.00 miFair64°F54°F70%1010.7 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL21 mi66 minS 1410.00 miFair68°F57°F69%1010.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCOF

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrNW6W6W5SW3W400SW4SW3E4E10SE9SE9--SE9SE10SE8SE11S8S7S10S11S12S14
1 day agoW9W14W11W12NW13NW12NW8NW9NW7NW9W11NW8NW7W9NW6NW5000W6W5NW8NW9NW4
2 days agoN6NW4N5NW4NW5NW5NW6N4--NW6W8W11NW10W9W11W17W15W14W14W13W12W11W14W13

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:14 AM EST     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:22 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 06:36 AM EST     3.40 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:49 PM EST     0.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:41 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:30 PM EST     3.05 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Patrick Air Force Base, Florida, Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:26 AM EST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:22 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 06:47 AM EST     3.35 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 01:01 PM EST     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:42 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:41 PM EST     3.00 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Canova Beach, Florida, Tide feet
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