Sunrise 6:45 AM   Sunset 8:00 PM Moonrise 11:52 PM   Moonset 8:58 AM

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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 324 Pm Edt Sun Apr 28 2024
Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of sprinkles after midnight. Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A dominant period 7 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers. Monday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers in the morning. Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Thursday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Friday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 324 Pm Edt Sun Apr 28 2024
Synopsis - Strong high pressure off the carolinas will keep onshore winds moderate to fresh through the next couple of days. Boating conditions remain poor, and isolated showers will continue through mid week, when boating conditions are forecast to improve.
Gulf stream hazards - East winds 15 to 20 knots and seas 4 to 6 feet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Friday, april 26th.
41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KMLB 281945 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 345 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Key Messages: -High risk of rip currents at Atlantic beaches.
-Poor to hazardous boating conditions continue tonight.
-Slight rain and storm chances early this week.

Through Tonight...We have developed a healthy cu field this afternoon, save for the coast where a sea breeze is embedded in the easterly flow. A handful of stray showers / sprinkles have dotted the shoreline this afternoon, but the subsidence inversion resides just above H85 which is limiting appreciable shower coverage for now. Into tonight, CAMs bring another batch of deeper moisture from NE of the Bahamas toward our coastline by dawn.
Much of the night should be dry with only sprinkles noted east of I-95, especially after midnight. Lows 65-72F near the coast, with low/mid 60s in most inland locales.

Monday...A mid-level ridge axis scoots east of our longitude as surface high pressure remains entrenched between Myrtle Beach and Bermuda. E/SE winds continue but subside slightly as the pressure gradient tries to relax a little bit. 28/12Z HRRR members indicate that the moisture profile deepens tomorrow (lowest 250 mb), likely prompting somewhat better coverage of onshore-moving showers. For now, we have a slight chance (20%) only along the coast. Cloud- bearing winds veer more to the SE which could keep the activity from getting quite as far inland as what we saw yesterday. Partly sunny skies prevail again, with highs in the low 80s along the coast to the mid 80s from Clermont to Orlando to Okeechobee.

Monday Night-Tuesday...Isolated rain chances are forecast to continue Monday night, mainly along and east of I-95, as marine showers work onshore. Locations along the Treasure Coast could pick up to 0.20" of rain by daybreak Tuesday. Temperatures overnight into Tuesday remain mild in the 60s, close to 70 degrees at the coast. An upper ridge axis slides east on Tuesday as a weak mid level wave moves across Florida. The resulting afternoon sea breeze may become a bit more active, supporting showers and an isolated storm as it pushes inland. Right now, the highest storm chances look focused south of Melbourne, from I-95 along the Treasure Coast to Okeechobee County.

Wednesday-Saturday...As mentioned in this morning's forecast, the pattern will remain largely unchanged through late week as high pressure maintains its influence over the western Atlantic, southeast U.S., and Caribbean. Drier air gradually intrudes from the north Thursday into early next weekend, reducing cloud cover and leaving room for plenty of sunshine. Therefore, a gradual increase in daytime highs remains forecast from Wednesday onward, with inland locations reaching the upper 80s to low 90s and coastal sites staying slightly cooler due to the east coast sea breeze. Overnight lows remain seasonable in the mid 60s.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Persistence is the theme here with continued easterly winds in the boundary layer from 10-15 KT, occasionally gusting to around 20 KT through early evening. Much of the period will be rain-free with VFR conds, however a 20% shower chance remains near coastal terminals into Monday. Any MVFR CIGs should be rather brief in the vicinity of showers.

MARINE
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Tonight-Monday...Poor boating conditions stick around over the local Atlantic. Seas will be slow to subside tonight as east winds persist from 12-17 KT. Moderate ESE breezes continue on Monday from 10-15 KT. So, expect seas 4-6 FT tonight to gradually taper toward 3-5 FT tomorrow. Inshore/Intracoastal boaters will experience a moderate chop. 20-30% chance of showers through the period.

Tuesday-Thursday...Continued improvement to boating conditions is forecast through mid week and favorable conditions will likely last into early next weekend. SE winds 10-15 kt Tuesday slacken to around 10-13 kt Wednesday and Thursday. Seas 3-4 ft nearshore Tuesday, up to 5 ft offshore. By mid to late week, seas fall to 2-4 ft. Isolated showers and even a lightning storm or two is possible over the waters, especially on Tuesday.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Monday...Steady east-southeast winds from 10-15 mph with gusts to around 20 mph are expected. This will combine with RH minima from 35-40% generally west of Orlando to Okeechobee to, yet again, prompt fire-sensitive weather conditions in the afternoon.

Tuesday-Saturday...Southeast winds persist 10-15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph each afternoon. Minimum relative humidity values recover a bit Tuesday before falling again into the 35-40 percent range mid to late week, leading to fire-sensitive conditions each afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 65 81 65 83 / 10 20 10 20 MCO 63 86 65 86 / 0 10 0 20 MLB 69 81 68 82 / 10 20 10 30 VRB 68 83 66 83 / 10 20 10 30 LEE 63 86 65 87 / 0 10 0 20 SFB 63 86 65 86 / 0 10 0 20 ORL 64 86 66 86 / 0 10 0 20 FPR 67 82 65 83 / 10 20 20 30

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for AMZ570- 572-575.

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Titusville
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Sun -- 02:43 AM EDT     3.93 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:34 AM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Sun -- 09:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:26 PM EDT     3.94 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:07 PM EDT     3.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Titusville, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet

Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
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Sun -- 06:09 AM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:44 AM EDT     2.16 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:22 PM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida (2), Tide feet

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