Thursday, October28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Clermont, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:35AMSunset 6:46PM Thursday October 28, 2021 5:13 PM EDT (21:13 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:26PM Illumination 45% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 339 Pm Edt Thu Oct 28 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday evening...
Tonight..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 5 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. A dominant period 12 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A dominant period 12 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Monday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Monday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 339 Pm Edt Thu Oct 28 2021
Synopsis.. Southerly winds and benign seas will continue to increase as a squall line moves through the local waters into this evening. Boating conditions will remain hazardous through Friday night with strong southwest to west winds and seas building further well offshore. Conditions will slowly improve by the beginning of the workweek.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday, october 26th. 39 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Clermont, FL
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location: 28.55, -81.75     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 282037 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 437 PM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021

DISCUSSION.

Thru tonight . Increased shear is producing numerous broad rotational structures in cells this afternoon assocd with a broken squall line ahead of a strong cold front. The band will continue to push SE early this evening with individual cells racing toward the E/NE. After coordination with SPC and TBW, have expanded the tornado watch to include Brevard, Indian River and Okeechobee counties and locally extended (in time) to 7 pm. Meanwhile, we will continue to clear counties across the north behind the line. It is possible we will be able to clear all counties before 7 pm.

The front will push across central FL tonight and the main convective line will push south of Martin county by late evening. Have kept the forecast dry behind the front but there may be isolated showers pushing east from the Gulf across northern sections. Min temps will range mainly in the mid to upper 60s.

Friday (Previous) . The strong cold front and associated line of thunderstorms is forecast to be south of the Treasure Coast by sunrise on Friday. Drier air filters in behind the front, with PWATs forecast to drop below 1" across the area. However, model soundings show all of the moisture concentrated between 700-850mb, and latest guidance is insistent on rather high rain chances for Friday, especially along/north of I-4. Looking at the synoptic picture, a very large cutoff low will be centered over the TN River Valley, with the base of the low across the northeastern Gulf Coast. A jet streak rounding the base of the low will maintain strong winds aloft, preventing significant vertical mixing of the narrow low-level moisture layer with the drier air above it.

This should allow scattered showers to develop in the eastern Gulf/Tampa Bay area and progress eastward across the peninsula. These showers will be racing northeastward at around 35-45 mph, and any downpours could be accompanied by gusty winds. As a result, looking at a 30-40 percent chance of rain from Melbourne northward, and a 20 percent chance for the Treasure Coast. No lightning storms are expected. Cooler across the norther areas as highs reach around 80 degrees, increasing to the mid 80s for the Treasure Coast.

Saturday-Sunday . A few showers could linger into Saturday, though rain chances are only around 15 percent. Then, conditions should dry out on completely by Sunday as the large cutoff low moves into the western Atlantic causing a reinforcing cold front to move across Central FL on Saturday night. Breezy conditions continue into Saturday with west winds around 15 mph and some higher gusts.

As promised, the first real cool down of the fall season arrives this weekend. The initial surge of cooler air is expected for areas north of I-4 on Friday night into Saturday morning where lows drop into the upper 50s, and low 60s elsewhere. For Saturday afternoon, highs remain in the mid/upper 70s from Kissimmee to Titusville northward, and around 80 degrees from Melbourne south.

Cooler still for Saturday night into Sunday morning as lows drop into the mid to upper 50s for most, except low 60s for the immediate Space/Treasure Coast. Highs on Sunday in the upper 70s and up to around 80 degrees in the Treasure Coast.

Monday-Wednesday . High pressure builds across the region for the first half of next week, maintaining mostly dry conditions. Near normal temperatures are forecast with highs in the low 80s, and overnight lows in the low to mid 60s.

AVIATION. A strong cold front will continue to move into east-central Florida with a line of strong storms forming ahead of the frontal boundary. Widespread showers and lightning storms are likely to continue this afternoon with TEMPO groups for all TAF sites. Best chance for strong storms will shift from northwest to southeast through this evening with TEMPO groups for Thunderstorms from 18Z-21Z at LEE and from 23Z-02Z at SUA as the front moves to the east-northeast. Winds will be breezy from the south-southwest with potentially damaging gusts in some storms. VFR conditions are expected overnight behind the front but breezy west-southwest winds may gust up to 25kts at times.

MARINE. Friday-Saturday (previous) . Hazardous boating conditions continue Friday as tight pressure gradient maintains SW/WSW winds 20-25 knots behind the cold front. Seas 4-6 feet nearshore and up to 7 feet offshore. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through Friday night. Boating conditions improve a bit on Saturday, however small craft will probably need to exercise caution due to west winds around 15-20 knots. Seas 3-5 feet.

Sunday-Monday . A reinforcing cold front will move through the area Saturday night, causing winds to veer NW at 10-15 knots on Sunday. Seas diminish to 2-3 feet nearshore and 4-5 feet offshore. High pressure builds into the region on Monday with northeast winds around 10 knots and seas 2-3 feet.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 65 80 59 76 / 20 30 30 10 MCO 68 81 63 78 / 20 30 30 10 MLB 69 83 63 79 / 40 20 20 20 VRB 70 87 63 82 / 60 20 20 20 LEE 66 80 61 75 / 20 30 30 10 SFB 67 79 61 75 / 20 30 30 10 ORL 67 79 63 75 / 20 30 30 10 FPR 69 85 61 80 / 70 20 20 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Tornado Watch until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for Coastal Volusia- Inland Volusia-Northern Lake-Orange-Osceola-Seminole- Southern Lake.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Saturday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



Volkmer/Kelly/Leahy/Sedlock/Fehling


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 56 mi61 min SW 7G11
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 56 mi61 min S 8G11

Wind History for TPA Cruise Terminal 2, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Leesburg International Airport, FL19 mi20 minS 1010.00 miOvercast77°F74°F90%1005.1 hPa
Orlando Executive Airport, FL22 mi20 minS 510.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F77°F94%1005.8 hPa
Kissimmee Gateway Airport, FL24 mi17 minSSW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F74°F90%1006.1 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL24 mi20 minSSW 15 G 2010.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F73°F79%1005.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLEE

Wind History from LEE (wind in knots)
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1 day agoW8W8W6W5W5W6W5NW5NW4NW3N5NW4NW40N40N30S60W4NW5NW3W3
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Tide / Current Tables for Chassahowitzka, Chassahowitzka River, Florida
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Chassahowitzka
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:49 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:05 PM EDT     0.58 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:06 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Thu -- 06:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:00 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Chassahowitzka, Chassahowitzka River, Florida (2)
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Chassahowitzka
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:00 AM EDT     0.41 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:21 AM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:46 AM EDT     0.45 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:06 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Thu -- 06:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:55 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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