Sunrise 6:36 AM   Sunset 8:18 PM Moonrise 4:56 PM   Moonset 3:43 AM

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GMZ870 Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 To 60 Nm- 329 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Today - North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southwest 3 feet at 7 seconds and northwest 1 foot at 4 seconds. Tonight - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: north 2 feet at 4 seconds and southwest 2 feet at 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Tuesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and southwest 2 feet at 7 seconds. Tuesday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 7 seconds. Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 6 seconds. Wednesday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 6 seconds. Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Thursday night - West winds around 5 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Friday - South winds around 5 knots. Seas 1 foot or less.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 329 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Synopsis - Persistent long period swells from the S gulf likely to keep seas elevated today while a weak frontal boundary continues slowly moving across the se gulf with a few showers or storms across the waters. Weak high pressure gradually builds into the region by mid week with winds and seas slowly subsiding.

FXUS62 KTAE 201005 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 605 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

New AVIATION

NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 138 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

Light northeasterly winds will dominate today as an upper level trough moves east of the area and surface high pressure builds across the Mid-Atlantic states. There may be just enough low level convergence along the sea breeze this afternoon across the coastal big bend areas for an isolated shower or thunderstorm, but nothing significant is expected and most areas will stay dry. Highs will generally be in the 80s with overnight lows in the 60s.

SHORT TERM
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 138 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

Upper level ridge axis builds into the forecast area Tuesday into Wednesday while at the surface, an axis high pressure axis slowly shifts east. Dry mid-level air and easterly flow in the lower levels will lead to mostly sunny skies and warm conditions through the period. High temperatures will be a few degrees warmer than Monday and the warm up continues into Wednesday and beyond with widespread low 90s expected.

LONG TERM
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 138 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

Ridge axis slowly translates east towards the weekend period as southwesterly and more progressive flow aloft develops. A few passing disturbances to our north will move through the westerly flow bringing perhaps a return to low rain chances by the end of the week and weekend as surface flow becomes southerly and better low-level moisture returns.

In the absence of any significant systems and mostly dry conditions, we'll see the warm up continue with temperatures nearing the mid 90s for some locations by end of the week.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 605 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

An area of low ceilings moving in from the northeast will affect VLD, ABY, and TLH with a few hours of MVFR to IFR ceilings this morning. Ceilings are expected to scatter and become VFR later this morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected to prevail across the region with northeast winds mainly under 10 knots.

MARINE
Issued at 138 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

Northeast winds become easterly through Tuesday as high pressure moves by and to the north of area waters. Winds will turn to the southeast and then south through the week with southwesterly winds expected by Friday. Speeds wont reach much more than 10 knots so expect low seas of 2 to 3 feet or less through the week. Highest wind speeds generally will be in the overnight period as nocturnal surges from the Atlantic Seabreeze moves through. No rain expected.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 138 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

Winds will remain light with relative humidity values remaining above critical levels for the next few days. Given recent rainfall, there are no major fire weather concerns.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 138 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

Heavy rainfall from Friday and the weekend will lead to ongoing or developing minor flooding at several rivers over the next few days as rainfall works its way into the system. Withlacoochee River in Georgia and northern Florida is currently climbing and will likely crest sometime this week. Rises in the lower Withlacoochee will likely rise through much of the upcoming week.
Rises into solid action stage in the middle and lower Suwanee Rivers are likely later this week and next weekend.

Further west across the Ochlockonee basin, the river will generally hold steady or rise slowly through the week. The Apalachicola at Blountstown will approach minor flood stage today.
Across the Panhandle in the Choctawhatchee Basin, rivers rises to near flood are likely through the week.

Aside from increasing rivers from recent heavy rainfall, no new hydrological concerns are anticipated to develop with the area likely moving into a drier pattern for the next 5 to 7 days.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 86 65 88 67 / 10 0 0 0 Panama City 86 69 86 69 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 84 64 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 84 64 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 84 63 87 64 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 86 63 88 65 / 20 0 20 0 Apalachicola 82 71 82 71 / 20 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-112-114- 115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

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Cedar Key
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Mon -- 12:56 AM EDT     3.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:31 AM EDT     1.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:21 PM EDT     3.75 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:20 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cedar Key, Way Key, Florida, Tide feet

Cedar Key
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:55 AM EDT     2.91 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:18 AM EDT     1.45 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:29 PM EDT     3.40 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:16 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cedar Key, Way Key, Florida (2), Tide feet

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